Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 30th)

MANCHESTER CITY v MANCHESTER UNITED (Monday 20.00pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Manchester City are available at (2.25) which looks a good price especially considering their home form with 7 straight wins against similar opponents and confidence going into this match after 3 wins to get back into the title battle.

The Draw is priced at (3.50) which looks an option when considering the importance of the match for both sides

Manchester United at (3.50) holds no real value, although they do have a good recent record at the Etihad stadium winning 3 of the last 4 visits in all competitions. If you do fancy United it makes sense to back +0.25 Goals on the Asian Handicap (2.08) this offers reasonable value and you get half the odds should the match finish as a draw.

As for goals Under 2.5 at (2.20) looks good value after featuring in 5 of Manchester City's last 7 home games to similar opponents also in 6 of Manchester United's last 10 away to similar sides. No Both teams to score at (2.38) looks a solid option and has featured in 7 of Manchester City's last 10 home games to similar opposition also in 5 of Manchester United's last 9 away to similar opponents, plus seen the last 4 head to heads at Manchester City.

Finally as is often the case in these tense top of the table clashes the Half time draw at (2.25) holds attraction and value having featured in 6 of Manchester City's last 8 home games to similar opponents also in 6 of Manchester United's last 10 away games to similar opposition.

BetsLayer Value Highlight


Manchester City to win (2.25)

Premier League Betting Value (29th April)

CHELSEA v QPR (Sunday 13.30pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Chelsea are priced at (1.44) which offers no real value, if you do fancy Chelsea to win then via the Half Time / Full Time result holds some appeal at (2.05) having featured in 6 of Chelsea's last 10 home games to similar opponents also 4 of the last 6 QPR games against similar opposition. Another option if you fancy Chelsea -1.25 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (2.06) featured in 6 of Chelsea's last 10 home games to similar opponents. Another alternative is Chelsea to win to nil (2.62) This has featured in 7 of the last 10 Chelsea home games against similar opposition and in 4 of the last 6 QPR against similar opponents.

The Draw is (4.80) which offers some small value but only limited appeal when looking at Chelsea's home form against similar opposition.

QPR are available at (8.50) which looks to hold no value when looking at how Chelsea have performed at home to similar sides

As for goals there is no value in the Over/Unders markets with some mixed stats and a price on Over 2.5 of (1.70). No Both teams to score is (2.10) which is good value having featured in 7 of Chelsea's last 10 home games to similar opposition also in 5 of QPR's last 7 away to similar sides

Finally 2nd Half to be highest scoring at (2.15) holds some value having featured in 6 of Chelsea's last 9 home games to similar sides also in 3 of QPR's last 6 away games against similar opponents.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Chelsea to win to nil (2.62)

SPURS v BLACKBURN (Sunday 16.00pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Spurs are available at (1.40) which is priced about right, if you do fancy Spurs it makes some sense to back -1.50 Goals on the Asian Handicap (2.00) which is a reasonable option after featuring in 5 of the last 7 home victories also 7 of Blackburns last 9 away defeats. Another good option if you fancy Spurs to win here is the winning margin 1 or 2 goals at (2.16) this has featured in 5 of the last 6 Spurs home victories against similar opposition.

The Draw is (4.50) which offers value and should be considered in what is a must win game for both sides

Blackburn are available at (9.00) which offers no real value with their shock win at Old Trafford the only away win in the last 10 against similar opposition.

As for goals there is a bias to 3 or more, but the price of (1.5) looks very restrictive and it could make sense to back the Under 2.5 goals at (2.75) this has featured in 5 of the last 10 Spurs games against similar opponents, this price could be useful for time decay inplay trading. Both teams to score (1.75) looks priced about right having featured in 6 of Spurs last 10 home games to similar opponents also in 5 of Blackburn's last 6 away games against similar sides.

BetsLayer Value Highlight 

Spurs to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.16)

NORWICH v LIVERPOOL (Saturday 17:30pm ESPN)

Stats Analysis

Norwich are priced at (4.00) which looks good value, although their form has tailed off somewhat. If you do fancy the Canaries, there is good sense in going for the +0.50 goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.96).

The Draw available at (3.60) offers value and should certainly be given some consideration in a game which is hard to call either way when looking at the recent form.

