Saturday 14 April 2012

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 15th)



MANCHESTER UNITED v ASTON VILLA (Sunday 16:00pm Sky Sports 1)


Stats Analysis

Manchester United priced at (1.25) offer no real value, especially with the pressure now on. If you do fancy United it could pay to improve the price by backing -1.75 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.83) Aston Villa have lost 6 of their previous 7 away games to similar sides by 2 or more goals.

The Draw is available at (6.50) which holds some value and must be considered in what is a mustn't lose game for both sides

Aston Villa at (15.00) holds no real value, if you do think Villa can do well back +2 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.87) Manchester United have only won 3 of their last 9 home games to similar opponents by more than 2 goals

As for goals there is a strong bias to 3 or more but this looks priced right with Over 2.5 at (1.53), there could be some good value in the Over 3.5 having featured in 6 of both sides last 10 against similar opponents and priced at (2.40). Both Teams to Score (2.20) this looks good value having featured in 10 of Aston Villa's last 15 away games also in 7 of Aston Villa's last 10 away games to similar opposition, the trend is not as strong for Manchester United, but Both teams have scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings at Old Trafford

BetsLayer Value Highlight 

Aston Villa  +2 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.87)

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