October 22-23 - Back from Dusseldorf Weekend Review.

Well back from some real great fun in Dusseldorf, top stuff from the boys, but a tough week back in blighty for the BetsLayer, 2 out of 3 account bets won, with Spurs 2-1 away win bringing in profit, also with the Overs. The draws however were thin on the ground but 2 out of 8 delivered at good odds, Luckylucas Lower League only managed one winner from 3 with Huddersfield's 3-1 home win to Preston, overall £332.25 for an initial stake of £350, giving us a small loss on the week after 2 great weeks.

In summary we have now staked £975 with a return of £1064 ROI 9.13 % over the 4 weeks.

Top Draw is 23 selections / 7 winners giving a ROI 8.26%

In the match analysis we again had some highlights, but also struggled and certainly no stats or ratings showed Manchester City winning 6-1 at Old Trafford :-

As for goals then there is a bias to 3 or more and this has been seen 10 of Wolves last 14 home games and in 3 of Swansea’s 4 away matches in the Premiership. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at Evens (2.00) and looks worth consideration. 

There looks to be early goals in this match and indeed in 8 of Wolves last 10 games to similar opposition there has been a goal scored before the 27 th minute

2-2 draw, with the first goal arriving in the 23rd minute

As for goals, even with Aston Villa’s general form there is a bias to Over 2.5 goals as this has been seen in 7 of Aston Villa’s last 11 at home to similar rated sides and in 7 of West Broms last 10 away games to similar rated sides Over 2.5 goals can be backed at 20/21 (1.95).
 
Both teams to score looks a strong option as both teams have scored in 8 of Aston villa’s last 15 home games and in 7 of West Brom’s last 10 away games 4/5 (1.80).

Look to Lay Aston Villa at 11/10 (2.1) or under with a view of trading out for a nice profit if West Brom start well, trade out if there is no goal at 20 mins…otherwise let it ride

Aston Villa lost 1-2, so both scored and Overs

The ratings are suggesting that there is not much value in backing Liverpool to win this game.  Liverpool do have a very strong record at home sides and are priced at 1/3 (1.33) 

Liverpool drew 1-1 in shock home result, howevcr our HT/FT was let down unluckily as Liverpool did go in the lead in first half injury time.

As for goals then there is a definite bias to 3 or more and this has been seen in 8 of Manchester Uniteds last 9 at home to top rated sides and in 4 of Manchester Citys last 7 away to similar rated sides Over 2.5 goals can be backed at 5/6 (1.83).

The second half has been the highest scoring in 5 of Manchester Uniteds last 9 at home to top rated sides and in 5 of Manchester Citys last 7 away games. The second half to be the highest scoring can be backed at 11/10 (2.10)

 

Manchester City AMAZINGLY won 6-1 taking out our United value, but with a glut of goals in the second half of the game after J Evans' red card things weren't all bad.

 

Arsenal can be backed at 3/5 (1.60), which given the fact they were 1.25 for the same game last season does offer some value.

Finally it may be worth backing Arsenal to score in both halves as Arsenal have scored in both halves in 9 of their last 14 at home vs similar rated sides to Stoke and Stoke have conceded in both halves in 7 of their last 9 away games to top rated sides 23/17 (2.35)

Arsenal won 3-1 scoring in both halves, unfortunately their defence let us down for the win to nil for a second week