Monday 31 December 2012

Happy New Year Premier League Betting Value Jan 1st


MANCHESTER CITY v STOKE

The Home side to be leading at Half Time (1.75), seen in 14 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Home Clean Sheet (1.80), again looks a strong value option, seen in 13 of the 19 games. The Home side to score Both Halves (2.00), seen in 15 of the 19 games or the Home side to win Both Halves (2.80) seen in 11 of the 19 games, are other value alternatives. Total Home Goals Over 2.5 (2.25), offers decent value, seen in 8 of the 10 Manchester City home games against similar opponents, 11 from 19 over all.

SOUTHAMPTON v ARSENAL

There is reasonable value about the Away side (1.73), seen in 8 of the last 11 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Over 2.5 Goals (1.62), is again short but value, seen in 9 of the 11 games. The Home side Most Booking points (2.40) is an interesting angle, seen in 7 of the 11 games. The away side to Score Both Halves (2.40), is another option seen in 8 of the 11 games. Finally First Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.62), some real value here, seen in 9 of the 11 games.

SWANSEA v ASTON VILLA

The Half Time Draw (2.38) looks decent value, seen in 11 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. The Full Time Draw (4.16) could be a longer odds value option, seen in 8 of the 19 games, although with both you have to factor in Villa's recent terrible form. Finally the Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.80), some strong stats here, seen in 15 of the 19 games.

SPURS v READING

Home Clean Sheet No (1.73), seen in 9 of the last 10 Spurs home games against similar opposition, odds can be improved by backing Away side Total Goals Over 0.5 (1.83), this is further backed up with the Both Teams to Score (2.10), seen in 8 of the 10 games. 

WEST BROM v FULHAM

The Half Time Draw (2.25) looks reasonable value, seen in 11 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Both Teams to Score No (2.20), looks great value, seen in 14 of the 20 games.

WEST HAM v NORWICH

The Half Time Draw (2.25) looks reasonable value, seen in 10 of the last 17 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Over 2.5 Goals (1.91), seen in 11 of the 17 games. 

WIGAN v MANCHESTER UNITED

Both Teams to Score No (2.38), solid value and seen in 12 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.



EARLY BIRD LAYS



This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value and at this time only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Manchester City v Stoke - Lay HT 0-0  (3.80) 

Southampton v Arsenal - Lay HT 0-0  (3.70)

Again just two selections for New Years Day , 29th 2 winners , running total =

9 Selections
6 Winners 3 Losers
Total =  - £40

Saturday 29 December 2012

Premier League Betting Value December 30th



EVERTON v CHELSEA

In what is a tough game to find value, Everton to win at (3.00) holds value, but Chelsea are playing into some form, the home win seen 9 times in the last 18 games these two sides have played against similar opponents. Under 2.5 Goals (2.00) holds reasonable value, seen in 11 of the 18 games.

QPR v LIVERPOOL

Away side the Most Booking Points (2.60), not bad value, seen in 7 of the last 13 games these two sides have played against similar opposition.

Friday 28 December 2012

Premier League Betting Value December 29th



ARSENAL v NEWCASTLE

There is little value about Arsenal here (1.50), it could be worth laying them to lead at Half Time (1.95), seen in only 5 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition and Arsenal have only led at the break in 2 of their last 10 against similar opponents. Another way of profiting from the above is to Lay Arsenal in the Half Time / Full Time (2.05), seen in only 4 of the 19 games over all and only 1 of the last 10 for Arsenal. Both Teams to Score (1.91), looks solid value, seen in 12 of the 19 games.

ASTON VILLA v WIGAN

Some good value about the Half Time Draw (2.10), seen in 12 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. 

FULHAM v SWANSEA

There is reasonable value about the Home side to be leading at Half Time (2.88), seen in 10 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. The Home side to win (2.22), also holds reasonable value, seen in 12 of the 19 games. For a slightly longer odds value bet the Home Clean Sheet (3.00) could be worth a look, seen in 10 of the 19 games. This is backed up with the Both Teams to Score No (2.20), seen in 12 of the 19 games. Another value option is the Home side in the Race to 2 Goals (2.38), seen in 11 of the 19 games.

