Sunday 30 September 2012

Aston Villa v West Brom Betting Value Sept 30th



Aston Villa v West Brom - The Full Time Draw (3.33) holds some decent value, West Brom have drawn 5 of their last 10 away against similar opponents. With 9 in the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Both Teams To Score (1.75) looks very strong having featured in 15 of the 20 games. Another very strong contender must be Home Side Most Corners (1.80) which has been seen in 16 of the 20 games.

Friday 28 September 2012

BetsLayer Premier League Betting Value Sept 29th


BetsLayer Value and Value Highlights

Arsenal v Chelsea - Some small value in Arsenal's price (2.30), but no other value found for this fixture

Everton v Southampton - Everton have been level at the break in 6 of their last 10 home games against similar opposition, Half Time Draw (2.61) holds some healthy attraction. For a longer odds bet you could do worse than the Full Time Draw (5.07), seen in 4 of the last 10 Everton home games against similar opponents

Fulham v Manchester City -10 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition have been level at the break, with 7 in Fulham's last 10 against similar opponents. Half Time Draw (2.30)

Norwich v Liverpool - 8 of the last 13 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition have been level at the break, Half Time Draw (2.30). For a longer odds option there is some interest in the home win, which has been the outcome in 6 of the 13 games, Norwich to win (5.05). To combine the above the Draw/Home result is value at (12.0), seen in 4 of the 13 games.

Reading v Newcastle - There looks to be some very solid value on the away side to be leading at Half Time (3.13), seen in 5 of the last 10 Newcastle away games against similar opponents. For a longer priced option the Away/Away also looks value at (4.50), seen in 5 of the 11 games these 2 sides have played against similar opponents. Under 10.5 corners looks a good option having been the outcome in 9 of the 11 games. Under 10.5 corners (1.73)

Stoke v Swansea - Not much value available on this fixture, if you must have a bet then the Home side to win both halves (6.00) holds some longer odds value, seen in 3 of the last 10 for Stoke against similar opposition and in 3 of the last 7 against similar opponents for Swansea.

Sunderland v Wigan -  12 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition have been level at the break, Half Time Draw (2.15). 11 of those 18 games have seen 3 or more goals. Over 2.5 goals (2.19). Second Half Most Goals (2.20) also looks solid having been seen in 11 of the 18 games.

Manchester United v Spurs -10 of the last 17 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition have been level at the break, Half Time Draw (2.50) 11 of those 17 games have seen 3 or more goals, with 7 of Manchester United's last 10. Over 2.5 goals (2.10)

Sunday 23 September 2012

BetsLayer Premier League Betting Value Sept 23rd


BetsLayer Value Highlights


Liverpool v Manchester United - In what will be a massive game both on and off the field, there appears to be some good value options around. There is certainly value about the Draw (3.35) Pinnacle and in a game that will be hard fought I wouldn't put you off that bet, seen in 7 of the last 18 games involving these two sides against similar opposition. Staying on the same theme for the next 2 bets, there is value in the **Second Half Draw (2.60) Totesport, seen in 12 of the 18 games. For a longer odds bet, there is solid value in the double result Draw/Draw (5.50) SkyBet, seen in 6 of those 18 games. This game is usually fired up and the Away side to have the Most Booking Points (1.94) Betfair, has been seen in 11 of the 18 games. Finally there are 2 bets that seem to indicate the home side having the edge in this fixture as they have in recent years. Home Side to score First Goal (2.10) BetFred, seen in 8 of the last 10 Liverpool home games against similar opposition. Home Side to have the Most Corners (1.73) Paddy Power seen in 12 of the 18 games.

Newcastle v Norwich - The value all seems to be pointing to Newcastle and to early goals. The Home side to be leading at Half Time (2.38) 188Bet, seen in 11 of the last 16 games featuring these 2 sides against similar opposition. The same stats so slightly less value applies to the **Home side winning (1.80) Stan James. There is also good value in the double result Home / Home (2.80) BetVictor, seen in 9 of the 16 games. The Home Clean Sheet (2.70) 32Red also looks strong with 9 in the 16 games. The First Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.63) Paddy Power  looks a good option having been seen in 10 of the 16 games and this is also backed up by the First Half Most Goals (3.25) BetFred, seen in 8 of the 16 games. Finally the Under 10.5 corners looks a solid bet (1.84) BetVictor, seen in 11 of the relevant 16 games.

