Sunday 5 February 2012

Liverpool v Spurs - Premier League Betting Value (6th Feb)



LIVERPOOL v SPURS

Stats Analysis

Liverpool look short here to win this game (2.20). If you do fancy Liverpool to win then Spurs will definitely not be easy to breakdown and all 7 of their last 7 defeats against similar opponents have come via the 1 or 2 goal margin, Dutching Liverpool to win by 1 or 2 goals at (2.44) makes good sense.

Spurs are priced at (3.75) and this offers some good value. However given Liverpool's strong home form against similar opposition and head to head record against Spurs it makes sense to keep the draw on side and Spurs can be backed on the Asian Handicap +0.25 goals at (2.12) or +0.5 goals at (1.80). The draw is priced at (3.40) and this offers some small value and should be considered.

As for goals there are some pretty mixed stats in this game and there appears to be no real value in the Over / Unders or Both Teams to Score markets. Maybe of interest is the 2/3 total goals as this has been the outcome in 9 of the last 10 Liverpool games against similar opposition and in 5 from the last 10 Spurs away games against similar opponents. 2/3 goals available at (2.00)

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Lay Liverpool to win at (2.20) or Back Spurs on Asian Handicap +0.5 goals at (1.80)

Note: If no access to a betting exchange or Asian Handicap.. Dutch the draw (3.40) and the away win (3.75) e.g If using a £100 stake place £52.45 on the draw and £47.55 on Spurs. 

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