Sunday 8 April 2012

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 8th)



MANCHESTER UNITED v QUEENS PARK RANGERS (Sunday 13:30pm Sky Sports 1)


Stats Analysis


Manchester United are priced at (1.20) which offers no real value, if you do fancy Manchester United then we have to look for ways to improve the price and value. The Manchester United HT/FT holds some small value at (1.61) and has featured in 8 of the last 10 home games against similar opposition. Perhaps of more interest is Manchester United to win to nil at (1.91) which has been the outcome in 5 of the last 7 Manchester United home games against similar opponents (including the last 3).

The Draw is available at (8.00) which holds value but not really much interest

QPR are priced at (17.00) which holds no real interest, there could though be an argument for backing on the +2 goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.91) and Manchester United have beaten this margin in only 3 of the last 7 home games against similar opponents.

As for goals, there is a very strong bias to 3 or more, but Under 2.5 at (3.00) could offer some value for trading purposes, but in truth its a difficult one to judge. No Both Teams to Score at (1.73) looks priced correctly.

Finally the second half to be highest scoring half could be of interest as it has been seen in 6 of the last 9 for Manchester United against similar opposition and also in 3 of the last 6 for QPR against similar opponents.. 2nd Half highest scoring (2.10)

BetsLayer Value Highlight

2nd Half highest scoring (2.10)

ARSENAL v MANCHESTER CITY (Sunday 16:00pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Arsenal are priced at (2.50) which offers no real value, if you do fancy Arsenal here it makes sense to back +0 goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.78), which keeps the draw onside and is effectively a draw no bet.

The Draw is available at (3.50) which holds value and must be a strong contender in what is a vital game for both these sides.

Manchester City are priced at (3.00) which looks a reasonable price, there is good sense in backing on the +0 goals on the Asian Handicap at (2.18).

As for goals Under 2.5 (2.10) offers value having featured in 8 of Manchester City's last 9 away games also in 4 of the last 5 head to heads at Arsenal. No Both Teams to Score (2.37) looks good value having  featured in 5 of Arsenal's last 8 home games against similar opposition also in 6 of the of Manchester City's last 7 away games.

The second half to be highest scoring half could be of interest as it has been seen in 6 of the last 10 for both sides against similar opposition. 2nd Half highest scoring (2.10)

Finally the Half time Draw at (2.30) Offers good value having featured in 8 of Arsenal's last 10 home games against similar opposition, also in 10 of Manchester City's last 12 away games.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Half Time Draw (2.30) 

No comments:

Post a Comment