Sunday 17 March 2013

Premier League Betting Value March 17th


SUNDERLAND v NORWICH

There is not much value around this game, Sunderland do look good on the Asian Handicap -0.25 (1.79), Norwich have a very poor away record against similar level sides, losing 8 of the last 10 games.

SPURS v FULHAM

Under 2.5 goals (2.31), looks great value, seen in 12 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Home Clean Sheet (2.20), looks a reasonable option, seen in 13 of the 19 games. A better option if you do fancy a Spurs clean sheet is Both Teams to Score NO (2.20), seen in 14 of the 19 games. 

WIGAN v NEWCASTLE

Again a tough game to find solid value, what there is appears to be on the away side, Newcastle +0.25 (2.01) looks a good option on the Asian Handicap, the home side only winning 4 out of the last 19 games involving these two sides against similar level opponents. For something a little different the Half with Most Goals Draw (3.75), looks good value, seen in 8 of the 19 games. The away side to score Over 1.5 Goals (2.75) looks another good value option, seen in 12 of the 19 games.

CHELSEA v WEST HAM

The Home side to be leading at Half Time (1.91), looks a good start point on this game, seen in 13 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. There is value about Chelsea although at (1.40) not enough unless you are a big hitter. Perhaps a better option is Chelsea -1.25 Goals (1.84), the home side winning 17 out of the 20 games, 12 by 2 or more goals. Both Teams to Score NO (2.10), looks another decent shout, seen in 12 of the 20 games.

BETSLAYER BETS OF THE DAY

Sunderland -0.25 Goals (1.79)
Spurs v Fulham Under 2.75 Goals (2.02)
Chelsea -1.25 Goals (1.84)


BetsLayer Powered by BetFormPro
BetForm Pro


EARLY BIRD LAYS


This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value using BetFormPro statistical software, 28 free trial available here , at this time selections are only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.


Southampton v QPR - Lay HT 0-0 (3.25) WON

Everton v Reading - Lay HT 0-0 (3.75) WON

Spurs v Arsenal - Lay HT 0-0 (3.60) WON


3 winning selections last time, no selections last weekend, today we have one selection

Sunderland v Norwich - Lay HT 0-0 (3.00)

running total =


24 Selections
16 Winners 8 Losers

Total =  -£115


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