Wednesday 2 January 2013

Premier League Betting Value December 2nd


CHELSEA v QPR

There is value in the Home side to win (1.25), although at the odds only really for the big hitters. seen in all 16 of the last 16 games involving these two sides against similar opponents. Over 2.5 Goals (1.53), short but looks good value seen in 14 of the 16 games. Over 3.5 Goals (2.38), could be worth a look if you fancy a slightly longer odds bet, seen in 9 from the 16 games. Both Teams to Score (2.10), looks reasonable value, seen in 11 of the 16 games. The away side Most Booking Points (2.70), looks interesting seen in 10 of the 16 games. The Home side to Score Over 2.5 (1.91) again seen in 11 of the 16 games.

LIVERPOOL v SUNDERLAND

There is little value about the Home side to win (1.44), so this could be worth opposing, only seen 8 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Under 2.5 Goals (2.20), looks solid value, seen in 13 of the 20 games.

NEWCASTLE v EVERTON

Both Teams to Score (1.67), short but again value, seen in 12 of the last 17 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Under 10.5 Corners (2.10), looks an option seen in 11 of the 17 games.


EARLY BIRD LAYS



This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value and at this time only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Manchester City v Stoke - Lay HT 0-0  (3.80) WON

Southampton v Arsenal - Lay HT 0-0  (3.70) WON

Again two winners for New Years Day , no selections today, running total =

11 Selections
8 Winners 3 Losers
Total =  £55

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