Liverpool are (2.05) to win this match which offers no value and must be opposed

As for goals there are mixed stats on the Under/Over markets and they look priced correctly. The No Both teams to score at (2.38) looks decent value having featured in 7 of Liverpool's last 10 away games to similar opponents sides also in 10 of Liverpool's last 15 away games, the trend is less strong for Norwich but in a game with little stand out value its a reasonable option.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Back Norwich +0.5 Goals (1.96) or Lay Liverpool on the exchanges at (2.04)

BetsLayer Non-TV Value Highlights


Everton v Fulham - Dutch Everton to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.30) - featured in 6 of Everton's last 8 home victories to similar opponents

Stoke v Arsenal - The Draw (3.50) - Stoke have drawn 4 of the last 10 against similar opponents

Sunderland v Bolton - Bolton +0.50 Goals Asian Handicap (2.00)


Swansea v Wolves - Swansea win to nil (2.65) – Swansea have won 5 of their last 7 home victories to nil

West Brom v Aston Villa - Half time draw (2.20) featured in 6 of West Broms last 10 home games to similar opposition also in 7 of Aston Villas last 10 away games.

Wigan v Newcastle - Newcastle +0 goals (1.90) - Newcastle have won 6 of the last 10 against similar opponents and have only lost twice.

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 22nd)

MANCHESTER UNITED v EVERTON (Sunday 12:30 Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Manchester United are priced at (1.33) which holds no value, Dutch Manchester United to win by 1 or 2 goals (1.97) none of Everton's last 8 away defeats to similar opponents have been by 2 or more goals. Manchester United to win to nil (2.10) featured in 9 of Manchester Uniteds last 10 at home victories to similar opposition also in 5 of Everton's last 7 away defeats to similar opponents.

Draw (5.50) offers no real value but should be considered in what will be a tight game

Everton are available at (12.00) which offers some value but not much attraction, if you do fancy Everton to do well try +1.25 Goals on the Asian Handicap (2.08) this has only lost in 4 Manchester United's last 10 at home to similar opponents and  2 of Everton's last 10 away games to similar opposition.

As for goals there is a bias to 2 or less, this has featured in 6 of the last 10 for both sides against similar opponents and priced at (2.25) looks a great bet. Both Teams to Score looks mixed and is one best left alone.

Finally 2nd Half Highest Scoring (2.15) Offers Good Value featured in 6 of Manchester United's last 9 home games to similar opponents also in 6 of Everton's last 10 away games

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Everton +1.25 Goals Asian Handicap (2.08)

LIVERPOOL v WEST BROM 

Stats Analysis

Liverpool are available at (1.44) which offers no value, if you do fancy Liverpool it makes some sense to back to win to nil at (2.40) this is better value and has featured in 9 of Liverpool's last 14 victories v similar sides also 13 of West Brom's last 17 away defeats have come to nil.

The Draw is priced at  (4.20) which offers good value when looking at Liverpool's recent home record

West Brom are available at (7.00) which offers good value when looking at their away form. It makes good sense to back +1.25 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (2.16) this would  have only lost in 2 of Liverpool's last 10 home games to similar opponents and West Brom would have covered this in 6 of their last 7 away games to similar opposition

There are some mixed stats on the Over/Under so this is best left alone. Both Teams to Score at (1.91) holds value and has featured in 10 of Liverpool last 15 home games also in 9 of West Brom's last 15 away games.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

West Brom +1.25 Goals Asian Handicap (2.16)

WOLVES v MANCHESTER CITY (Sunday 16:00pm Sky Sports 1)


 BetsLayer Value Highlight  1st Half Over 1.5 goals (2.20)

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 21st)

ARSENAL v CHELSEA (Saturday 12:45pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Arsenal (2.10) looks to hold some value especially against a tired Chelsea side with changes expected. If you do fancy Arsenal it makes sense to Dutch to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.40) 5 of Arsenal's last 6 home victories to similar opposition have come via this margin. Chelsea have not lost by more than 2 goals away from home in their last 10 defeats.

The Draw (3.50) Offers some value and must be considered in a game where neither side can afford to lose

Chelsea at (3.90) doesn't look to hold any value, if you do fancy them to have recovered from the Barcelona  victory, go with +0.50 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.90) but this holds no great value given Chelsea's last 10 away performances against similar opposition, where this bet would have won 4 times.

As for goals Over 2.5 Goals is available at (1.88) having featured in 5 of Arsenal last 10 home games against similar sides also in 7 of Chelsea's last 10 away games to similar opponents. So whilst not holding much value should definitely be considered in a game with either a tiring or changed Chelsea side.

Both teams to score again doesn't hold much value but is considered at (1.67) having featured in 6 of Arsenal's last 9 home games to similar opponents also in 8 of Chelsea's last 10 away games to similar opposition. 