Spurs v QPR - There looks to be some value about the Half Time Draw (2.55) BetVictor, having featured in 7 of the last 13 games involving these 2 sides against similar opposition. This game is not easy to find value on, but the next and last looks as solid as they come, **Both Teams To Score (1.90) Stan James, seen 10 of the 13 games and 9 of the last 10 Spurs home games against similar opponents. 

Manchester City v Arsenal - There is some decent value about Manchester City, Home to win (1.80) Paddy Power, seen in 11 of the last 17 games involving these 2 sides against similar opponents. Under 2.5 Goals (2.42) Betfair looks a value option having been seen in 9 of the 17 games. **Over 10.5 corners (1.80) BetVictor looks a selection having featured in 11 of the 17 games and 8 from Manchester City's last 10 games against similar opposition. Another highlight to consider is the Second Half Most Goals (2.10) Bwin, seen in 10 of the 17 games.

Saturday 22 September 2012

BetsLayer Premier League Betting Value 22nd Sept


BetsLayer Value Highlights (Please also check out our MMA expert picks and analysis below!)


Swansea v Everton - This looks a tough game to call with the odds looking about right, there is though some solid value in the Under 2.5 goals (1.90) 188 Bet, this has featured in the last 4 Swansea home games against similar opponents and also in 6 of the last 10 games for Everton. Looking at the more obscure markets we find some good value in the Under 10.5 corners (1.80) Stan James which has featured in 11 of the 14 games both sides have played against similar opponents

Chelsea v Stoke - There is value about the price on the Chelsea win (1.43) Pinnacle, with Stoke having lost all their last 10 games against similar opponents, with a probability of 84% the odds are short but strong. There is some good value in the Home Clean Sheet (2.1) Ladbrokes, this has featured in 14 of the 20 games these sides have played against similar opposition.

Southampton v Aston Villa - Everything seems to be pointing to a tight low scoring game, there is value in the Half Time Draw (2.2) Bet 365, seen in 6 of the last 10 Aston Villa away games against similar opposition. Also in the Full Time Draw (3.44) Pinnacle, seen in 5 of the last 10 Aston Villa away games against similar opposition. There also looks solid value in the Under 2.5 goals (2.00) Bet365, having been seen in 7 of the last 10 Aston Villa away games at similar opponents.

West Brom v Reading - This game seems to indicate goals, the value is found in the Over 2.5 goals (1.91) Stan James, seen in 7 of the last 10 West Brom home games against similar opposition. Also in Both Teams To Score (1.80) Paddy Power seen in 8 of the last 10 West Brom home games against similar opponents. Finally there is also value in the Over 10.5 corners (1.80) Stan James, also seen in 8 of the last 10 West Brom home games against similar opposition.

West Ham v Sunderland - Well the layers seem to have got most of the markets correct on this game. There is though some good value in the Over 2.5 goals (2.12) 188 Bet, seen in 13 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

Wigan v Fulham - In truth this is a very tough game to find any value, there is a good chance of a Draw (3.40) BetFred , seen in 7 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents.


Thursday 20 September 2012

UFC 152 Betting Highlights


This is BetsLayer's first Guest slot from our MMA expert, hope you enjoy!!

UFC 152 Betting Highlights

Jon Jones vs Vitor Belfort

If you look at the odds this is one of the most lop-sided matches in UFC history. Bet £1 on Jones to win at Bwin and you’ll end up with the princely sum of £1.15, and in a two-horse race that’s not worth the risk, particularly given the propensity for upsets in MMA. Belfort does, however, possess legendary one punch KO power, particularly in the first round when he’s fresh and hes also publicly stated he will be going for the early KO. So a good long shot bet is Belfort by 1st Rd KO at 12/1 or even Rd 2 at 25/1 Sky Bet. But really Jones is the huge favourite for a reason and Jones to win in Rd 1 (13/5) or 2 (10/3) Paddy Power will probably be the outcome and provides more value than the straight win. If this goes into the later rounds I’ll be shocked.

Michael Bisping v Brian Stann

The bookies have Bisping as the favourite and with good reason. Stann is essentially a very one-dimensional heavy hitting boxer but what he does, he does well, and he could catch Bisping either scoring knockdowns to win rounds or more likely by knockout. Therefore a Stann KO bet (23/10) Paddy Power offers decent value as its essentially his main path to winning. My money is on Bisping for this one though, Stann has been comprehensively out wrestled by anyone with a decent ground game, which Bisping has. Bisping only tends to finish a fight when he isn’t scared of his opponents power, when he can plant his feet and unload to a TKO victory but I can’t see him taking that risk here and getting caught. More likely he will display his good fight intelligence and be wary of Stann’s power, staying outside and scoring points with his more technical and rounded striking and securing a takedown each round to get the points. Bisping by decision (evens) is the clear bet here Paddy Power.

