EVERTON v BOLTON
Stats Analysis
Everton are unbeaten in their last five home matches against Bolton, winning four of them, they have won 9 of the last 17 home matches. There is value in their price to win this game at (1.57)
Bolton have lost 16 of the last 20 away matches and the ratings are suggesting there is no value in their price at (7.50), they have won only 1 in the last 10 against similar rated opponents. The draw is priced about right at (4.00) and must be considered.
As for goals there are very mixed stats about these two sides, in Everton's case the trend is for Under 2.5 goals and this has been seen in 9 of the last 15 home games. But with Bolton's strong stats for Over 2.5 goals seen in 11 of the last 15 away, its probably best to leave this market alone. Under 2.5 (1.94). Both Teams to Score looks a better option and this has been seen in 8 of 15 home and away games and in 5 from 10 against similar rated sides. Both Teams to score holds some small value at (2.04).
The stats are showing that in a game with little standout value there could be some in siding with the 2nd Half having most goals, this has been seen in 9 of the last 15 home and away games. 2nd Half Most Goals (2.20)
| 2nd Half Most Goals | (2.20) |
NEWCASTLE v MANCHESTER UNITED
Stats Analysis
Newcastle can be backed at (5.50) and this offers value. If you do fancy Newcastle to do well then you are best keeping the draw on side and Newcastle can be backed on the Asian Handicap +0.75 goals at (2.00)
Newcastle have drawn 5 of the last 7 home matches against top rated teams the draw can be backed at (3.75) and given how both sides have performed against similar opposition, this looks a strong value bet.
The ratings are suggesting that there is not much value in backing Manchester United to win this game. Manchester United's record away to similar rated sides is not that great, they have not lost in 10 matches but with a W4 D6 L0 record. Manchester United to win (1.80). Dutching the Manchester United win by 1 or 2 goals makes sense as 6 of their last 8 away victories and 5 of Newcastle's last 6 home defeats have come via this margin and they were unfortunate to lose by the 3 goal margin against Chelsea. Dutching the Manchester United win by 1 or 2 goals (2.14)
As for goals there have been -2.5 goals in 6 of the last 8 Man Utd away matches against similar rated teams 6 of the last 7 away games have also seen 2 or less goals and indeed they have kept a clean sheet away in their last 5 away games. Under 2.5 goals can be backed at (2.00). The stats are mixed on both teams to score, especially given the Manchester United clean sheets away. Both Teams to Score at (1.85) is no value given the above.
BetsLayer Value Highlight
The Draw (3.75)
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