Finally the Half Time Draw at (2.25) looks good value having featured in 8 of Arsenal's last 10 home games against similar opponents also featured in 6 of Chelsea's last 10 away games.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Half Time Draw (2.25) 

QPR v SPURS (Saturday 17:30pm ESPN)


Stats Analysis

QPR are priced at (4.00) which holds no value and is affected by the must win nature of the game. If you do fancy QPR it makes more sense to keep the draw on side and back +0.50 goals at (2.00) which offers value given both sides form against similar opposition.

The Draw is available at (3.75) which looks priced with some small value and certainly is an option in another game where both sides cannot afford to lose for very different reasons.

Spurs (2.00) offers value but beware of both sides recent form against similar opposition with only 4 wins in the last 10 for Spurs. Another option is to Dutch Spurs to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.30) Spurs have won all 6 of their last 6 away victories by this margin also QPR have lost all 6 of their last 6 home defeats by the same margin.

As for goals there doesn't appear to be any value in the Over/Under market with Over 2.5 priced at (1.73). Both teams to score (1.75) holds some value having featured in 11 of QPR's last 15 home games also in 8 of Spurs last 10 away games against similar opposition.

1st Half Over 1.5 at (3.00) could hold some decent value having featured in 6 of QPR's last 14 home games

also in 7 of Spurs last 10 away games against similar sides.

Finally the Half Time Draw at (2.30) holds some good value having featured in 3 of QPR's last 5 home games against similar opponents also in 8 of Spurs last 12 away games.

BetsLayer Value Highlight


QPR +0.50 goals (2.00)

BetsLayer Non-TV Value Highlights


Blackburn v Norwich - 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.60)
Fulham v Wigan - The Draw (3.75)
Bolton v Swansea - Half Time Draw (2.20)
Aston Villa v Sunderland - No goal after 75 mins (1.91)
Newcastle v Stoke - Dutch Newcastle to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.14)

Arsenal v Wigan - Premier League Betting Value (April 16th)

ARSENAL v WIGAN (Monday 20:00pm Sky Sports 1)


Stats Analysis

Arsenal are priced at (1.29) which offers no real value and is not a price to back at here. If you do fancy backing Arsenal then to win to nil holds some value and attraction at (2.10) having featured in 6 of Arsenal's last 10 home games to similar opponents also in 8 of Wigan's last 10 away games to similar opposition.

The Draw is available at (6.25) this holds some value, but maybe not that much appeal

Wigan are priced at (12.00) which holds no value. If you do fancy Wigan to perform well +1.50 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (2.17) offers some value and would only have lost in 3 of Arsenal's last 10 home games to similar opponents. The trend is not as strong with Wigan though and would have lost in 6 of Wigan's last 10 away to similar opposition.

As for goals Under 2.5 Goals priced at (2.63) is value having featured in 5 of Arsenal last 8 home games to similar opponents also in 5 of Wigan's last 10 away games to similar opposition. 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.30) featured in 4 of Arsenals last 6 home games against similar opponents also in 6 of Wigan's last 11 away games.

Finally there looks to be some good value in the Half time draw market at (2.88) having featured in 5 of Arsenals last 7 home games against similar opponents also in 3 of Wigan's last 6 away games against similar opposition.

 

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Wigan +1.50 Goals Asian Handicap (2.17)

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 15th)

MANCHESTER UNITED v ASTON VILLA (Sunday 16:00pm Sky Sports 1)


Stats Analysis

Manchester United priced at (1.25) offer no real value, especially with the pressure now on. If you do fancy United it could pay to improve the price by backing -1.75 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.83) Aston Villa have lost 6 of their previous 7 away games to similar sides by 2 or more goals.

The Draw is available at (6.50) which holds some value and must be considered in what is a mustn't lose game for both sides

Aston Villa at (15.00) holds no real value, if you do think Villa can do well back +2 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.87) Manchester United have only won 3 of their last 9 home games to similar opponents by more than 2 goals

As for goals there is a strong bias to 3 or more but this looks priced right with Over 2.5 at (1.53), there could be some good value in the Over 3.5 having featured in 6 of both sides last 10 against similar opponents and priced at (2.40). Both Teams to Score (2.20) this looks good value having featured in 10 of Aston Villa's last 15 away games also in 7 of Aston Villa's last 10 away games to similar opposition, the trend is not as strong for Manchester United, but Both teams have scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings at Old Trafford

BetsLayer Value Highlight 

Aston Villa  +2 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.87)

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 14th)

NORWICH CITY v MANCHESTER CITY (Saturday 12:45pm Sky Sports 2)

Stats Analysis

Norwich are priced correctly at (7.00) If you do fancy them to do well back +1 Goal on the Asian Handicap at (2.07), which looks a great option as Manchester City have only won 2 of their last 10 away games. Returns stake if a single goal loss.

