Monday 31 December 2012

Happy New Year Premier League Betting Value Jan 1st


MANCHESTER CITY v STOKE

The Home side to be leading at Half Time (1.75), seen in 14 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Home Clean Sheet (1.80), again looks a strong value option, seen in 13 of the 19 games. The Home side to score Both Halves (2.00), seen in 15 of the 19 games or the Home side to win Both Halves (2.80) seen in 11 of the 19 games, are other value alternatives. Total Home Goals Over 2.5 (2.25), offers decent value, seen in 8 of the 10 Manchester City home games against similar opponents, 11 from 19 over all.

SOUTHAMPTON v ARSENAL

There is reasonable value about the Away side (1.73), seen in 8 of the last 11 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Over 2.5 Goals (1.62), is again short but value, seen in 9 of the 11 games. The Home side Most Booking points (2.40) is an interesting angle, seen in 7 of the 11 games. The away side to Score Both Halves (2.40), is another option seen in 8 of the 11 games. Finally First Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.62), some real value here, seen in 9 of the 11 games.

SWANSEA v ASTON VILLA

The Half Time Draw (2.38) looks decent value, seen in 11 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. The Full Time Draw (4.16) could be a longer odds value option, seen in 8 of the 19 games, although with both you have to factor in Villa's recent terrible form. Finally the Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.80), some strong stats here, seen in 15 of the 19 games.

SPURS v READING

Home Clean Sheet No (1.73), seen in 9 of the last 10 Spurs home games against similar opposition, odds can be improved by backing Away side Total Goals Over 0.5 (1.83), this is further backed up with the Both Teams to Score (2.10), seen in 8 of the 10 games. 

WEST BROM v FULHAM

The Half Time Draw (2.25) looks reasonable value, seen in 11 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Both Teams to Score No (2.20), looks great value, seen in 14 of the 20 games.

WEST HAM v NORWICH

The Half Time Draw (2.25) looks reasonable value, seen in 10 of the last 17 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Over 2.5 Goals (1.91), seen in 11 of the 17 games. 

WIGAN v MANCHESTER UNITED

Both Teams to Score No (2.38), solid value and seen in 12 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.



EARLY BIRD LAYS



This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value and at this time only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Manchester City v Stoke - Lay HT 0-0  (3.80) 

Southampton v Arsenal - Lay HT 0-0  (3.70)

Again just two selections for New Years Day , 29th 2 winners , running total =

9 Selections
6 Winners 3 Losers
Total =  - £40

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