Sunday 1 April 2012

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 2nd)



BLACKBURN ROVERS v MANCHESTER UNITED (Monday 20:00pm Sky Sports 1)


Stats Analysis


Blackburn are priced at (9.00) which is no value, although they have only lost 5 of the last 10 against similar opponents. If you fancy Blackburn to do well again after their win at Old Trafford, back +1.25 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.98) which makes good sense given they have only lost by 2 or more goals once in 10 matches against similar opponents. 

The Draw is available at (5.00) and at this price must be a good option given the head to heads with 3 draws in the last 5 at Ewood Park.

Manchester United are priced correctly at (1.40). If you do fancy them Dutch to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.07) given the above stats regarding Blackburn this is a price that holds good value and has featured in 4 of Manchester United's last 6 away victories to similar opponents and in 6 of Blackburn's last 7 home defeats to similar opposition.

As for goals there is a strong bias to 3 or more but priced at (1.66) is one perhaps best left alone. The both teams to score is also mixed and at (1.87) doesn't hold much attraction.

Finally the Half Time Draw could be of interest having featured in 7 of the last 10 Blackburn home games against similar opponents and at (2.65) is a nice looking price.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Blackburn +1.25 Goals Asian Handicap (1.98)

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