SUNDERLAND v MANCHESTER UNITED
No real value found on this game, looking at my predictive model, there does though appear to be value in Manchester United -1 goal on the Asian Handicap (2.10).
WEST HAM v WEST BROM
Total Goals 2-3 (1.90). looks reasonable, seen in 14 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Under 10.5 Corners (2.65), looks an option, seen in 12 of the 20 games. No Value found in the Handicap line.
WIGAN v NORWICH
There is no value about an odds on Wigan (1.97), the draw could be a good option at (3.64), seen in 8 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Over 2.5 Goals (1.95), looks a decent selection, seen in 15 of the 19 games. Both Teams to Score (1.78), holds some good value, seen in 17 of the 19 games. As above the value lies in the draw and the away side, so Norwich +0.5 Goals on the Asian Handicap (1.99) looks the call.
SWANSEA v SPURS
The Half Time Draw (2.30), looks a reasonable starting position on this game, seen in 13 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. No other value found, including in the Asian Handicap line, some small value in Swansea but not really enough to bet.
BETSLAYER BETS OF THE DAY
MANCHESTER CITY v NEWCASTLE
Manchester City (home) to Score Both Halves (1.93), looks strong seen in 15 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. No value in the Asian Handicap line.
SOUTHAMPTON v CHELSEA
Another tough game to find value on, Chelsea -0.25 (1.92) on the Asian Handicap looks a reasonable bet looking at the predictive model. Chelsea have only lost 2 of the last 10 against similar level opponents, winning 6.
ARSENAL v READING
No Value found including in the Asian Handicap line.
EVERTON v STOKE
The Half Time Draw (2.40), again looks a reasonable starting position on this game, seen in 11 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. There is a strong draw bias to this game (4.00), looks a good price, seen in 9 of the last 20 games. Under normal circumstances, I would say there was value in Everton on the Handicap -0.75 (1.84), but with 4 key players out its a swerve for me.
BETSLAYER BETS OF THE DAY
Wigan v Norwich - Over 2.5 Goals (1.95)
Everton v Stoke - The Half Time Draw (2.40)
BetsLayer Powered by BetFormPro
EARLY BIRD LAYS
This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value using BetFormPro statistical software, 28 free trial available here , at this time selections are only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.
1 winning selections last time, today we have one selection
West Ham v West Brom - Lay HT 0-0 (3.10)
Wigan v Norwich - Lay HT 0-0 (3.15)
Manchester City v Newcastle - Lay HT 0-0 (3.90)
Sunderland v Norwich - Lay HT 0-0 (3.00) WON
1 winning selections last time, today we have one selection
West Ham v West Brom - Lay HT 0-0 (3.10)
Wigan v Norwich - Lay HT 0-0 (3.15)
Manchester City v Newcastle - Lay HT 0-0 (3.90)
running total =
25 Selections
17 Winners 8 Losers
Total = -£67.5
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