Sunday 22 April 2012

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 22nd)



MANCHESTER UNITED v EVERTON (Sunday 12:30 Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Manchester United are priced at (1.33) which holds no value, Dutch Manchester United to win by 1 or 2 goals (1.97) none of Everton's last 8 away defeats to similar opponents have been by 2 or more goals. Manchester United to win to nil (2.10) featured in 9 of Manchester Uniteds last 10 at home victories to similar opposition also in 5 of Everton's last 7 away defeats to similar opponents.

Draw (5.50) offers no real value but should be considered in what will be a tight game

Everton are available at (12.00) which offers some value but not much attraction, if you do fancy Everton to do well try +1.25 Goals on the Asian Handicap (2.08) this has only lost in 4 Manchester United's last 10 at home to similar opponents and  2 of Everton's last 10 away games to similar opposition.

As for goals there is a bias to 2 or less, this has featured in 6 of the last 10 for both sides against similar opponents and priced at (2.25) looks a great bet. Both Teams to Score looks mixed and is one best left alone.

Finally 2nd Half Highest Scoring (2.15) Offers Good Value featured in 6 of Manchester United's last 9 home games to similar opponents also in 6 of Everton's last 10 away games

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Everton +1.25 Goals Asian Handicap (2.08)


LIVERPOOL v WEST BROM 

Stats Analysis

Liverpool are available at (1.44) which offers no value, if you do fancy Liverpool it makes some sense to back to win to nil at (2.40) this is better value and has featured in 9 of Liverpool's last 14 victories v similar sides also 13 of West Brom's last 17 away defeats have come to nil.

The Draw is priced at  (4.20) which offers good value when looking at Liverpool's recent home record

West Brom are available at (7.00) which offers good value when looking at their away form. It makes good sense to back +1.25 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (2.16) this would  have only lost in 2 of Liverpool's last 10 home games to similar opponents and West Brom would have covered this in 6 of their last 7 away games to similar opposition

There are some mixed stats on the Over/Under so this is best left alone. Both Teams to Score at (1.91) holds value and has featured in 10 of Liverpool last 15 home games also in 9 of West Brom's last 15 away games.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

West Brom +1.25 Goals Asian Handicap (2.16)



WOLVES v MANCHESTER CITY (Sunday 16:00pm Sky Sports 1)


 BetsLayer Value Highlight  1st Half Over 1.5 goals (2.20)

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