The Draw is (4.33) which although priced correctly must be considered when looking at both sides form

Manchester City are available at (1.57) which is about right, but this is a game City must win to get right back in the title hunt. Dutch Man City to win by 1 or 2 goals this pays (2.10) this offers value as all 4 of Norwich's 4 home defeats have come via this margin and also Manchester City's last 6 away victories to similar opponents have come via this margin.

As for goals there is a bias to 2 or under, this has featured in 7 of the last 10 Manchester City games against similar opponents (including the last 5), so priced at (2.30) this looks attractive and could be used for trading purposes. Both Teams to Score looks to hold some small value at (1.73) having featured in 6 of the 8 Norwich home games against teams in the top half of the table and also in 6 of the last 10 Manchester City away games against similar opponents.

Finally the Half Time Draw at (2.50) looks a strong option with good value having featured in 3 of Norwich's last 4 home games against similar opponents also in 7 of Manchester City's last 10 away games against similar opposition (including the last 6).

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.10)

BetsLayer Non-TV Value Highlights


West Brom v QPR - Over 2.5 Goals (1.91) - Featured in 7 of both sides last 10 against similar opposition


Swansea v Blackburn - The Draw (3.60)

Sunderland v Wolves - Dutch Sunderland to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.14) - Sunderland have won 9 of their last 10 victories against similar opponents by this margin

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 11th)

QPR v SWANSEA (Wednesday 20:00pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis 

QPR are priced here at (2.20) which whilst not holding much value to the ratings does hold some interest after home wins against Liverpool and Arsenal and in looking at their run in must be targeted as a must win.

The Draw is available at (3.50) and this holds some value and interest in what will be a tough game with QPR pushing for the win.

Swansea have lost their last three matches and are priced at (3.80) which holds no real value. If you do fancy Swansea it makes sense to back +0.5 goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.88) keeping the draw on side.

As for goals the stats are mixed and the prices look about right with Over 2.5 at (2.00). Both Teams to Score at (1.73) also looks mixed with strong stats for QPR with 6 in the last 7 against similar opposition but nowhere near as strong for Swansea.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

The Draw (3.50)

BetsLayer Non-tv Value Highlights

Manchester City v West Brom - Manchester City HT/FT (1.80)
Manchester City have won 8 of their last 10 home victories to similar sides by this outcome and 4 of West Broms last 5 away defeats to similar opposition have also been by the HT/FT result

Wigan v Manchester United - Under 2.5 Goals (2.10)
Wigan have seen under 2.5 goals in the last 4 home games against similar opponents and its been the outcome in 3 of the last 4 Manchester United away games against similar opposition.

Wolves v Arsenal - Arsenal to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.12)
Wolves have lost 5 of the last 6 against similar opposition by this margin

Blackburn v Liverpool - Premier League Betting Value (April 10th)

BLACKBURN v LIVERPOOL (Tuesday 20:00pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Blackburn come into this game on the back of 3 straight losses, but priced at (3.60) are good value against a side with one eye on the weekends FA cup semi final. If you do fancy Blackburn then it makes good sense to back +0.25 goals on the Asian Handicap at (2.10) which offers half the odds if the game finishes a draw or even +0.5 goals at (1.80) keeping the draw fully on side.

The draw is available at (3.60) and this must be considered in a game neither can afford to lose

Liverpool have won just one of their last nine league fixtures and so a price of (2.15) looks to hold no value. If you do fancy Liverpool it would make sense to back to win by the 1 or 2 goal margin (2.47) with 6 of their last 7 victories coming by this margin.

As for goals the stats are pretty mixed and the odds look right at (2.00) for Under 2.5. Both Teams to Score also looks mixed and a price of (1.73) offers no value if anything the value is with the No having featured in 6 and 7 of both sides last 10 games against similar opposition. No on Both Teams to Score (2.20)

Finally the Half Time Draw could hold some decent value having featured in 6 of the last 10 games for both sides against similar opponents. Half Time Draw (2.25)

BetsLayer Value Highlight 

Blackburn +0.25 goals (2.10)

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 9th)

CHELSEA v FULHAM (Monday 20:00pm Sky Sports 1)

Fulham have won 7 of the last 10 home matches and are priced at (3.60) which offers some decent value. If you do fancy Fulham to do well against their neighbours there is good sense in backing +0.25 goals on the Asian Handicap at (2.00) this means you get half the odds if the game ends a draw.