Joseph Benavidez v Demetrious Johnson

As you drop down the weight divisions the finishing rate drops and despite the 5 round bout I think the decision is the value here, although you will have to pick a winner as (4/9) to go to the judges is not too generous. Benavidez is the heavy favourite here but I think those odds are a little lopsided, he’s been injured and has only fought once in the last year whilst Johnson has fought in three 5 rd wars. Also Demetrious Johnson’s last 5 fights have all gone to the judges and his phenomenal striking rate ensures he normally does enough work to pick up the decision for each round. Johnson by points decision (9/2) Sky Bet  stands out as the best value bet in this match up.

Sunday 16 September 2012

Everton v Newcastle BetsLayer Betting Value Sept 17th


BetsLayer Value Highlights

Everton v Newcastle - There looks to be some good value about Everton both to be leading at Half time 2.63 Stan James, seen in 5 of the last 10 games against similar opposition, with 5 in the last 8 for Newcastle and also in the Full time market, Everton to win 1.83 Coral seen in 6 of the last 10 games against similar opposition, 6 in the last 8 for Newcastle.
There is no stand out value in the other markets.

Saturday 15 September 2012

BetsLayer Reading v Spurs betting value highlights Sept 16th


BetsLayer Value Highlights

Reading v Spurs - There looks to be some solid value about the draw having featured in 4 of the last 10 Spurs away games against similar opposition The Draw 3.69 at Pinnacle. The half with most goals as a draw looks to hold great value having been seen in 5 of the last 10 Spurs games against similar opposition, Highest Scoring Half - Draw  3.60 Coral.

Friday 14 September 2012

Betslayer Premier League Betting Value September 15th




BetsLayer Value Highlights

Norwich v West Ham - Both teams have scored in 5 of Norwich's last 6 at home to similar opponents, for West Ham both teams have scored in 9 of their last 10 away against similar opposition - Both Teams to Score at 1.75 with 32Red (* = or on the Betting Exchanges Betfair / Betdaq)


Arsenal v Southampton - slim pickings on this game with very little value to find, there is some interest in the Under 3.5 goals which is a slim 1.62, but value is value. Arsenal have had this outcome in 9 of the last 10 games against similar opposition - Under 3.5 goals 1.62 Stan James *


Aston Villa v Swansea - 5 of the last 10 Aston Villa home games against similar opponents have resulted in a stalemate - The Draw 3.37 Pinnacle *


Fulham v West Brom - West Brom have been level at full time in 5 of the last 10 away against similar opposition. There is also some value in the Over 2.5 at 2.03 having featured in 7 of the last 10 away games - The Draw 3.5 Sky Bet *


Manchester United v Wigan - Manchester United have won all the last 5 head to heads to nil, Wigan have lost 8 of the last 10 away to similar sides to nil - Manchester United Clean Sheet 1.86 32Red*


Stoke v Manchester City - There is some good value about the draw having featured in 7 of Stokes last 10 against similar opponents, Manchester City have though won 6 of their last 10 away against similar sides. Slightly stronger value can be found 7 of Stokes last 10 home against against similar rated sides have been a draw at the Half time whistle, this also applies for 6 from the last 10 Manchester City away against similar opponents - Half Time Draw 2.25 Bet Victor *


Sunderland v Liverpool - Sunderland have only lost 2 of the last 10 home games against similar opposition - Sunderland +0.25 Goals 2.04 Pinnacle *


QPR v Chelsea - This is a tough one with little value around, 7 of Chelsea's last 10 away games to similar sides have seen 2 goals or less and this holds value but maybe not enough to bet in this game given Chelsea's new attacking formation - Under 2.5 2.05 Pinnacle * (no selection)

Saturday 1 September 2012

BetsLayer EPL Betting Value September 2nd


Sunday BetsLayer Value Highlights

Liverpool v Arsenal - No Value available in this game, perhaps there is in the Over 2.5 goals but not enough to call it, especially given Arsenal's scoring form.

Newcastle v Aston Villa - Frustratingly again can find no value in this game

Southampton v Manchester United - There is some value in Manchester United's price having won 8 of the last 10 against similar opposition, but we will follow the biggest value, In 7 of the last 10 away games against similar opponents Manchester United have had the most Booking points - Manchester United most booking points (2.85)