Tuesday 25 December 2012

Boxing Day Premier League Betting Value 26th December


ASTON VILLA v SPURS

Race to 2 Goals Away side (2.38), good value and seen in 10 of the last 18 games these two sides have faced against similar opposition.

EVERTON v WIGAN

The Half Time Draw (2.50), holds reasonable value, seen in 10 of the last 19 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. Under 2.5 Goals (2.24), seen in 11 of the 19 games. Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.95), looks great value, seen in 14 of the 19 games.

FULHAM v SOUTHAMPTON

The Home Side to be leading at Half Time (2.50), seen in 6 of the last 10 Fulham home games against similar opposition and in 7 from 11 over all. There is also good value about the Fulham win (1.92), seen in 7 of the 10 Fulham games and 8 of the 11 games. Over 2.5 Goals (1.73), seen in 9 of the 11 games. 

MANCHESTER UNITED v NEWCASTLE

There is no value about Manchester United here, the Home Clean Sheet No (1.73) holds value, seen in 14 of the last 19 games these two sides have featured in against similar opponents, improve these odds by backing Total Goals Away side Over 0.5 Goals (1.91). If you're looking for a decent Lay bet United to win both halves (2.50), only achieved 2 times in the last 10 home games against similar opposition.

NORWICH v CHELSEA

No Value found on this game

QPR v WEST BROM

The Half Time Draw (2.20), holds reasonable value, seen in 11 of the last 20 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. 

READING v SWANSEA

There could be some value about the Draw (3.52), seen in 4 of the last 9 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. No other value found, its always tough when two sides with little Premier League History.

STOKE v LIVERPOOL

There is some great value about the Home Side (3.62), winners in 11 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. The Away side Most Booking Points (2.60), seen in 11 of the 19 games. Another longer odds option is the Home Side to win the Second Half (3.75), also seen in 11 of the 19 games, an alternative could be to win Either Half (2.20), seen in 14 of the 19 games.

SUNDERLAND v MANCHESTER CITY

The Half Time Draw (2.45), holds reasonable value, seen in 12 of the last 19 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. Dutch Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.08 combined), seen in 11 of the 19 games.

http://www.oddschecker.com/betting-tools/dutching-calculator.html


EARLY BIRD LAYS



This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value and at this time only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Aston Villa v Spurs - Lay HT 0-0  (3.25) 

Fulham v Southampton - Lay HT 0-0  (3.40)

Just two selections on Boxing day, running total =

5 Selections
3 Winners 2 Losers
Total =  -£70









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