Tuesday 20 March 2012

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (March 21st)


MANCHESTER CITY v CHELSEA (Wednesday 19.45pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Manchester City are priced at (1.91) and with an excellent home record this is great value and City must win to keep the pressure on their neighbours at the top of the Premier League. To improve the price further Dutch Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.30), 6 of the last 7 victories against similar opponents have come via this margin has have all of the last 10 Chelsea defeats against similar opposition..

The Draw is available at (3.60) this offers no real value but should be considered in what will be a tight game with so much at stake for both sides.

Chelsea are available at (4.50) and this offers no value or interest. If you do fancy Chelsea to get something  then +0.50 Goals on the Asian Handicap is probably the best option. +0.50 Goals on the Asian Handicap (2.16)

As for goals Over 2.5 at (1.91) holds good value featuring in 12 of Man City's last 15 home matches and also featured in 5 of Chelsea's last 6 away games to similar opponents. Both Teams to Score looks mixed, with No priced at (1.91) having featured in only 2 of Man City's last 10 at home to similar opponents, but not as strongly for Chelsea.

Finally for something a bit different try the 2nd Half to be Highest Scoring (2.10), this looks to offer some value featuring in 5 of Man City's last 8 at home to similar opponents although again the stats are mixed and it doesn't feature as strongly for Chelsea.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Manchester City to win (1.91)

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