Happy New Year Premier League Betting Value Jan 1st

MANCHESTER CITY v STOKE

The Home side to be leading at Half Time (1.75), seen in 14 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Home Clean Sheet (1.80), again looks a strong value option, seen in 13 of the 19 games. The Home side to score Both Halves (2.00), seen in 15 of the 19 games or the Home side to win Both Halves (2.80) seen in 11 of the 19 games, are other value alternatives. Total Home Goals Over 2.5 (2.25), offers decent value, seen in 8 of the 10 Manchester City home games against similar opponents, 11 from 19 over all.

SOUTHAMPTON v ARSENAL

There is reasonable value about the Away side (1.73), seen in 8 of the last 11 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Over 2.5 Goals (1.62), is again short but value, seen in 9 of the 11 games. The Home side Most Booking points (2.40) is an interesting angle, seen in 7 of the 11 games. The away side to Score Both Halves (2.40), is another option seen in 8 of the 11 games. Finally First Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.62), some real value here, seen in 9 of the 11 games.

SWANSEA v ASTON VILLA

The Half Time Draw (2.38) looks decent value, seen in 11 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. The Full Time Draw (4.16) could be a longer odds value option, seen in 8 of the 19 games, although with both you have to factor in Villa's recent terrible form. Finally the Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.80), some strong stats here, seen in 15 of the 19 games.

SPURS v READING

Home Clean Sheet No (1.73), seen in 9 of the last 10 Spurs home games against similar opposition, odds can be improved by backing Away side Total Goals Over 0.5 (1.83), this is further backed up with the Both Teams to Score (2.10), seen in 8 of the 10 games. 

WEST BROM v FULHAM

The Half Time Draw (2.25) looks reasonable value, seen in 11 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Both Teams to Score No (2.20), looks great value, seen in 14 of the 20 games.

WEST HAM v NORWICH

The Half Time Draw (2.25) looks reasonable value, seen in 10 of the last 17 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Over 2.5 Goals (1.91), seen in 11 of the 17 games. 

WIGAN v MANCHESTER UNITED

Both Teams to Score No (2.38), solid value and seen in 12 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

EARLY BIRD LAYS

This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value and at this time only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Manchester City v Stoke - Lay HT 0-0  (3.80) 

Southampton v Arsenal - Lay HT 0-0  (3.70)

Again just two selections for New Years Day , 29th 2 winners , running total =

9 Selections

6 Winners 3 Losers

Total =  - £40

Premier League Betting Value December 30th

EVERTON v CHELSEA

In what is a tough game to find value, Everton to win at (3.00) holds value, but Chelsea are playing into some form, the home win seen 9 times in the last 18 games these two sides have played against similar opponents. Under 2.5 Goals (2.00) holds reasonable value, seen in 11 of the 18 games.

QPR v LIVERPOOL

Away side the Most Booking Points (2.60), not bad value, seen in 7 of the last 13 games these two sides have played against similar opposition.

Premier League Betting Value December 29th

ARSENAL v NEWCASTLE

There is little value about Arsenal here (1.50), it could be worth laying them to lead at Half Time (1.95), seen in only 5 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition and Arsenal have only led at the break in 2 of their last 10 against similar opponents. Another way of profiting from the above is to Lay Arsenal in the Half Time / Full Time (2.05), seen in only 4 of the 19 games over all and only 1 of the last 10 for Arsenal. Both Teams to Score (1.91), looks solid value, seen in 12 of the 19 games.

ASTON VILLA v WIGAN

Some good value about the Half Time Draw (2.10), seen in 12 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. 

FULHAM v SWANSEA

There is reasonable value about the Home side to be leading at Half Time (2.88), seen in 10 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. The Home side to win (2.22), also holds reasonable value, seen in 12 of the 19 games. For a slightly longer odds value bet the Home Clean Sheet (3.00) could be worth a look, seen in 10 of the 19 games. This is backed up with the Both Teams to Score No (2.20), seen in 12 of the 19 games. Another value option is the Home side in the Race to 2 Goals (2.38), seen in 11 of the 19 games.

MANCHESTER UNITED v WEST BROM

There is some decent value about the Home Side to be leading Half Time / Full Time (1.90), seen in 14 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

NORWICH v MANCHESTER CITY

Some reasonable value about the Half Time Draw (2.40), seen in 8 of the last 15 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. There is also reasonable value in the Under 2.5 Goals (2.20), seen in 9 of the 15 games. Slightly less but still value is the Both Teams to Score No (2.10), also seen in 9 of the 15 games.

READING v WEST HAM

The Draw looks a decent choice here at (3.50), seen in 5 of the last 10 West Ham away games against similar opposition. Both Teams to Score (1.67), looks strong, seen in 9 of the last 11 games these two sides have featured in against similar opposition.

STOKE v SOUTHAMPTON

No Value found on this game.

SUNDERLAND v SPURS

The Draw looks a reasonable choice here at (3.55), seen in 7 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Both Teams to Score (1.80), looks good value, seen in 12 of the 18 games.

EARLY BIRD LAYS

This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value and at this time only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Sunderland v Spurs - Lay HT 0-0  (3.00) 

Manchester United v West Brom - Lay HT 0-0  (4.00)

Just two selections for the 29th, Boxing day 1 winner and 1 loser, running total =

7 Selections

4 Winners 3 Losers

Total =  - £135

Boxing Day Premier League Betting Value 26th December

ASTON VILLA v SPURS

Race to 2 Goals Away side (2.38), good value and seen in 10 of the last 18 games these two sides have faced against similar opposition.

EVERTON v WIGAN

The Half Time Draw (2.50), holds reasonable value, seen in 10 of the last 19 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. Under 2.5 Goals (2.24), seen in 11 of the 19 games. Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.95), looks great value, seen in 14 of the 19 games.