MANCHESTER UNITED v WEST BROM

There is some decent value about the Home Side to be leading Half Time / Full Time (1.90), seen in 14 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

NORWICH v MANCHESTER CITY

Some reasonable value about the Half Time Draw (2.40), seen in 8 of the last 15 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. There is also reasonable value in the Under 2.5 Goals (2.20), seen in 9 of the 15 games. Slightly less but still value is the Both Teams to Score No (2.10), also seen in 9 of the 15 games.

READING v WEST HAM

The Draw looks a decent choice here at (3.50), seen in 5 of the last 10 West Ham away games against similar opposition. Both Teams to Score (1.67), looks strong, seen in 9 of the last 11 games these two sides have featured in against similar opposition.

STOKE v SOUTHAMPTON

No Value found on this game.

SUNDERLAND v SPURS

The Draw looks a reasonable choice here at (3.55), seen in 7 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Both Teams to Score (1.80), looks good value, seen in 12 of the 18 games.




EARLY BIRD LAYS



This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value and at this time only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Sunderland v Spurs - Lay HT 0-0  (3.00) 

Manchester United v West Brom - Lay HT 0-0  (4.00)

Just two selections for the 29th, Boxing day 1 winner and 1 loser, running total =

7 Selections
4 Winners 3 Losers
Total =  - £135


Tuesday 25 December 2012

Boxing Day Premier League Betting Value 26th December


ASTON VILLA v SPURS

Race to 2 Goals Away side (2.38), good value and seen in 10 of the last 18 games these two sides have faced against similar opposition.

EVERTON v WIGAN

The Half Time Draw (2.50), holds reasonable value, seen in 10 of the last 19 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. Under 2.5 Goals (2.24), seen in 11 of the 19 games. Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.95), looks great value, seen in 14 of the 19 games.

FULHAM v SOUTHAMPTON

The Home Side to be leading at Half Time (2.50), seen in 6 of the last 10 Fulham home games against similar opposition and in 7 from 11 over all. There is also good value about the Fulham win (1.92), seen in 7 of the 10 Fulham games and 8 of the 11 games. Over 2.5 Goals (1.73), seen in 9 of the 11 games. 

MANCHESTER UNITED v NEWCASTLE

There is no value about Manchester United here, the Home Clean Sheet No (1.73) holds value, seen in 14 of the last 19 games these two sides have featured in against similar opponents, improve these odds by backing Total Goals Away side Over 0.5 Goals (1.91). If you're looking for a decent Lay bet United to win both halves (2.50), only achieved 2 times in the last 10 home games against similar opposition.

NORWICH v CHELSEA

No Value found on this game

QPR v WEST BROM

The Half Time Draw (2.20), holds reasonable value, seen in 11 of the last 20 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. 

READING v SWANSEA

There could be some value about the Draw (3.52), seen in 4 of the last 9 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. No other value found, its always tough when two sides with little Premier League History.

STOKE v LIVERPOOL

There is some great value about the Home Side (3.62), winners in 11 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. The Away side Most Booking Points (2.60), seen in 11 of the 19 games. Another longer odds option is the Home Side to win the Second Half (3.75), also seen in 11 of the 19 games, an alternative could be to win Either Half (2.20), seen in 14 of the 19 games.

SUNDERLAND v MANCHESTER CITY

The Half Time Draw (2.45), holds reasonable value, seen in 12 of the last 19 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. Dutch Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.08 combined), seen in 11 of the 19 games.

http://www.oddschecker.com/betting-tools/dutching-calculator.html


EARLY BIRD LAYS



This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value and at this time only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Aston Villa v Spurs - Lay HT 0-0  (3.25) 

Fulham v Southampton - Lay HT 0-0  (3.40)

Just two selections on Boxing day, running total =

5 Selections
3 Winners 2 Losers
Total =  -£70









Saturday 22 December 2012

Premier League Betting Value December 23rd




CHELSEA v ASTON VILLA

No Value found on this game.


SWANSEA v MANCHESTER UNITED


Under 2.5 Goals (2.50), looks good value, seen in 10 of the last 15 games these two sides have played against similar opponents. Both Teams to Score No (2.50), again looks solid value seen in 9 of the 15 games. Lay the Away side to Score Both Halves (2.15), only seen in 3 of the 15 games. There is some real confusion around the Corners Match Bet, but Manchester United (2.62) is great value (BlueSq and 888 Sport), seen in 9 of the 15 games. (The problem is it will likely be called a Palpable error and cancelled as it appears they have both mixed up the two teams, so bet in caution knowing it maybe returned). As an alternative the Total Away Goals Under 1.5 (2.63), holds good value, seen in 10 of the 15 games.

