Sunday 11 March 2012

Premier League Betting Value (March 11th)



NORWICH v WIGAN (Sunday 16:00pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis


Wigan are really struggling at the moment and the defeat last weekend led to crisis talks between manager and chairman, which doesn't bode well for a tough trip to Norfolk. Norwich have lost only 4 times at home and are available at (1.96) which looks about right to the ratings. If you do fancy Norwich to win Dutch Norwich to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.30) makes good sense as this has been the margin in all 5 of Norwich's home wins and also in 8 of Wigan's last 10 away defeats to similar opponents.

The draw is available at a healthy looking (3.80) which can't be discounted

Wigan are available at (4.50) which offers no value and not much appeal. If you do fancy Wigan it would be wise to keep the draw on side and back +0.5 Goals Asian Handicap (2.00)

As for goals there is a strong bias for 3 or more, Over 2.5 goals is priced at (1.83) which looks good value and has been seen in 10 of Wigan's last 15 away games including last 8. Both teams to score looks another strong option having featured in 7 of the last 10 Norwich home games and in 7 of the last 8 Wigan Away game. Both teams to score (1.73)

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Norwich to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.30)

BetsLayer non-TV highlights

Manchester United v West Brom = 2nd Half Highest Scoring (2.10)
Swansea v Manchester City = Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 goals (1.95)
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