FULHAM v SOUTHAMPTON

The Home Side to be leading at Half Time (2.50), seen in 6 of the last 10 Fulham home games against similar opposition and in 7 from 11 over all. There is also good value about the Fulham win (1.92), seen in 7 of the 10 Fulham games and 8 of the 11 games. Over 2.5 Goals (1.73), seen in 9 of the 11 games. 

MANCHESTER UNITED v NEWCASTLE

There is no value about Manchester United here, the Home Clean Sheet No (1.73) holds value, seen in 14 of the last 19 games these two sides have featured in against similar opponents, improve these odds by backing Total Goals Away side Over 0.5 Goals (1.91). If you're looking for a decent Lay bet United to win both halves (2.50), only achieved 2 times in the last 10 home games against similar opposition.

NORWICH v CHELSEA

No Value found on this game

QPR v WEST BROM

The Half Time Draw (2.20), holds reasonable value, seen in 11 of the last 20 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. 

READING v SWANSEA

There could be some value about the Draw (3.52), seen in 4 of the last 9 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. No other value found, its always tough when two sides with little Premier League History.

STOKE v LIVERPOOL

There is some great value about the Home Side (3.62), winners in 11 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. The Away side Most Booking Points (2.60), seen in 11 of the 19 games. Another longer odds option is the Home Side to win the Second Half (3.75), also seen in 11 of the 19 games, an alternative could be to win Either Half (2.20), seen in 14 of the 19 games.

SUNDERLAND v MANCHESTER CITY

The Half Time Draw (2.45), holds reasonable value, seen in 12 of the last 19 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. Dutch Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.08 combined), seen in 11 of the 19 games.

http://www.oddschecker.com/betting-tools/dutching-calculator.html

EARLY BIRD LAYS

This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value and at this time only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Aston Villa v Spurs - Lay HT 0-0  (3.25) 

Fulham v Southampton - Lay HT 0-0  (3.40)

Just two selections on Boxing day, running total =

5 Selections

3 Winners 2 Losers

Total =  -£70

Premier League Betting Value December 23rd

CHELSEA v ASTON VILLA

No Value found on this game.


SWANSEA v MANCHESTER UNITED

Under 2.5 Goals (2.50), looks good value, seen in 10 of the last 15 games these two sides have played against similar opponents. Both Teams to Score No (2.50), again looks solid value seen in 9 of the 15 games. Lay the Away side to Score Both Halves (2.15), only seen in 3 of the 15 games. There is some real confusion around the Corners Match Bet, but Manchester United (2.62) is great value (BlueSq and 888 Sport), seen in 9 of the 15 games. (The problem is it will likely be called a Palpable error and cancelled as it appears they have both mixed up the two teams, so bet in caution knowing it maybe returned). As an alternative the Total Away Goals Under 1.5 (2.63), holds good value, seen in 10 of the 15 games.

Premier League Betting Value December 22nd

LIVERPOOL v FULHAM

Under 2.5 Goals (2.23), holds some value, seen in 11 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. First Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.57), short but great value, seen in 16 of the 19 games. For a longer odds value bet look at Half with Most Goals - Draw (3.75) and seen in 10 of the 19 games.

MANCHESTER CITY v READING

Over 3.5 Goals (2.00), holds great value, seen in 7 of the last 10 Manchester City home games against similar opposition, 8 from 11 overall. Second Half the Most Goals (2.05), seen in 8 of the 11 games. Total Home Goals Over 2.5 (1.73) looks another good option, seen in 9 of the 11 games.

NEWCASTLE v QPR

1st Half the Most Goals (3.75), seen in 7 of the 14 games these two sides have played against similar opposition.

SOUTHAMPTON v SUNDERLAND

Over 2.5 Goals (1.92), looks a good shout, seen in 9 of the last 13 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Still reasonable value but not as much is Both Teams to Score (1.73) also seen in 9 from the 13 games. Second Half the Most Goals (2.15), seen in 8 of the 13 games. Total Home Goals Over 1.5 (2.10), is a good value option seen in 8 of the 13 games. 

SPURS v STOKE

The Half Time Draw (2.30), seen in 12 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Under 2.5 Goals (2.00) holds fantastic value, seen in 16 of the 19 games. Home Clean Sheet (2.20), looks solid, seen in 13 of the 19 games. This is further backed up with Both Teams to Score No (2.00) seen in 15 of the 19 games.

WEST BROM v NORWICH

Home side the First Goal (1.70), looks reasonable value, seen in 15 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.80), seen in 15 of the 19 games.

WEST HAM v EVERTON

Both Teams to Score (1.73), holds good value, seen in 13 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. 

WIGAN v ARSENAL 

There is some reasonable value in the Away win (1.83), seen in 13 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Away side to Score Both Halves (2.50) seen in 11 of the 19 games. First Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.50) is another value option also seen in 11 of the 19 games. Away Side Over 1.5 Goals (1.73), looks an alternative, seen in 14 of the 19 games.

Premier League MNF Reading v Arsenal betting value December 17th

READING v ARSENAL

Over 2.5 Goals (1.68) holds some decent value, seen in 10 of the last 11 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Over 3.5 Goals (2.70) also good value seen in 7 of the 11 games. Both Teams to Score (1.73), again holds value, seen in 8 of the 11 games. The Away side to Score Both Halves (2.50) again seems to indicate goals and value, seen in 7 of the 11 games. Under 10.5 Corners (2.30), again seen in 7 of the 11 games. First Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.50), again looks solid and is seen in 9 of the 11 games. 

Premier League betting value December 16th

SPURS v SWANSEA

There is reasonable value in the Home side Spurs to win (1.70), the home side winning in 10 of the last 14 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Under 2.5 Goals (2.31) is good value, seen in 9 of the 14 games. Home Clean sheet (2.63) looks another value option, seen in 9 of the 14 games. Along the same lines Both Teams to Score No (2.30) also seen in 9 of the 14 games. Away side the Most Booking Points (2.00), again seen in 9 of the 14 games.

