ARSENAL v NEWCASTLE (Monday 20:00 Sky Sports 1)
Stats Analysis
Arsenal are looking for a fifth successive Premier League victory and go into this game in confident mood, they are priced at (1.44) which looks a little short against the ratings. If you do fancy Arsenal there could be some legs in going with the -1.5 Goals Asian Handicap (2.10) this offers value and 4 of the last 7 Arsenal victories against similar opposition have been by 2 or more goals, as have all the last 6 Newcastle defeats. For a safer option try the -1.25 Goals which means you only lose half your stake if Arsenal win by 1 goal, priced at (1.91)
The draw is priced at (5.25) and this offers good value and should be considered
Newcastle have lost three of their last four away matches in the Premier League and have only 1 win in their last 10 away against similar opposition, also taking just one point from nine in visits to London this season. Newcastle are available at a healthy looking (8.00). If you do fancy Newcastle it would be worth considering +1.25 Goals Asian Handicap (2.12). Arsenal win by a single goal you receive half of the odds or even +1.5 goals at (1.88).
As for goals there is bias to 3 or more, this has featured in 11 of the last 15 Arsenal home games and in 9 of the last 15 Newcastle away games. Over 2.5 goals is priced at a restrictive (1.61). Both Teams to score has featured in 9 of the last 15 home and away games for both sides but again looks priced about right at (1.83)
Finally the Half Time draw looks a good value option having featured in 7 of the last 9 Arsenal home games against similar opponents and also in 5 of Newcastle's last 10 away to similar opposition. Half Time draw is priced at (2.50).
BetsLayer Value Selection
Half Time draw (2.50)
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