Premier League Betting Value December 22nd



LIVERPOOL v FULHAM

Under 2.5 Goals (2.23), holds some value, seen in 11 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. First Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.57), short but great value, seen in 16 of the 19 games. For a longer odds value bet look at Half with Most Goals - Draw (3.75) and seen in 10 of the 19 games.

MANCHESTER CITY v READING

Over 3.5 Goals (2.00), holds great value, seen in 7 of the last 10 Manchester City home games against similar opposition, 8 from 11 overall. Second Half the Most Goals (2.05), seen in 8 of the 11 games. Total Home Goals Over 2.5 (1.73) looks another good option, seen in 9 of the 11 games.

NEWCASTLE v QPR

1st Half the Most Goals (3.75), seen in 7 of the 14 games these two sides have played against similar opposition.

SOUTHAMPTON v SUNDERLAND

Over 2.5 Goals (1.92), looks a good shout, seen in 9 of the last 13 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Still reasonable value but not as much is Both Teams to Score (1.73) also seen in 9 from the 13 games. Second Half the Most Goals (2.15), seen in 8 of the 13 games. Total Home Goals Over 1.5 (2.10), is a good value option seen in 8 of the 13 games. 

SPURS v STOKE

The Half Time Draw (2.30), seen in 12 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Under 2.5 Goals (2.00) holds fantastic value, seen in 16 of the 19 games. Home Clean Sheet (2.20), looks solid, seen in 13 of the 19 games. This is further backed up with Both Teams to Score No (2.00) seen in 15 of the 19 games.

WEST BROM v NORWICH

Home side the First Goal (1.70), looks reasonable value, seen in 15 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.80), seen in 15 of the 19 games.

WEST HAM v EVERTON

Both Teams to Score (1.73), holds good value, seen in 13 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. 

WIGAN v ARSENAL 

There is some reasonable value in the Away win (1.83), seen in 13 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Away side to Score Both Halves (2.50) seen in 11 of the 19 games. First Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.50) is another value option also seen in 11 of the 19 games. Away Side Over 1.5 Goals (1.73), looks an alternative, seen in 14 of the 19 games.



Monday 17 December 2012

Premier League MNF Reading v Arsenal betting value December 17th


READING v ARSENAL

Over 2.5 Goals (1.68) holds some decent value, seen in 10 of the last 11 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Over 3.5 Goals (2.70) also good value seen in 7 of the 11 games. Both Teams to Score (1.73), again holds value, seen in 8 of the 11 games. The Away side to Score Both Halves (2.50) again seems to indicate goals and value, seen in 7 of the 11 games. Under 10.5 Corners (2.30), again seen in 7 of the 11 games. First Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.50), again looks solid and is seen in 9 of the 11 games. 

Sunday 16 December 2012

Premier League betting value December 16th



SPURS v SWANSEA

There is reasonable value in the Home side Spurs to win (1.70), the home side winning in 10 of the last 14 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Under 2.5 Goals (2.31) is good value, seen in 9 of the 14 games. Home Clean sheet (2.63) looks another value option, seen in 9 of the 14 games. Along the same lines Both Teams to Score No (2.30) also seen in 9 of the 14 games. Away side the Most Booking Points (2.00), again seen in 9 of the 14 games.


WEST BROM v WEST HAM

There is decent value about West Brom to score first (1.73), the home side scoring first in 15 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Home side to Have the Most Corners (1.65), is again short but value, seen in 15 of the 20 games.

Saturday 15 December 2012

Premier League Betting Value December 15th




NEWCASTLE v MANCHESTER CITY

There is some reasonable value about the draw (4.02), seen in 7 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Both Teams to Score No (2.10), holds solid value, seen in 12 of the 19 games. For a longer odds bet, the Home side the Most Corners (3.60) looks good, seen in 10 of the 19 games. Over 10.5 Corners (1.80), seen in 13 of the 19 games.

NORWICH v WIGAN

Both Teams to Score (1.73), seen in 12 of the last 16 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

QPR v FULHAM

There is some reasonable value about the draw (3.53), seen in 8 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Under 2.5 Goals (2.08), also looks reasonable, seen in 11 of the 18 games.