WEST BROM v WEST HAM

There is decent value about West Brom to score first (1.73), the home side scoring first in 15 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Home side to Have the Most Corners (1.65), is again short but value, seen in 15 of the 20 games.

Premier League Betting Value December 15th

NEWCASTLE v MANCHESTER CITY

There is some reasonable value about the draw (4.02), seen in 7 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Both Teams to Score No (2.10), holds solid value, seen in 12 of the 19 games. For a longer odds bet, the Home side the Most Corners (3.60) looks good, seen in 10 of the 19 games. Over 10.5 Corners (1.80), seen in 13 of the 19 games.

NORWICH v WIGAN

Both Teams to Score (1.73), seen in 12 of the last 16 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

QPR v FULHAM

There is some reasonable value about the draw (3.53), seen in 8 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Under 2.5 Goals (2.08), also looks reasonable, seen in 11 of the 18 games.

STOKE v EVERTON

Over 2.5 Goals (2.39), reasonable value, seen in 10 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. As an alternative Both Teams to Score (2.00), seen in 12 of the 19 games. Home side Most Corners (2.30), seen in 10 of the 19 games. Total Goals 2-3 (1.80), seen in 14 of the 19 games.

LIVERPOOL v ASTON VILLA

There is decent value in the Draw (5.13), seen in 10 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Under 2.5 Goals (2.20), looks reasonable seen in 12 of the 19 games.

MANCHESTER UNITED v SUNDERLAND

There is no value about Manchester United's price (1.22), 13 home wins in the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition, so that's worth a low risk lay if that's your thing. No other value found.

Sunderland v Reading Betting Value 11th December

SUNDERLAND v READING

The Half Time Draw (2.20) holds some good value, seen in 9 of the last 13 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. The Home Side to win the Second Half (2.38) looks solid, seen in 8 of the 13 games.

Premier League Betting Value December 8th

ARSENAL v WEST BROM

Over 2.5 Goals (1.68) holds good but short value, seen in 14 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

ASTON VILLA v STOKE

Home Side to be Leading at 60 minutes (2.75), seen in 10 of the 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Home Side to win either Half (1.80), seen in 13 of the 19 games. Home Side The First Goal (2.00), also seen in 13 of the 19 games.

SOUTHAMPTON v READING

No value found

SUNDERLAND v CHELSEA

Under 2.5 Goals (1.90) looks reasonable, seen in 12 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

SWANSEA v NORWICH

Swansea to be leading by Half Time (2.63) looks strong seen in 11 of the last 17 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Over 2.5 Goals (1.91) looks good, seen in 11 of the 17 games. For a longer odds shot the Away side to have Most corners (4.80) is worth a look, seen in 9 of the 17 games, Laying Swansea at (1.40) on the exchanges is another way to profit from this. Short price but great value is Swansea to win either Half (1.44) seen in 16 of the 17 games.

WIGAN v QPR

The Home Side to Win (2.41) looks solid value, seen in 9 of the last 15 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. If you do fancy Wigan it could be worth going Wigan to win by 1 goal (4.30) seen in 8 of those 9 wins. Total Goals 2-3 (1.91) looks an option, seen in 10 of the 15 games. 

Newcastle v Wigan MNF December 3rd

NEWCASTLE v WIGAN

Match odds - No value found

Goals - No value found

Other - Second Half Result Draw (2.55) seen in 11 of the 20 games these two sides have played against similar opponents. Home Side Most Corners (1.57), seen in 15 of the 20 games.

Premier League Betting Value December 1st

WEST HAM v CHELSEA

Match odds - There is some small value about the draw (3.62), seen in 8 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

Goals - No value found

Other - No value found

WEST BROM v STOKE

Match odds - No value found

Goals - Over 2.5 Goals (2.24), looks strong seen in 13 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Home Side to Score Both Halves (3.50) is longer odds bet seen in 10 of the 20 games.

Other - There is some decent value about the Home Side to win the First Half (2.80), seen in 11 of the 20 games. Home/Home in the HT/FT (3.40) looks another good longer odds bet, seen in 10 of the 20 games.


ARSENAL v SWANSEA 

Match odds - No value found

Goals - First Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.75), seen in 8 of the last 15 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition

Other - There is some decent value about the Half Time Draw (2.55), seen in 10 of the 15 games


FULHAM v SPURS

Match odds - There is some small value about the draw (3.54), seen in 8 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

Goals - No value found

Other - There is some decent value about the Away side to win Either Half (1.70), seen in 14 of the 19 games.

LIVERPOOL v SOUTHAMPTON

Match odds - No value found

Goals - Under 2.5 Goals (2.50) looks a value price, seen in 6 of the last 10 Liverpool home games against similar opposition.

Other - No value found


MANCHESTER CITY v EVERTON

Match odds - No value found

Goals - No value found

Other - No value found


QPR v ASTON VILLA

Match odds - No value found

Goals - No value found

Other - Second Half Result Draw (2.50), seen in 10 of the last 17 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents


READING v MANCHESTER UNITED

Match odds - No value found

Goals - No value found

Other - Away side Most Booking points (2.88), seen in 7 of the last 10 Manchester United away games against similar opponents.

Premier League Betting Value November 28th

Chelsea v Fulham

Match odds - No value found

Goals - Under 2.5 Goals (2.42) looks decent value, seen in 11 of the last 18 games these two sides have played against similar opposition.

Other - No value found

Everton v Arsenal

Match odds - No value found

Goals - No value found

Other - Over 10.5 Corners (1.80), looks a good value selection, seen in 14 of the last 18 games these two sides have played against similar opposition.

Southampton v Norwich 

Match odds - No value found

Goals - No value found

Other - Half Time Draw (2.40) looks a reasonable option, seen in 5 of the last 7 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition

Stoke v Newcastle 

Match odds - No value found

Goals - No value found

Other - The Away side Most Corners (3.00) looks a longer value option, seen in 10 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents.