The Draw is available at (3.50) and must be a serious contender in what will be a hard fought local derby and all the last 3 meetings have finished level.

Chelsea have lost 3 of the last 4 away games and won just 3 of 13 away fixtures against similar opponents and priced at (2.30) offer no value here.

As for goals Over 2.5 priced at (1.91) looks good value when 9 of the last 10 Fulham home games against similar opponents have resulted in 3 or more goals. Both Teams to Score at (1.70) looks priced with some  small value having featured in 8 of the last 10 Fulham home games against similar opposition.

Finally the Half Time Draw could be an interest at (2.30) this has been seen in 4 of the last 6 Chelsea away games against similar opponents.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

The Draw (3.50)


BetsLayer non-tv Value Highlights

NEWCASTLE v BOLTON - Newcastle HT/FT (2.38) offers value as 7 of Newcastle's last 10 home victories to similar opponents have come via the HT / FT result

EVERTON v SUNDERLAND - Dutch Everton to draw or win by 1 goal 0.5 points on each at (3.5) and (3.75) for combined odds of (1.81)

ASTON VILLA v STOKE - The Draw (3.25)

SPURS v NORWICH - Dutch Spurs to win by 1 or 2 goals 0.5 points on each at (4.33) for combined odds of (2.16) offers good value having been the outcome in 8 of the last 10 Spurs games against similar opponents.

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 8th)

MANCHESTER UNITED v QUEENS PARK RANGERS (Sunday 13:30pm Sky Sports 1)


Stats Analysis

Manchester United are priced at (1.20) which offers no real value, if you do fancy Manchester United then we have to look for ways to improve the price and value. The Manchester United HT/FT holds some small value at (1.61) and has featured in 8 of the last 10 home games against similar opposition. Perhaps of more interest is Manchester United to win to nil at (1.91) which has been the outcome in 5 of the last 7 Manchester United home games against similar opponents (including the last 3).

The Draw is available at (8.00) which holds value but not really much interest

QPR are priced at (17.00) which holds no real interest, there could though be an argument for backing on the +2 goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.91) and Manchester United have beaten this margin in only 3 of the last 7 home games against similar opponents.

As for goals, there is a very strong bias to 3 or more, but Under 2.5 at (3.00) could offer some value for trading purposes, but in truth its a difficult one to judge. No Both Teams to Score at (1.73) looks priced correctly.

Finally the second half to be highest scoring half could be of interest as it has been seen in 6 of the last 9 for Manchester United against similar opposition and also in 3 of the last 6 for QPR against similar opponents.. 2nd Half highest scoring (2.10)

BetsLayer Value Highlight

2nd Half highest scoring (2.10)

ARSENAL v MANCHESTER CITY (Sunday 16:00pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Arsenal are priced at (2.50) which offers no real value, if you do fancy Arsenal here it makes sense to back +0 goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.78), which keeps the draw onside and is effectively a draw no bet.

The Draw is available at (3.50) which holds value and must be a strong contender in what is a vital game for both these sides.

Manchester City are priced at (3.00) which looks a reasonable price, there is good sense in backing on the +0 goals on the Asian Handicap at (2.18).

As for goals Under 2.5 (2.10) offers value having featured in 8 of Manchester City's last 9 away games also in 4 of the last 5 head to heads at Arsenal. No Both Teams to Score (2.37) looks good value having  featured in 5 of Arsenal's last 8 home games against similar opposition also in 6 of the of Manchester City's last 7 away games.

The second half to be highest scoring half could be of interest as it has been seen in 6 of the last 10 for both sides against similar opposition. 2nd Half highest scoring (2.10)

Finally the Half time Draw at (2.30) Offers good value having featured in 8 of Arsenal's last 10 home games against similar opposition, also in 10 of Manchester City's last 12 away games.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Half Time Draw (2.30) 

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 7th)

SUNDERLAND v SPURS (Saturday 12.45pm Sky Sports 2)

Stats Analysis

Sunderland are available at (3.60) which is no real value when looking at both sides recent record to similar opponents. If you do fancy Sunderland back +0.25 Goals on the Asian Handicap (2.11) this is a good option. If the game is drawn you receive half of the odds.