STOKE v EVERTON

Over 2.5 Goals (2.39), reasonable value, seen in 10 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. As an alternative Both Teams to Score (2.00), seen in 12 of the 19 games. Home side Most Corners (2.30), seen in 10 of the 19 games. Total Goals 2-3 (1.80), seen in 14 of the 19 games.

LIVERPOOL v ASTON VILLA

There is decent value in the Draw (5.13), seen in 10 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Under 2.5 Goals (2.20), looks reasonable seen in 12 of the 19 games.

MANCHESTER UNITED v SUNDERLAND

There is no value about Manchester United's price (1.22), 13 home wins in the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition, so that's worth a low risk lay if that's your thing. No other value found.



Tuesday 11 December 2012

Sunderland v Reading Betting Value 11th December


SUNDERLAND v READING

The Half Time Draw (2.20) holds some good value, seen in 9 of the last 13 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. The Home Side to win the Second Half (2.38) looks solid, seen in 8 of the 13 games.

Saturday 8 December 2012

Premier League Betting Value December 8th


ARSENAL v WEST BROM

Over 2.5 Goals (1.68) holds good but short value, seen in 14 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.


ASTON VILLA v STOKE

Home Side to be Leading at 60 minutes (2.75), seen in 10 of the 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Home Side to win either Half (1.80), seen in 13 of the 19 games. Home Side The First Goal (2.00), also seen in 13 of the 19 games.


SOUTHAMPTON v READING

No value found


SUNDERLAND v CHELSEA

Under 2.5 Goals (1.90) looks reasonable, seen in 12 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.


SWANSEA v NORWICH

Swansea to be leading by Half Time (2.63) looks strong seen in 11 of the last 17 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Over 2.5 Goals (1.91) looks good, seen in 11 of the 17 games. For a longer odds shot the Away side to have Most corners (4.80) is worth a look, seen in 9 of the 17 games, Laying Swansea at (1.40) on the exchanges is another way to profit from this. Short price but great value is Swansea to win either Half (1.44) seen in 16 of the 17 games.


WIGAN v QPR

The Home Side to Win (2.41) looks solid value, seen in 9 of the last 15 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. If you do fancy Wigan it could be worth going Wigan to win by 1 goal (4.30) seen in 8 of those 9 wins. Total Goals 2-3 (1.91) looks an option, seen in 10 of the 15 games. 

Monday 3 December 2012

Newcastle v Wigan MNF December 3rd



NEWCASTLE v WIGAN


Match odds - No value found

Goals - No value found

Other - Second Half Result Draw (2.55) seen in 11 of the 20 games these two sides have played against similar opponents. Home Side Most Corners (1.57), seen in 15 of the 20 games.

Saturday 1 December 2012

Premier League Betting Value December 1st


WEST HAM v CHELSEA

Match odds - There is some small value about the draw (3.62), seen in 8 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

Goals - No value found

Other - No value found


WEST BROM v STOKE

Match odds - No value found

Goals - Over 2.5 Goals (2.24), looks strong seen in 13 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Home Side to Score Both Halves (3.50) is longer odds bet seen in 10 of the 20 games.

Other - There is some decent value about the Home Side to win the First Half (2.80), seen in 11 of the 20 games. Home/Home in the HT/FT (3.40) looks another good longer odds bet, seen in 10 of the 20 games.


ARSENAL v SWANSEA 

Match odds - No value found

Goals - First Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.75), seen in 8 of the last 15 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition

Other - There is some decent value about the Half Time Draw (2.55), seen in 10 of the 15 games


FULHAM v SPURS


Match odds - There is some small value about the draw (3.54), seen in 8 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

Goals - No value found

Other - There is some decent value about the Away side to win Either Half (1.70), seen in 14 of the 19 games.


LIVERPOOL v SOUTHAMPTON


Match odds - No value found

Goals - Under 2.5 Goals (2.50) looks a value price, seen in 6 of the last 10 Liverpool home games against similar opposition.

Other - No value found


MANCHESTER CITY v EVERTON


Match odds - No value found

Goals - No value found

Other - No value found


QPR v ASTON VILLA


Match odds - No value found

Goals - No value found

Other - Second Half Result Draw (2.50), seen in 10 of the last 17 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents


READING v MANCHESTER UNITED


Match odds - No value found

Goals - No value found

Other - Away side Most Booking points (2.88), seen in 7 of the last 10 Manchester United away games against similar opponents.