Friday 15 March 2013

Premier League Betting Value March 16th



EVERTON v MANCHESTER CITY

There looks to be value about the home side and looking at the ratings, this might be best utilised on the Asian Handicap with Everton available with +0.25 (2.20) or +0.5 (1.90). The home side have won 9 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition, losing only 5. There is some slim value about Under 2.5 Goals (2.10), but looking at these two level of sides playing against each other over the last 3 seasons not quite enough to bet. Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.91), looks good value, seen in 13 of the 18 games. 

SOUTHAMPTON v LIVERPOOL

Tough game with very little value available, Southampton do look some value on the Asian Handicap +0.5 (1.96).

STOKE v WEST BROM

Over 2.5 Goals (2.29) , looks decent value, seen in 12 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. 

SWANSEA v ARSENAL 

The Half Time Draw (2.38), looks a good start point on this game, seen in 13 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. The Full Time Draw (3.55), also holds some value, seen in 10 of the 20 games. Under 2.5 Goals (2.30), looks solid value, seen in 14 of the 20 games. Looking at the Handicap Swansea +0.25 (1.97), looks strong especially in a game with such a strong draw bias.

ASTON VILLA v QPR

No Value found on this game.

MAMCHESTER UNITED v READING

Home Clean Sheet (1.95), looks decent value, seen in 8 of the last 12 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. 


BETSLAYER BET OF THE DAY


Swansea v Arsenal - Under 2.75 Goals (2.02)


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EARLY BIRD LAYS


This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value using BetFormPro statistical software, 28 free trial available here , at this time selections are only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.


Southampton v QPR - Lay HT 0-0 (3.25) WON

Everton v Reading - Lay HT 0-0 (3.75) WON

Spurs v Arsenal - Lay HT 0-0 (3.60) WON


3 winning selections last time, no selections last weekend, tomorrow we have no selections


running total =


24 Selections
16 Winners 8 Losers

Total =  -£115

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