WOLVES v CHELSEA
Stats Analysis
Wolves have lost just 1 of the last 5 home matches, winning 5 from 15 home games. They are certainly value to the ratings here at (7.0), but it is hard to see them winning this game. If you do fancy them to do well it could be worth backing them on the Asian Handicap +1 goal at (2.00). The draw is available at (4.1) and this looks good value.
Chelsea haven’t won in four league games and have won only 4 of their 9 away fixtures this season, 6 from the 15 away (5 of 6 HT/FT). They are certainly no value to win this game at (1.63)
+2.5 goals 12 from 15 home games, 7 from 15 away, 5 from 10 for both on rated form. Over 2.5 goals (1.85). Both scored in 10 of last 15 home games including the last 6, 5 from 10 for both on rated form, 9 of the last 15 away games. Both Teams to score is about right at (1.9).
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The draw (4.1)
ASTON VILLA v SWANSEA
Stats Analysis
Aston Villa have won 6 from the last 10 against similar rated sides, they are available at (1.83) which is very much in line with the ratings. If you do fancy Villa it could be worth backing them to win HT/FT as this has been the result in 4 from 6 wins/losses for both sides. Aston Villa HT/FT (2.75)
Swansea are yet to win in 9 away games this season and at (5.00) are no real value to record their first win here. If you do fancy Swansea to do well, it would make sense to keep the draw onside, they can be backed on the Asian Handicap +0.5 goals at (2.06). The draw is priced at (3.60) which offers slim value and should be considered.
There have been -2.5 goals scored in 10 of the last 15 Aston Villa home matches and in 5 of the last 5 Swansea league games. Under 2.5 goals is available at (1.8). Both Teams to score has featured in 8 from 15 home games, 6 from the last 10 similar rated games and 4 from the 9 Swansea away games. Some slight value at (2.02)
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Under 2.5 goals (1.8)
BLACKBURN v STOKE
Stats Analysis
Blackburn Rovers picked up 19 points from a possible 54 at Ewood Park during 2011, but the ratings are suggesting there is value in their price at (2.70) to win this game and they have won 7 from the last 10 against similar rated sides.
Tony Pulis's men were beaten in 13 of 19 away Premier League fixtures during 2011 but have lost only once in the last 7 league games and that came against the leaders Manchester City. There is no real value about their price at (2.90). The draw is available at (3.40) which is priced about right and must be an option.
At least three goals have been scored in 14 of the last 19 of Blackburn’s league games and also in 9 of the last 11 of Stoke’s league fixtures. Over 2.5 goals has been seen in 8 matches of the last 15 home and away games. Over 2.5 goals is reasonable at (2.05). Both teams scored in 9 of the last 15 home matches and in only 5 of the last 15 away matches. Both teams scored in only 2 of the last 10 Stoke matches against similar rated teams. No on Both Teams to score is value at (2.20)
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Over 2.5 goals (2.05)
QPR v NORWICH
Stats Analysis
QPR are winless in their last seven league matches and have taken just two points in the process, there is no real value in their price at (2.10)
Norwich have drawn each of their last two away matches against Everton and Wolves, having taken the lead in both and their price here is value to the ratings at (3.50). If you do fancy Norwich it is definitely worth keeping the draw on side and backing on the Asian Handicap +0.5 (1.85).
QPR have drawn 4 of their 9 home matches while Norwich have drawn 4 of their 9 away games and three of their last four league fixtures. The draw is priced at (3.40) which offers value.
QPR have Under 2.5 goals in 6 from their 9 home matches and this has been seen in 4 from the 9 Norwich away games. Under 2.5 is available at a reasonable (2.00). Both teams to score could also be an option this has been seen in 5 from 9 home games and in 8 from 9 Norwich away games. Both Teams to score (1.77)
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The Draw (3.40)
FULHAM v ARSENAL
Stats Analysis
Martin Jol's side have suffered defeat in three of their last five home games, Fulham can be backed at (4.00) and this looks value. If you do fancy Fulham to do well then you are certainly best keeping the draw on side and backing on the Asian Handicap +0.5 goals at (1.95). The draw is priced at (3.60) and this looks to offer some very good value, especially when looking at the rated form where Arsenal have won only 2 from the last 10 games.
The Gunners have won four of their last five away league games, the only exception being their 1-0 defeat at Manchester City. Arsenal can be backed at (1.96) to win this game but this offers no real value. If you do fancy Arsenal to do well then dutching them to win by 1 or 2 goals is a good option as all 3 of Arsenal's last 3 away victories to similar rated sides have come via this margin. Dutching Arsenal to win by 1 or 2 goals is priced (2.30)
As for goals Over 2.5 goals have been seen in 10 of Fulham's last 15 home games and in 13 of Arsenal's last 15 away. Against rated opposition 3 or more goals have been seen in 7 of Fulham's last 10 home games to top rated sides and in 8 of Arsenal's last 10 away to similar rated sides. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at (1.96) and this looks to offer some good value. Both teams to score also would seem a good option and this has been seen in 6 of Fulham's last 10 home games to top rated sides and in 9 of Arsenal's last 10 away to similar rated sides. Both teams to score can be backed at (1.80).
There have been +3.5 goals scored in 5 of the last 7 of Fulham’s home matches and also in 12 of the last 21 of Arsenal’s away fixtures (4 of the last 9 against similar rated sides). Over 3.5 (3.50)
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Over 2.5 goals (2.00)
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