Swansea v West Brom 

Match odds - No value found

Goals - No value found

Other - The Home side Most Corners (1.57) looks a solid value option, seen in 14 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents.

Spurs v Liverpool

Match odds - There is some reasonable value about the Home Side (2.47), seen in 8 of the last 14 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. If you do fancy Spurs it could make sense to keep the draw on side and back +0 goals (1.79)

Goals - Under 2.5 Goals (2.12) looks reasonable value, seen in 8 of the last 14 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. An alternative could be Total Goals 2-3 (1.87), seen in 9 of the 14 games. Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.91) looks worth consideration, seen in 10 of the 14 games.

Other -  No value found

Wigan v Manchester City

Match odds - No value found

Goals - No on Both Teams to Score (2.15) looks reasonable value, seen in 12 of the last 19 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. 

Other -  The Away side to win the First Half (2.10), looks good, seen in 13 of the 19 games. The Away side Most Booking Points (3.00) looks a longer value option, seen in 11 of the 19 games. The Home side Most Corners (3.40) looks a solid longer value option, seen in 10 of the last 19 games. Under 10.5 Corners (2.20) also looks good, seen in 13 of the 19 games.

Manchester United v West Ham United

Match odds - There is value about the Home side, but at a very short (1.25), Manchester United winning all 10 of their last 10 at home against similar opposition and its 19 for the Home side for both teams.

Goals - The Home Clean Sheet (1.91) looks reasonable value, seen in 13 of the last 19 games these two sides have played against similar opposition.  As an alternative No on Both Teams to Score (2.00) looks equally strong, seen in 13 of the last 19 games

Other -  No value found

Premier League Betting Value 27th November

Sunderland v QPR

Match odds - The value seems to be around the Home Side here, with the one word of caution being the unknown of the reaction to the new QPR manager Harry Redknapp. The Home Side to win the First Half (3.00), looks reasonable, seen in 9 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. The Home Side to win at Full Time (2.40), looks good, seen in 11 of the 18 games. 

Goals - Over 2.5 Goals (2.20) looks strong, seen in 13 of the 18 games. Over 3.5 Goals (4.33), looks good for a longer odds bet, seen in 10 of the 18 games. The Home Side to Score First (1.91), looks a good option, seen in 13 of the 18 games. The First Half to have Most Goals (3.30), looks a longer value selection, seen in 9 of the 18 games. Total Home Goals Over 1.5 (2.50), is another to be strongly considered, seen in 12 of the 18 games.

Aston Villa v Reading

Match odds - There looks to be some longer odds value about the Draw (3.65), seen in 5 of the last 12 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents.

Goals - The Second Half to have Under 1.5 (1.73), looks a strong option, seen in 9 of the 12 games.

Other - Finally The Away Side to have most Booking Points (2.38). looks a value option, seen in 8 of the 12 games 

Premier League Betting value November 25th

Chelsea v Manchester City

The Half Time Draw (2.40) could be worth a look, featuring 9 times in the last 17 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. There also value about the Home Side to Win (2.63), winners 9 times in the 17 games. The Home Side to have Most Corners (1.91) looks a strong bet, seen in 12 of the 17 games, Manchester City winning only 1 in the last 10 games away against similar opposition. Second Half Most Goals (2.10) is solid value, seen in 11 of the 17 games. The Home side to Score Over 1.5 Total Goals (2.20) also looks a value option, seen 12 times in the 17 games.

Swansea v Liverpool

Some decent value about the Home Side to win (3.60), this has been the outcome in 7 of the last 14 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. The exact same scenario is also available on the Home Side to win the Second Half (3.60). Under 2.5 goals (2.16) looks a good bet, seen in 9 of the 14 games. No on Both Teams to Score (2.38) looks another value option, also seen in 9 of the 14 games. The Away Side Most Booking Points (2.38), is a great value selection seen in 10 of the 14 games. The Home Side to win Either Half (2.20), is another alternative when looking at a value bet on this game, seen 9 times in the 14 games. Also the Home Side to Score First and Last (2.35) and 2.40), seen 8 and 9 times in the 14 games.

Southampton v Newcastle

The Away side to Win (3.25) looks a good option here, Newcastle winning 5 of their last 10 away against similar opponents, 6 from 11 games over all for both sides. Under 10.5 Corners (1.91) looks to hold strong value, seen 9 times in the 11 games. First Half to have the Most Goals (3.25), seen in 6 of the 11 games and also backed up by strong statistics for Over 1.5 Goals First Half (2.75), also seen in 6 from 11 games and the Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (2.00), seen in 9 of the 11 games. Newcastle to Score First (2.20) looks another value option, seen in 7 of the 11 games, also the Away side to Score Over 1.5 Total Goals (2.50)   also seen 7 times in the 11 games.

Spurs v West Ham United

Under 2.5 Goals (2.20) looks a reasonable bet, seen in 11 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. The Home Clean Sheet (2.63) looks very good value, seen in 12 of the 18 games, as an alternative the NO on Both Teams to Score (2.20) is good value and seen in 13 of the 18 games.

Premier League Betting Value November 24th

Sunderland v West Brom

There's some decent value about the Draw (3.56), seen 9 times in the 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Over 2.5 goals (2.07) looks good, seen in 14 of the 20 games. The Away Side to Score First (2.20) looks an interesting angle, seen in 12 of the 20 games.

Wigan v Reading 

Some reasonable value about the Home Side to win (1.95), seen in 7 of the last 10 Wigan home games against similar opponents. Under 2.5 goals (2.10) also looks an option seen in 6 of those last 10 games.

Total Goals 2-3 (1.9) looks an alternative, seen in 8 of the 11 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. There is some decent value on Wigan to win by 1 goal (4.00), seen in 5 of the last 10 home games they have played against similar opponents.

