Friday 28 December 2012

Premier League Betting Value December 29th



ARSENAL v NEWCASTLE

There is little value about Arsenal here (1.50), it could be worth laying them to lead at Half Time (1.95), seen in only 5 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition and Arsenal have only led at the break in 2 of their last 10 against similar opponents. Another way of profiting from the above is to Lay Arsenal in the Half Time / Full Time (2.05), seen in only 4 of the 19 games over all and only 1 of the last 10 for Arsenal. Both Teams to Score (1.91), looks solid value, seen in 12 of the 19 games.

ASTON VILLA v WIGAN

Some good value about the Half Time Draw (2.10), seen in 12 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. 

FULHAM v SWANSEA

There is reasonable value about the Home side to be leading at Half Time (2.88), seen in 10 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. The Home side to win (2.22), also holds reasonable value, seen in 12 of the 19 games. For a slightly longer odds value bet the Home Clean Sheet (3.00) could be worth a look, seen in 10 of the 19 games. This is backed up with the Both Teams to Score No (2.20), seen in 12 of the 19 games. Another value option is the Home side in the Race to 2 Goals (2.38), seen in 11 of the 19 games.

MANCHESTER UNITED v WEST BROM

There is some decent value about the Home Side to be leading Half Time / Full Time (1.90), seen in 14 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

NORWICH v MANCHESTER CITY

Some reasonable value about the Half Time Draw (2.40), seen in 8 of the last 15 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. There is also reasonable value in the Under 2.5 Goals (2.20), seen in 9 of the 15 games. Slightly less but still value is the Both Teams to Score No (2.10), also seen in 9 of the 15 games.

READING v WEST HAM

The Draw looks a decent choice here at (3.50), seen in 5 of the last 10 West Ham away games against similar opposition. Both Teams to Score (1.67), looks strong, seen in 9 of the last 11 games these two sides have featured in against similar opposition.

STOKE v SOUTHAMPTON

No Value found on this game.

SUNDERLAND v SPURS

The Draw looks a reasonable choice here at (3.55), seen in 7 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Both Teams to Score (1.80), looks good value, seen in 12 of the 18 games.




EARLY BIRD LAYS



This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value and at this time only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Sunderland v Spurs - Lay HT 0-0  (3.00) 

Manchester United v West Brom - Lay HT 0-0  (4.00)

Just two selections for the 29th, Boxing day 1 winner and 1 loser, running total =

7 Selections
4 Winners 3 Losers
Total =  - £135


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