MANCHESTER UNITED v LIVERPOOL (12.45 Sky Sports 2)
Stats Analysis
The ratings are highlighting some good value in Manchester United's price here at (1.90) and given the recent form in this fixture with United winning 7 from the last 8 this looks a very solid option.
Dutching Manchester United to win by 1 or 2 goals makes some sense as all 8 of their last 8 home victories to similar opposition have come via this margin. This has also featured in 4 of Liverpool's last 5 away defeats to similar opponents. Dutching the Manchester United victory by 1 or 2 goals at (2.20)
Liverpool are priced at (4.50) and this offers no value to the two sides ratings. If you do fancy Liverpool to do well then it could pay to keep the draw on side and Liverpool can be backed on the Asian handicap +0.5 goals at (2.10). The draw is priced at (3.60) and again holds little value.
As for goals there seems to be some slight value in siding with 2 or less, this has been seen in 6 of the last 10 Manchester United home games against similar opposition and also in 5 of the last 10 Liverpool away games at similar opponents. Under 2.5 goals (1.96). Both teams to score looks mixed and is difficult to assess and there is no real value having featured in 5 of both sides last 10 against similar opposition. Both Teams to score (2.10).
As with a number of these tense big games we might expect a tight start to this game and the teams have been level at the break in 50% of their respective last 10 games against similar opponents. The HT draw is priced at (2.25) which looks good value given the above. Following on from this the 2nd half has been the highest scoring in 6 of Manchester Uniteds last 10 home games to similar opposition and in 7 of Liverpool's last 10 away games to similar opponents. The second half to be the highest scoring can be backed at (2.15).
Second half to be the highest scoring (2.15)
SPURS v NEWCASTLE (17.30 ESPN)
Stats Analysis
Looking at the ratings it shows Spurs are priced with very little value infact they are looking a little short at (1.50). Newcastle do though have a very poor away record at similar rated opposition winning only 1 from their last 10 and losing 6. If you do fancy Spurs to win then dutching them to win by 1 or 2 goals makes sense as 4 of their last 5 home victories to similar opposition have come via the 1 or 2 goal margin as has 4 of Newcastles last 6 away defeats to similar opponents. Dutching the Spurs victory by 1 or 2 goals at (2.00)
Newcastle can be backed at (7.50) and they have won 2 of the last 4 head to heads at Spurs. If you do fancy Newcastle to do well they can be backed +1 goal at (2.20) or even +1.25 goals at (1.90). This means should Newcastle lose by the single goal then you receive half the odds. The draw can be backed at (4.40) and this looks to hold some value.
As for goals there are some mixed stats looking at both sides and there appears to be no value in the Over / Under 2.5 goal markets. Both Teams to score seems an option as this has featured in 10 of Spurs last 16 home games and also in 10 of Newcastle's last 16 away games. Both teams to score can be backed at (1.91) and looks worth consideration.
BetsLayer Value Highlight
Dutching the Spurs victory by 1 or 2 goals at (2.00)
BetsLayer Value Selections for non TV games
Blackburn v QPR - Over 2.5 goals (2.00)
Bolton v Wigan - The draw (3.50)
Everton v Chelsea - The draw (3.33)
Fulham v Stoke - Fulham to win (2.00)
Sunderland v Arsenal - Sunderland +0.25 goals at (2.10)
Swansea v Norwich - The draw (3.50)
BetsLayer Value Selections for non TV games
Blackburn v QPR - Over 2.5 goals (2.00)
Bolton v Wigan - The draw (3.50)
Everton v Chelsea - The draw (3.33)
Fulham v Stoke - Fulham to win (2.00)
Sunderland v Arsenal - Sunderland +0.25 goals at (2.10)
Swansea v Norwich - The draw (3.50)
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