Everton v Norwich

Some value in Under 2.5 goals (2.30), seen in 8 of the 14 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Both teams to Score (1.80), looks strong seen in 10 of the 14 games. Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.95) also seen in 10 of the 14 games. For a longer odds value selection the Away side to Score First (3.80) could be worth a shot, seen in 8 of the 14 games.

Manchester United v QPR

The Home Clean Sheet (1.83), looks reasonable although United do seem to be conceding this season, but its been the outcome in 10 of the last 15 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Another option, which is slightly better, is No on Both Teams to Score (1.91), also seen 10 times in the 15 games. 

Stoke v Fulham 

No value found on this game.

Aston Villa v Arsenal

Second half draw (3.00), looks good value, seen in 13 of the 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

West Ham v Stoke Betting Value November 19th

West Ham v Stoke

Under 10.5 Corners (2.10), looks a good option, seen in 14 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

Fulham v Sunderland Betting Value November 18th

Fulham v Sunderland

Tough game to find value, with the prices correct in the majority of markets, The Half Time Draw (2.30) holds some value, seen in 10 of the 19 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. The only other value found is the Away side to have Most Booking points (1.94), seen in 12 of the 19 games. 

Premier League Betting Value November 17th

Arsenal v Spurs

There looks to be some value in the Half Time Draw (2.50), seen in 10 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. The Home Side to win the Second Half (2.25) holds some decent value, seen in 12 of the 18 games. The Home Side to Score Last (1.67) looks strong, featuring in 14 of the 18 games. Total Home Goals Over 1.5 (1.83) also looks a good option, seen in 12 of the 18 games.

Liverpool v Wigan

Again there looks to be some value in the Half Time Draw (2.55), seen in 10 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Under 2.5 Goals (2.30) looks value, seen in 11 of the 18 games. Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (2.05) looks an option, seen in 12 of the 18 games.

Manchester City v Aston Villa

The Home Side to be Leading at Half Time (1.67) looks strong value, seen in 14 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Over 2.5 Goals (1.53) although short is great value, seen in 17 of the 19 games. Over 3.5 goals (2.38) is still value, but not as much, seen in 10 of the 19 games. Home/Home in the Half Time/Full Time (1.73) is another option, see in 14 of the 19 games. The Home Side to Score Both Halves (1.90), seen in 16 of the 19 games and The Home Side to Win Both Halves (2.50) seen in 12 of the 19 games, both look strong. First Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.33), seen in 13 of the 19 games, also looks of interest for value hunters.

Newcastle v Swansea 

There is some small value about Newcastle to win this game (2.00), they have won 6 of the last 10 at home against similar opposition. The Home side to win the Second Half (2.38), seen in 9 of the 13 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents, looks a decent option.

QPR v Southampton

Very limited data with two newly promoted sides. Total Goals 2-3 (1.91) looks about the best call, seen in 6 of the 8 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents.

Reading v Everton

There looks to be some value in the Half Time Draw (2.45), seen in 8 of the last 12 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. If you fancy a longer odds shot, there is very healthy value about the draw (3.99) seen in 8 of the 12 games.

West Brom v Chelsea

Again there looks to be some value in the Half Time Draw (2.40), seen in 11 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. The Away Side Most Corners (2.25), seen in 12 of the 19 games looks a strong value bet.

Norwich v Manchester United

The Away Side Most Booking Points (3.00), looks a good shout, seen in 7 of the 14 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents.

BetsLayer Premier League Betting Value November 11th

Manchester City v Spurs

There looks to be some good value about the Home side to win the Second Half (1.91), seen in 12 of the last 17 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. There is also value in Over 10.5 corners (1.53), although short it has featured in 13 of the 17 games.

Newcastle v West Ham

Newcastle to come out fast looks to be value, with the Home side to be leading at half time (2.75) seen in 12 of the last 20 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. Also value is the Home win (2.05), featuring in 12 of the 20 games. The Home/Home (3.25) in the HT/FT also looks strong, featuring in 10 of the 20 games. The Home side to be leading in the 60th minute (2.25) looks very healthy, seen in 14 of the 20 games. The Home Clean Sheet (3.20) could also be an option, seen in 10 of the 20 games. The Home side to have Most Corners (1.62), is solid value featuring in 16 of the 20 games. The Home Side to Score First (1.71), looks another option, seen in 16 of the 20 games. The First Half to have Most Goals (3.25) looks good value, seen in 11 of the 20 games.

Chelsea v Liverpool

The Half Time Draw (2.40) looks a good start point, seen in 10 of the last 18 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. Over 2.5 Goals (1.78) looks reasonable and has been seen in 12 of the 18 games. The Home side to have Most Corners (1.75), is solid value featuring in 15 of the 18 games.

BetsLayer Premier League Betting Value November 10th

BetsLayer Premier League Betting Value Highlights and Selections

Reading v Norwich

Difficult game to fully assess, as its a newly promoted side vs one with only a season in the top flight, Norwich are unbeaten in 5 games against similar opponents, so there is good value in laying the yet to win Reading at (2.32) and Norwich are value for the win at (3.25) winning 3 of those games. Over 2.5 goals (1.85) looks worth a bet, 3 or more goals happening in 4 of those 5 Norwich away against similar opposition. For a longer odds bet the 1-1 scoreline (9.00) could be worth a small investment, having featured in 3 of those games. The draw to be the result at 75 minutes (2.75) looks strong featuring in 4 of the 5 games. Both Teams to Score (1.67) also looks very good, featuring in all 5 games and in all 4 games Reading have played at home this season.

Southampton v Swansea

Another game with limited data, Over 2.5 goals (1.70) looks very healthy value having been seen in 7 of the 8 games these two sides have featured in against similar opponents. Over 3.5 (2.80) could also be worth a look featuring in 5 of the 8 games. Second Half Over 1.5 Goals (1.83) looks a good option having been seen in 6 of the 8 games, on this theme the Second Half to be Highest Scoring (2.10) could also be an angle, featuring in 5 of the 8 games.

