MANCHESTER CITY v BLACKBURN (5.30 pm Saturday Sky Sports 1)
Stats Analysis
This Lancashire derby looks a total mismatch, with the League leaders Manchester City having a dominant home record and Blackburn struggling in 17th place just above the relegation zone, the price for the home win here looks about right to the ratings at (1.25). An alternative is Manchester City -2 goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.87) but they have only beaten this 4 times in the last 9 against similar opposition. Perhaps of more appeal is backing Manchester City to score Over 2.5 goals as this covers Blackburn scoring and this has been the outcome in 7 of the last 10 against similar opponents this can be backed at (1.83)
The draw can be backed at (7.00) and although this offers some value it offers no real attraction.
Blackburn's form is very up and down when playing away to similar opposition and they can be backed at (19.00), this offers no value. If you do fancy Blackburn to put up a good fight then they can be backed on the Asian Handicap +2 goals at (2.10) and looking at their previous form away to similar opponents you would have only lost your stake in 3 of the last 10 matches.
As for goals there is a very strong trend for over 2.5 goals, with it featuring in all 10 of Manchester City's games against similar opposition and in 12 of the last 15 generally, however priced at (1.42) this looks like one to leave alone. Both teams to score could be of interest as Blackburn have scored in 7 of the last 10 against similar opponents, but Manchester City don't often concede so its maybe priced with only a little value at (2.00).
BetsLayer Value Highlight
Manchester City to score Over 2.5 goals (1.83)
BetsLayer non-TV Value Highlights
Newcastle v Wolves = Over 2.5 goals (1.91)
Chelsea v Bolton = 2nd Half Highest scoring (2.10)QPR v Fulham = Draw (3.40)
West Brom v Sunderland = Draw (3.40)Wigan v Aston Villa = Draw (3.40)
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