Draw (3.50) Doesn't offer much value but should be given consideration

Spurs (2.25) Offers value but makes more sense if you do fancy Spurs to back -0.25 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.86) Offers value and if the game is drawn you only lose half of the stake

As for goals Over 2.5 Goals is (1.93) and good value, having featured in 9 of Sunderland's last 14 home games, also in 8 of Spurs last 10 away games to similar opponents. Both Teams to Score at (1.67) offers reasonable value having featured in 7 of Sunderland's last 10 home games to similar opposition also in 9 of Spurs last 10 away games to similar opponents.

Finally the Half Time Draw could be of interest at (2.30) having featured in 5 of the last 10 Sunderland home games against similar opponents and in 6 of the last 10 Spurs away games against similar opponents. Half Time Draw (2.30)

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Over 2.5 Goals (1.93)

STOKE v WOLVES (Saturday 17:30pm ESPN)

Stats Analysis

Stoke are available at (1.70) which holds slight value. If you do fancy Stoke there is good sense in backing -0.75 Goals on the Asian handicap at (1.97) this offers good value as 6 of Wolves last 10 away defeats against similar sides have come via 2 goals or more

The Draw is (3.80) This offers no real value

Wolves are priced at (6.00) which is correctly priced, if you do fancy Wolves to improve their recent form back +0.75 Goals on the Asian handicap at (1.96) when looking at Stokes record at home to similar sides this looks to offer value. However wolves have been on a terrible recent run.

As for goals Over 2.5 is value at (1.85) having featured in 6 of Stokes last 10 home games to similar opponents also in 7 of Wolves last 10 away games to similar opposition. Both teams to score is (1.85) which is a good option featuring in 7 of Stokes last 10 home games against similar opponents, also in 11 of Wolves last 15 away games.

Finally Over 1.5 Goals in the 1st half at (2.75) is a good value option especially in the case of Wolves having featured in 7 of their last 10 away games to similar opponents.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Stoke -0.75 Goals Asian handicap (1.97)

BetsLayer non-Tv Value Highlights

Bolton v Fulham - 1st goal after 25 mins (1.97)

Chelsea v Wigan - Second Half the highest scoring (2.10)

Norwich v Everton - The Draw (3.40)

Liverpool v Aston Villa - Dutch Liverpool to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.05)

West Brom v Blackburn - The Draw (3.75)

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 6th)

SWANSEA v NEWCASTLE (Friday 16:30pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats analysis

Swansea (2.50) offers no real value however they have only lost 1 in 6 home games to similar opponents. -0.25 goals on the Asian Handicap at (2.10) holds value, this means should the game end in a draw you only lose half of your stake.

The Draw is priced at (3.50) holds some good value and has to be a good option for this game

Newcastle (3.00) Offers good value especially when looking at Newcastle's recent away record to similar opponents. +0.25 goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.90) looks good value given both sides recent form to similar opposition. If the game is drawn you receive half the odds.

As for goals Under 2.5 at (1.80) looks good value having featured in all 6 of Swansea's 6 home games against similar opposition, also in 6 of Newcastle's last 10 away games against similar opponents.

Finally there should be some interest in the Half Time Draw (2.15) which holds some decent value having featured in 4 of Swansea's last 6 home games to similar opponents, also in 5 of Newcastle's last 10 away games.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

The Draw (3.50)

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 2nd)

BLACKBURN ROVERS v MANCHESTER UNITED (Monday 20:00pm Sky Sports 1)


Stats Analysis

Blackburn are priced at (9.00) which is no value, although they have only lost 5 of the last 10 against similar opponents. If you fancy Blackburn to do well again after their win at Old Trafford, back +1.25 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.98) which makes good sense given they have only lost by 2 or more goals once in 10 matches against similar opponents. 

The Draw is available at (5.00) and at this price must be a good option given the head to heads with 3 draws in the last 5 at Ewood Park.

Manchester United are priced correctly at (1.40). If you do fancy them Dutch to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.07) given the above stats regarding Blackburn this is a price that holds good value and has featured in 4 of Manchester United's last 6 away victories to similar opponents and in 6 of Blackburn's last 7 home defeats to similar opposition.

As for goals there is a strong bias to 3 or more but priced at (1.66) is one perhaps best left alone. The both teams to score is also mixed and at (1.87) doesn't hold much attraction.

Finally the Half Time Draw could be of interest having featured in 7 of the last 10 Blackburn home games against similar opponents and at (2.65) is a nice looking price.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Blackburn +1.25 Goals Asian Handicap (1.98)