Stoke v QPR

Over 2.5 Goals (2.20) looks very strong, featuring in 11 of the 17 games these two sides have played against similar opponents. Total Home Goals Over 1.5 (2.20) also looks equally strong featuring in 11 of the 17 games.

Wigan v West Brom 

Over 2.5 Goals (1.91) again holds some decent value, featuring in 13 of the 20 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. The Away side to Score Last (2.20) holds some great value, having been seen in 15 of the 20 games.

Arsenal v Fulham

The Half Time Draw (2.62) is a good start point in analysing this match, featuring in 8 of the last 10 Arsenal home games against similar opposition, Fulham are though pretty dire away and have been losing at Half Time in 7 of their last 10 against similar opponents, but its still value being the outcome 10 in the 19 games for both sides. Home clean sheet (2.66) also looks an option also featuring in 10 of the 19 games. 

Everton v Sunderland

Not much value available on this game, the Away Side for the Last Goal (3.75) could be of interest as it has been the outcome in 10 of the 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents, but Sunderland's recent struggles in front of goal, make it little more than an interest

Aston Villa v Manchester United

Under 2.5 Goals (2.33) holds some decent value, having been seen in 11 of the 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Both Teams to Score No (2.20) also looks strong featuring in 12 of the 19 games.

West Brom v Southampton Betting Value November 5th

West Brom v Southampton

Due to Southampton being a newly promoted side it is difficult to asses the betting value on this game, however the Over 10.5 corners (1.67) looks a good bet, with this delivering in 8 of the last 10 West Brom home games against similar opponents, also seen in 50% of Southampton's 4 away games against all sides. The away side to win either half (3.10) could also be a decent value shout, seen in 6 of the 10 games.

BetsLayer Premier League Betting Value November 4th

QPR v Reading

This is a tough game to call with both sides having little recent Premier League experience, Over 2.5 Goals (1.91) though does look of interest, seen in 5 of the last 6 QPR home games against similar opponents. For a longer odds bet, Reading to have the Most Corners (3.25) looks good value and QPR have lost 4 times in the 6 games. Under 10.5 corners (2.10) could also be of interest, also seen in 4 of the 6 games.

Liverpool v Newcastle

Well there is not much value around this game, the Draw (4.40) looks healthy and has been seen in 6 of the 16 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. The only other area of interest is the Under 2.5  Goals (2.18), which feels dangerous in a Liverpool v Newcastle game, but has featured in 10 of the 16 games and in 7 of the last 10 Liverpool home games against similar opponents.

BetsLayer Premier League Betting Value November 3rd

BetsLayer Betting Value Highlights and Selections

Manchester United v Arsenal

There looks to be some good value in the home side to be leading at Half Time (2.30), featured in 11 of the last 18 games these two sides have played against similar opponents. There is some value in Manchester United's price (1.78) having won 8 of the last 10 home games against similar opponents, the home side winning 12 from the 18 games overall. Over 2.5 goals looks a good bet (1.67) which although short has featured in 13 of the 18 games. Finally the Second Half Most Goals (2.10) looks a good option having been seen in 11 of the 18 games.

Norwich v Stoke

The Home side to have Most Corners (1.85), looks a very strong bet having been the outcome in 13 of the last 16 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. The Home side to win either half (1.83) also looks very strong, also being seen 13 times in the 16 games. The Home side to score the first goal (2.00) looks an option having been the outcome in 11 of the 16 games. Total Home Goals Over 1.5 (2.63) looks another value bet having been seen in 9 of the 16 games.

Fulham v Everton

The Away side to be leading at Half Time (3.43) looks good value if you fancy a bigger priced bet, the Home side has been ahead in 9 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Under 2.5 Goals (2.11) looks a good bet after being seen in 11 of the 19 games. The Second Half to be Under 1.5 Goals (1.91) also looks like a decent shout, being seen in 12 of the 19 games. The Home Side to have Most Booking Points (2.45), looks a good option here having been the outcome in 11 of the 19 games

Sunderland v Aston Villa

The Draw (3.40) looks a good solid option in this game, teams being level in 9 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. The Home Side to win the Second Half (2.70) looks good value having been seen 11 times in the 19 games. 

Swansea v Chelsea

Under 2.5 Goals (2.34) looks a value option in this game and has been the outcome in 8 of the last 14 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. The Away side to have Most Corners (1.80) looks a very strong bet, having been seen in 8 of Chelsea's last 10 games against similar opponents and 10 from 14 overall.

Spurs v Wigan

The Half Time Draw (2.62) looks a reasonable first option having been seen in 10 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Both Teams to Score (1.76) looks a great value bet, having been the outcome in 15 of the 19 games.

West Ham v Manchester City

There is some value about Manchester City, but not enough to get excited about. The Away side to have Most Booking Points (2.90) looks a good value bet, having been seen in 10 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. First Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.62) looks good having been the outcome in 12 of the 19 games.

BetsLayer Premier League Betting Value October 28th

BetsLayer Betting Value Highlights and Selections

Everton v Liverpool - Everton look the value here, the Home side to be leading at Half Time is (3.40), seen in 7 of the 13 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. The Home side to win the match (2.70) also looks good featuring in 7 of the 13 games. If you fancy a longer odds shout, you could do worse than the Home side to be leading 1-0 at HT, available at (5.00) and seen in 7 of the 13 games, so holding a healthy amount of value. The Home side to win either Half (1.81) could be an option, seen in 9 of the 13 games. The Away side to have the Most Corners (2.00) looks strong, having been the outcome in 8 of the 13 games and 5 of Everton's last 7 at home against similar opponents. Finally the Home side to score the Last Goal (2.00), looks solid happening in 9 of the 13 games.

