SUNDERLAND v NORWICH
Stats Analysis
Sunderland can be backed at (1.80) and this doesn't hold much value, although they are vastly improved since the change of manager. If you do fancy Sunderland then taking them to win by 1 or 2 goals makes sense as Norwich have genrally been a tough side to beat strongly. Dutching Sunderland to win by 1 or 2 goals at (2.20).
Norwich are priced at (5.00) and this looks to offer some value and with a strong draw bias to this game if you do fancy Norwich to do well then it would seem wise to keep the draw on side, Norwich can be backed on the Asian Handicap + 0.75 goals at (1.85)
Sunderland have had +2.5 goals in 6 of the last 10 home matches (11 of the last 19 league games) as have Norwich in 7 of their 11 away fixtures. Over 2.5 goals (1.91). Both teams to score looks strong and both teams have found the net in 7 of Sunderlands last 10 home games to similar opposition and in 10 of Norwich's opening 11 away games. Both teams to score at (1.80)
BetsLayer Value Highlight
Over 2.5 goals (1.91)
BOLTON v ARSENAL
Stats Analysis
After 3 straight league defeats can Arsenal bounce back at a ground they have found tough on recent visits. Looking at the ratings there is some small value about Bolton at (5.50). They have lost 6 from 10 at home against similar rated sides, but do hold 3 wins from the last 5 against Arsenal at the Reebok. If you do fancy Bolton to continue their recent improvement it would certainly make sense to back on the Asian Handicap at +0.75 goals which keeps the draw on side, available at (2.10). The draw is available at (3.50) and whilst offering no real amount of value should be considered.
There is no real value about Arsenal's price here at (1.67), their record at similar rated sides is strong though with 6 wins from 10 games but they have only won 4 from the last 15 away games. (Arsenal have won those 4 away wins in the last 7 games though). If you do fancy Arsenal to win here, it does make some sense to back them to win HT/FT this has featured in all 6 of Bolton's home defeats and also in 5 of Arsenal's 6 away wins against similar rated opposition. Arsenal HT/FT (2.50). An alternative is backing Arsenal to be leading at HT they have been ahead 8 of the last 10 games against similar rated sides. Arsenal HT (2.20)
Analysing the goals markets, there is strong bias to +2.5 goals, this has featured in 8 of Bolton's last 9 home games and 13 from Arsenal's last 15 away, 9 from 10 against similar rated opposition. Over 2.5 goals is available at (1.73) and looks a value price. Both teams to score also looks stong, featuring in 8 from Bolton's 15 home games (4 from last 7 against similar rated) and 12 from 15 Arsenal's away games (6 from 10 against similar rated teams). Both Teams to Score at (1.7) offers only little value though and its not really of interest as there are better options available.
There have been +3.5 goals scored in 7 of the last 10 Bolton home games against similar opposition and in 5 of the last 7 of Arsenal’s away games against similar opposition. Over 3.5 (2.75)
BetsLayer Value Highlight
Over 2.5 goals (1.73)
ASTON VILLA v QPR
Stats Analysis
There have been -2.5 goals scored in 11 of the last 15 Aston Villa home matches (7 of the last 12 against similar opposition) and in 4 of the last 4 QPR away games. Under 2.5 goals (1.80)
BetsLayer Value Highlight
Under 2.5 goals (1.80)
FULHAM v WBA
Stats Analysis
Over 2.5 goals or more have been scored in 7 of the last 9 Fulham home matches and in 13 of the 17 WBA’s away fixtures. Over 2.5 goals (1.95)
BetsLayer Value Highlight
Over 2.5 goals (1.95)
BLACKBURN v NEWCASTLE
Stats Analysis
Blackburn have drawn the first half in 8 of the last 11 home matches against similar opposition and this has also been seen in 6 of the last 10 Newcastle away games against similar opposition. HT draw (2.20)
There have been -2.5 goals in 7 of the last 8 Newcastle away matches against similar opposition and in 6 of the last 10 Blackburn home games against similar opposition. Under 2.5 goals (1.90)
BetsLayer Value Highlight
HT draw (2.20)
(Note: Reduced write ups due to work commitments)
(Note: Reduced write ups due to work commitments)
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