Monday 9 April 2012

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 9th)


CHELSEA v FULHAM (Monday 20:00pm Sky Sports 1)

Fulham have won 7 of the last 10 home matches and are priced at (3.60) which offers some decent value. If you do fancy Fulham to do well against their neighbours there is good sense in backing +0.25 goals on the Asian Handicap at (2.00) this means you get half the odds if the game ends a draw.

The Draw is available at (3.50) and must be a serious contender in what will be a hard fought local derby and all the last 3 meetings have finished level.

Chelsea have lost 3 of the last 4 away games and won just 3 of 13 away fixtures against similar opponents and priced at (2.30) offer no value here.

As for goals Over 2.5 priced at (1.91) looks good value when 9 of the last 10 Fulham home games against similar opponents have resulted in 3 or more goals. Both Teams to Score at (1.70) looks priced with some  small value having featured in 8 of the last 10 Fulham home games against similar opposition.

Finally the Half Time Draw could be an interest at (2.30) this has been seen in 4 of the last 6 Chelsea away games against similar opponents.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

The Draw (3.50)


BetsLayer non-tv Value Highlights

NEWCASTLE v BOLTON - Newcastle HT/FT (2.38) offers value as 7 of Newcastle's last 10 home victories to similar opponents have come via the HT / FT result

EVERTON v SUNDERLAND - Dutch Everton to draw or win by 1 goal 0.5 points on each at (3.5) and (3.75) for combined odds of (1.81)

ASTON VILLA v STOKE - The Draw (3.25)

SPURS v NORWICH - Dutch Spurs to win by 1 or 2 goals 0.5 points on each at (4.33) for combined odds of (2.16) offers good value having been the outcome in 8 of the last 10 Spurs games against similar opponents.


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