Southampton v Spurs - Laying Spurs at (1.85) could be a good start point, although doesn't hold too much value. The Half Time Draw (2.55) could be a decent option, seen in 5 of Spurs last 10 away against similar opponents. Holding similar value is Under 2.5 Goals (2.54) also seen in 5 of the last 10 Spurs away against similar opponents. Over 10.5 Corners (1.67) looks strong having been seen in 7 of the last 10 away games against similar opponents.

Newcastle v West Brom - The Full Time Draw (3.60) looks worth a look, featuring in 9 of the 20 games these two sides have played against similar opposition. Over 2.5 Goals (1.87) looks solid enough, having been seen in 13 of those 20 games. Both Teams to Score (1.67) is a short but healthy price, featuring in 16 of the 20 games. Total Goals 2-3 (1.85) looks another to be considered, with this range featuring 14 times in the 20 games.

Chelsea v Manchester United - The Half Time Draw (2.38) looks a good start point, these big games can start cagey and this has been the outcome in 9 of the 17 games these two sides have played against similar opponents. Chelsea the Home side to win (2.50) looking solid value, the Home side winning 10 of those 17 games. Under 2.5 Goals (2.26) looks decent value having also been seen in 10 of the 17 games. For a longer odds bet the Home Clean Sheet (3.91), looks good value with 9 in the 17 games. Which leads us to the No on Both Teams to Score (2.55), which has been seen in 10 of the 17 games. The Home Side to Score the First Goal (1.91) looks a good option, happening 11 times in the 17 games, The Home Side to Score the Last Goal (1.91) also looks solid featuring in 12 of the 17 games. The Second Half Most Goals (2.10) looks a good bet seen in 11 of the 17 games.

BetsLayer Premier League Betting Value October 27th

BetsLayer Value Highlights and Selections

Aston Villa v Norwich - Some decent value about the home side here, Aston Villa (2.02), Norwich having lost 8 of the last 9 away against similar opposition. If you fancy slightly longer odds the home/home (3.19) is worth a look having been the outcome in 6 of Norwich's last 10 away against similar level opponents. No on Both Teams to Score (2.25) looks strong having been seen in 10 of the 18 games featuring these sides against similar opposition. The away side to have the Most Booking points (2.00) looks good, happening 11 times in those 18 games. The away side to have the Most Corners (3.80) looks a great shout with Norwich winning in 5 of the last 10 away against similar opponents, 9 out of 18 overall for these two sides, so true odds of evens. First Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.75) looks worth a look, delivering in 9 of the 18 games and in contrast the Second Half Under 1.5 (1.8) looks the choice occurring 14 times in the 18 games. This points to the First Half to be the Highest scoring (3.25), great value when featuring in 9 of the 18 games.

Reading v Fulham - Fulham have been leading at Half Time (3.20) in 5 of the last 10 away games against similar opponents. Under 2.5 goals (2.05) looks solid, having been the outcome in 8 of the 12 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. No on Both Teams to score (2.39) again looks value having been seen in 7 of the 12 games. Total goals 2-3 (1.85), looks decent enough, seen in 8 of the 12 games.

Stoke v Sunderland - Total Home Goals Over 1.5 (2.38), looks about the pick for this game having been the outcome in 10 of the 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

Wigan v West Ham - The Draw (3.65) looks about the only option if looking for value on this game, seen in 7 of the 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents.

Arsenal v QPR - Home / Home (1.93) looks good value, having been seen in 9 of the 14 games featuring these two sides in games against similar level opponents. Arsenal to win the Second Half (1.75) looks very solid having been seen in 10 from 14 games overall. For a longer odds bet Arsenal to win both Halves (3.25) seen in 7 of the 14 games overall.

Manchester City v Swansea - Some value about Manchester City (1.25), but perhaps a little short unless you are a big hitter. The Home side to be leading at Half time (1.61) looks good value having been seen in 12 of the 14 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Home / Home (1.67) looks similar  also seen in 12 of the 14 games. Manchester City are likely to be winning by Half Time and if this happens its likely to be 1-0 (3.50) or 2-0 (6.00) both seen 6 times in the 14 games and excellent value with the Dutch bet working out at (2.2). Although Manchester City have been conceding of late, the value points at the Home Clean Sheet (1.99) seen in 10 of the 14 games and No on Both Teams to Score (1.91) also in 10 of the 14 games. Manchester City to score both halves (1.83) looks very solid and they have achieved this 10 times in the last 10 at home against similar opposition. Manchester City to win both halves (2.50) looks good having been seen 9 times in the 14 games.
http://www.oddschecker.com/betting-tools/dutching-calculator.html

BetsLayer Premier League Betting Value Oct 21st

BetsLayer Value Highlights and Selections

Sunderland v Newcastle - There is some value about the home side Sunderland (2.62), having won 5 from the last 10 at home against similar opponents, 9 from 18 games overall for these two sides. No on Both Teams to Score (2.12) looks strong being the outcome in 12 of the 18 games. The Away side to have the Most Corners (3.40) looks a good longer odds option, having been seen in 6 of Newcastle's last 10 away against similar opposition, 9 from 18 games overall.

QPR v Everton - Half time Draw (2.38) looks a good value start with 6 in the last 10 Everton away games against similar opponents, 8 from 13 games overall for these two sides. For a longer odds shout the Full Time Draw (3.53) holds some healthy value and again has been the outcome in 6 of the last 10 Everton away games against similar opponents, 7 from the 13 games overall. Under 2.5 Goals (2.04) is a stand out bet, having been seen in 10 of the 13 games. The Away side to have the Most Booking Points (2.62) looks another stand out bet, having been seen in 8 of the 13 games and in 7 of Everton's last 10 away against similar opposition. The Second Half Result Draw (2.62) looks just as solid having also been seen in 8 from the 13 games.

