CHELSEA v SPURS (Saturday 12:45pm Sky Sports 2)
Stats Analysis
Chelsea are priced at (1.95) which looks value considering Chelsea's recent head to head record with 4 wins in the last 5 and Spurs away record to similar opposition where they have lost 5 of the last 8. To improve the price back Chelsea to win by 1 or 2 goals, this has been the margin in all 8 of Chelsea's last 8 victories against similar opposition and the margin in 4 of the last 5 Spurs defeats. Chelsea to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.40)
The Draw available at (3.60) looks value and in a game which is a must win for both sides must be strongly considered.
Spurs (4.33) looks priced about right, if you do fancy Spurs back +0.50 Goals on the Asian Handicap which holds value at (2.03).
As for goals Over 2.5 Goals is priced at (1.80) which is value having featured in 8 of Chelsea's last 10 home games to similar opponents and also in 6 of Spurs last 10 away games to similar opponents. Both Teams to score looks mixed and there is little value in the price of (1.66), so probably best left alone
Finally there could be interest in the Half Time draw, this has featured in 6 of the last 10 Chelsea home games against similar opponents and 3 of the last 4 Spurs away games against similar opposition. Half Time Draw (2.25)
Finally there could be interest in the Half Time draw, this has featured in 6 of the last 10 Chelsea home games against similar opponents and 3 of the last 4 Spurs away games against similar opposition. Half Time Draw (2.25)
BetsLayer Value Highlight
Chelsea to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.40)
STOKE v MANCHESTER CITY (Saturday 17:30pm ESPN)
Stats Anlysis
Stoke are priced to win here at (6.00) which holds value, as does +0.75 Goals on the Asian handicap at (2.10). Stoke have only lost 3 of last 10 at home to similar opponents.
The Draw is available at (3.80) which holds some value, but not that much appeal
Manchester City are priced up at (1.62) which holds no value. Dutch Man City to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.14) 6 of Man City's last 8 away victories have come via the 1 or 2 goal margin. Stoke have not lost by more than 2 goals at home in the last 2 seasons.
As for goals Under 2.5 at (1.85) looks to hold some value, 2 or less goals has featured in 7 of Stoke' s last 10 at home to similar opposition, also in 7 of Manchester City's last 10 away games against similar opponents. Both Teams to score looks like one to avoid as it priced correctly at (2.00) the pair.
The Half Time Draw again could interest featuring in all the last 5 Manchester City away games against similar opponents and priced at a healthy looking (2.25)
The Half Time Draw again could interest featuring in all the last 5 Manchester City away games against similar opponents and priced at a healthy looking (2.25)
BetsLayer Value Highlight
Dutch Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.14)
BetsLayer Non-TV Value Highlights
Arsenal v Aston Villa = Dutch Arsenal to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.02)
Bolton v Blackburn = Bolton to win (2.30)
Liverpool v Wigan = Dutch Liverpool to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.00)
Liverpool v Wigan = Dutch Liverpool to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.00)
Swansea v Everton = The Draw (3.40)
Sunderland v QPR = Over 2.5 goals (2.00)Norwich v Wolves = Norwich to win (1.80)
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