Saturday 19 January 2013

Premier League Betting Value January 19th


MANCHESTER CITY v FULHAM

No Value found on this game

NEWCASTLE v READING


Newcastle are value to win this game, but not enough for a selection especially considering their recent form, if you do fancy Newcastle to win then the Winning Margin of 1 goal (4.00) looks good as a longer odds value bet, seen in 9 of the last 17 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Under 2.5 Goals (2.18), looks reasonable value, seen in 11 of the 17 games.  Home Clean Sheet (2.63), looks strong also seen in 11 of the 17 games. Another alternative to profit from this stat is the Both Teams To Score No (2.20), seen in 12 of the 17 games.

LIVERPOOL v NORWICH

Liverpool are again too short for this game and I wouldn't talk you out of laying them at (1.36), the Home Side Winning only 5 of the last 15 games these two sides have played against similar opponents. Under 2.5 Goals (2.62), looks good value, seen in 10 of the 15 games. A safer option could be the Home Side Under 2.5 Goals (1.80), seen in 12 of the 15 games. Second Half Under 1.5 (2.10), seen in 11 of the 15 games.

SWANSEA v STOKE

Both Teams To Score NO (1.95), looks good value, seen in 13 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. The Home side to Score Over 1.5 Goals (2.50), looks a reasonable option, seen in 12 of the 20 games.

WEST BROM v ASTON VILLA


Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.80), looks strong, seen in 14 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

WEST HAM v QPR

There is some reasonable value about the Home Side (2.10), seen in 12 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Over 2.5 Goals (2.06), seen in 13 of the 20 games.

WIGAN v SUNDERLAND


Over 2.5 Goals (2.12), looks a good option, seen in 13 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.



EARLY BIRD LAYS



This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value and at this time only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Norwich v Newcastle - Lay HT 0-0  (3.40) LOST

Aston Villa v Southampton  - Lay HT 0-0  (3.25) WON

Sunderland v West Ham  - Lay HT 0-0  (2.88) WON

Two winners and 1 loser last week , 1 selection today, 

WIgan v Sunderland - Lay HT 0-0 (2.94)

running total =

14 Selections
10 Winners 4 Losers
Total =  £30



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