BetsLayer Premier League Betting Value Oct 20th

BetsLayer Value Highlights and Selections

Spurs v Chelsea - There is some reasonable value about Spurs here at (2.70) with Chelsea losing 6 of the last 10 against similar opponents, perhaps the best bet though is to Lay Chelsea at (2.92) with the away team winners only 3 times in the 17 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Second half to be Under 1.5 goals (1.91) looks solid after featuring in 11 of the 17 games.

West Brom v Manchester City - The Half Time Draw (2.45) looks a strong option with 7 of the last 10 Manchester City away games against similar opponents being level at the break, 12 from 18 overall featuring games between these two sides against similar opposition. The Away side to have the Most Corners (1.78) looks good with 8 from the last 10 for Manchester City against similar sides, with 12 from 18 overall. Second half to be Under 1.5 goals (1.83) again looks an option after featuring in 12 of the 18 games

West Ham v Southampton - No Value Found

Fulham v Aston Villa - Some decent value about the Home side to win the Second Half (2.20), this has occurred in 13 of the 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. 

Liverpool v Reading - Another tough game to find value, but 8 of Liverpool's last 10 home games have seen Under 1.5 Goals in the Second Half (1.91) looks reasonable.

Manchester United v Stoke - There is some decent value about the Home side, although at (1.30) it might be one for the big hitters. Under 2.5 goals (2.40) could seem an unusual option for a Manchester United home game against this level of side, but under 3 goals has been seen in 6 of the last 10. Home Clean Sheet (1.95) looks another good bet, with 13 for the Home side in the last 18 featuring these two sides against similar opponents. An alternative is No on both teams to score (1.83) also seen in 13 of the 18 games and giving you the extra safety on the unlikely 0-0 or 0-1, but United not scoring hasn't happened in the 18 games.

Swansea v Wigan - Some value in the draw (3.56) for a longer odds option, but no real value found

Norwich v Arsenal - Some value in Arsenal's price (1.59), Over 2.5 goals (1.63) looks very strong having featured in all the last 10 Arsenal away games against similar opponents, 12 out of 13 overall with both sides.   Over 3.5 goals (2.53) could also tempt having been seen in 7 of the 13 games. The Away side to score both Halves (2.30) looks a very good option having been seen in 10 of the 13 games. Under 10.5 corners (2.5) is of interest if you fancy a different angle, seen in 8 of the 13 games.

UFC 153 Betting Value

Preamble: the first blog for UFC 152 brought a huge win, with two out of three correct in both winner and method, and the other one had the winner right. I’ve narrowed the bets down for this weeks UFC 153 in Brazil to a few options in each case and then picked the most likely and value outcome, and after the previous success I’ve also discussed more fights. It’s a tall order to live up to but here goes…

Anderson Silva v Stephan Bonnar

The most one-sided odds in UFC history (with Silva 1/12 to win) makes for some interesting analysis and despite first impressions there is some value. Yes, Silva is widely recognized as the best pound for pound fighter ever, but he is going up a weight to 205, at short notice against someone who has never been stopped (apart from on cuts). Bonnar could win as the blueprint for defeating Silva is well known: close the distance, take him down and top control the way to a decision, and with Bonnar’s experience and size he could have a shot at this. Bonnar to win by decision is a huge 24/1 with Sporting bet and in a two horse race could be the win of the century. But Silva will be well aware of this strategy too and should control the distance and catch Bonnar with shots coming in. The tempting longer value is Bonnar decision, but the outcome will probably be Silva KO at 8/13 with Paddy Power

Nogueira v Herman

This is an upset in the making. I’ve loved Nogueira since the first time I saw him years ago fighting the now laughable Bob Sapp, but there’s a lot of miles on his clock. Factor in a recent arm break possibly affecting his power right hand and a short notice fight affecting his cardio and this could be Herman’s night. That being said Herman has been KO’d in his last two fights against good opposition and is in Nogueira’s back yard, so for Nogueira fans a submission victory at 6/5 Paddy Power is a decent bet. For this one I’m sticking my neck out and going for the underdog though, as these odds seem a tad generous, Herman has quite a high striking rate and his more rounded strikes should wear down Nogueira as he avoids the Brazilian’s legendary ground game, eventually letting cardio do the rest and a Herman KO at 11/4 Sky Bet is too long odds to ignore. Whatever happens given how easy these fighters get hit and the short notice fight this won’t go the distance, so a bet on the fight not going the distance (2/9 with Paddy Power) offers probably the most secure chance of winning.

Fabio Maldonado v Glover Teixeira

This is an interesting match up that offers perhaps the clearest bet of the night. Maldonado is an ex-boxer and Teixeira is a more rounded but extremely heavy-handed slugger. This one either stays standing and Teixeira wins the battle of the chins or Teixeira knocks him down and finishes him on the ground. The issue is what happens when Teixeira knocks him down, will he KO him or submit him on the floor? It’s difficult to call, so maybe a straight Teixeira win at 2/7 Paddy Power is the safest option.

Davis v Prado

This is a rematch of a fight that stopped very early in a no contest due to an eye poke, but we still learned a little about how it may pan out. Davis is an ex US collegiate wrestler and Prado a more rounded striker and jiu-jitsu man. In the first fight Prado caught Davis and had him a little worried backpedalling, which is when he accidentally pawed his opponents eye when trying to keep the distance. Davis learns his lesson, doesn’t exchange and uses his vastly superior wrestling to take him down to a decision victory. Davis Decision Best odds are 21/10 with Ladbrokes.

Jon Fitch v Erick Silva

This is a great match up. Probably the best ‘take down wrestler and decision grinder’ in MMA (Fitch) up against the explosive and lighting fast striker Silva. Its tempting to go for the Fitch decision at 7/4 Ladbrokes as he’s the underdog and this offers his only realistic route to success, but Silva is the real deal and I’ve had him marked as a future champ since his debut. It’s not a straight-forward call, but I think Silva by KO (3/1) Paddy Power is the most likely outcome.