MANCHESTER UNITED v BLACKBURN
Stats Analysis
The ratings are suggesting there is no value in backing Manchester United to win at (1.17) and this looks a little on the short side even accounting for Manchester Uniteds very impressive W9 D1 L0 record at home to similar rated sides. Manchester United have had W/W double results in 12 of the last 14 home matches against low rated teams. Manchester United HT/FT (1.5). Alternatively Manchester United as the only team to score at (1.73) is not a bad shout, they have won 7 of their last 10 home victories against similar rated sides to nil so this looks an option.
Rovers have lost 11 of 18 Premier League games this season and have lost by two or more goals in 10 of the last 15 trips to top rated teams. Blackburn can be backed at (26.00) and this looks about right. If you do fancy Blackburn to do well then they can be backed on the Asian Handicap +2 goals (2.20). The draw is available at (7.50) and it does offer value, but little attraction.
As for goals there is a bias to 3 or more however we would not suggest getting involved in this market as Over 2.5 goals can be backed at a very short (1.44). Both teams to score looks to offer some value and this can be backed at a resonable looking (2.50). Both teams have scored in 13 of Blackburn's last 15 away games and in 5 of their last 9 away to top rated sides. It has also been seen in 5 of the last 10 against similar rated sides and in 3 of the last 5 at Old Trafford.
The 2nd half has been the highest scoring half in 7 of Manchester United's last 10 at home to similar rated sides and in 5 of Blackburn's last 8 away to top rated sides. The 2nd half to be the highest scoring can be backed at 6/5 (2.20)
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The 2nd half to be the highest scoring (2.20)
ARSENAL v QPR
Stats Analysis
Arsenal have won 14 of the last 16 home matches against low rated teams, there is though little value in their price of (1.29). Dutching Arsenal to win by 1 or 2 goals makes some sense as it has been the margin in 6 of the last 8 home victories against low rated sides. Arsenal to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.00)
QPR have lost 5 of their 9 away matches, there though value in their price of (15.00). The Draw is (6.00) and also offers value but not really much attraction. If you do fancy QPR then backing on the Asian Handicap +2 goals makes sense at (1.85).
As for goals there is bias to 2 or less, this has been the outcome in 10 of the last 15 Arsenal home games and in 5 of their last 10 against similar rated sides, also in 2 of the 3 for QPR against similar rated sides. There looks good value about the price. Under 2.5 goals (2.70). Both teams to score looks unlikely, featuring in only 6 of the last 15 Arsenal home games an 4 from 10 against similar rated teams. No on Both Teams to score (1.9)
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No on Both Teams to score (1.9)
BOLTON v WOLVES
Stats Analysis
Bolton have scored first in 9 of the last 12 home matches against similar rated team, but in their odds to win there is very little value (2.25)
Wolves have lost 12 of the last 19 away matches. There is though value in their price to win this game (3.50). There is good value in the draw at (3.60) in a game neither team can afford to lose.
As for goals there are strong stats for 3 or more, this has been seen in 10 of the last 15 home games and in 9 of the last 15 away games. Over 2.5 goals (1.85)
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Over 2.5 goals (1.85)
CHELSEA v ASTON VILLA
Stats Analysis
Chelsea have won 12 of the last 16 home matches, but there is no value about their price at (1.29)
Aston Villa have lost by two or more goals in 6 of their last 8 trips to top rated teams. There is value about their price at (13.00). The draw is available at (6.00) and offers value.
As for goals there is definite bias to 3 or more, having been seen in 12 of the last 15 home games and 9 from 15 away games, 9 from 10 against top rated sides. Overs is value at (1.67). Both teams to score looks great value as this has been the outcome in 11 from 15 for both home and away and also in 7 from the last 10 in both respective home and away against similar rated teams. Both Teams to score (2.10).
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Both Teams to score (2.10)
NORWICH v FULHAM
Stats Analysis
Norwich have won 4 of the last 7 home matches and they have scored in 15 of 18 league games. There is some value in their price here (2.75)
Fulham have lost 11 of the last 20 away games when conceding and 9 of 17 away matches against similar rated teams. There is no real value in their price (2.75). The draw is priced at (3.40) and offers some value in what looks a tight game.
As for goals its difficult to assess, there is a bias to 2 or less, but this is mainly down to Fulham who have seen this in 12 of the last 15 away and in 8 of the last 10 away to similar rated sides. Under 2.5 (1.96). Both teams scored in all 4 of Norwich's games against similar rated teams and 5 of the last 10 Fulham away matches against similar rated sides, there doesn't look much value in the price at (1.77) though.
The draw at (3.40)
STOKE v WIGAN
Stats Analysis
Stoke have scored first in 12 of 15 home matches against low rated teams, the ratings show there is not much value in Stokes current price (1.67). If you do fancy Stoke to win then dutching thrm to win by 1 or 2 goals makes sense as 4 of their last 5 home victories has been by this margin. Stoke to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.05)
Wigan have lost 7 of the last 8 away matches against top-half teams. There is though value in their price of (5.50), If you do fancy Wigan then it might be wise to keep the draw onside on the Asian Handicap + 0.5 (2.15). The draw is priced at a value (3.80)
Wigan have lost 7 of the last 8 away matches against top-half teams. There is though value in their price of (5.50), If you do fancy Wigan then it might be wise to keep the draw onside on the Asian Handicap + 0.5 (2.15). The draw is priced at a value (3.80)
As for goals there doesn't seem to be any standout stats, the price available is about right. Under 2.5 (1.95). Both teams to score looks a little more attractive, this has been seen in 8 of the last 15 home games and in 7 of Wigan's last 10 away against similar rated sides. Both teams to score (1.9)
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Stoke to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.05)
SWANSEA v SPURS
Stats Analysis
Swansea have the best home defensive record in the division with just three goals conceded, but coming up against a Spurs side in brilliant form will certainly test their home record. They are though value (5.50) to win this game.
Victory for Spurs would equal their record total away wins in a Premier League season of seven, their price to win this game is about right (1.72). The Draw at (3.8) is no real value, but could be considered. Spurs have drawn the first half in 6 of their 8 away matches against similar rated teams.(2.40)
There have been -2.5 goals in 7 of the 9 Swansea home matches, and there has been Over 2.5 goals in only 4 of Spurs last 10 away games to similar rated sides. Under 2.5 goals (1.97).
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Under 2.5 goals (1.97)
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