Sunday 7 April 2013

Premier League Betting Value April 7th


LIVERPOOL v WEST HAM

Home Clean Sheet (2.10), looks reasonable here seen in 12 of the last 18 games these two sides have featured in against similar level opposition. Both Teams to Score No (2.10) which covers the previous bet is the better option, seen in 13 of the 20 games. There looks to be reasonable value in West Ham +1.5 Goals (2.07).

SPURS v EVERTON 

Value about the Home side Spurs to win (2.20), seen in 8 of the last 12 games featuring these two sides against similar level opposition. Over 2.5 Goals (2.18), looks reasonable seen in 8 of the 12 games. Spurs Race to 2 goals (2.60), also looks an option, seen in 7 of the 12 games. Along the same lines, but a safer option Total Home Goals Over 1.5 (2.38), seen in 9 of the 12 games. No Value in the Asian Handicap Line.

NEWCASTLE v FULHAM

Home Side to Win the Second Half (2.60), seen in 12 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents.Total Goals Range 2-3 (1.90), looks good seen in 13 of the 19 games. There looks to be some reasonable value in Fulham +0.5 (1.94) on the Asian Handicap.

CHELSEA v SUNDERLAND

Home Clean Sheet (1.90), looks a good value bet, seen in 13 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. Another alternative is Both Teams to Score No (1.75), seen in 14 of the 19 games. No Value in the Asian Handicap Line.

QPR v WIGAN

There is no value about QPR (2.40), home side winning only 4 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar level opposition. Over 2.5 Goals (1.90), looks good seen in 12 of the 18 games. Both Teams to Score (1.73), again looks strong seen in 13 of 18 games. Race to 2 Goals Away (3.30), is an option seen in 9 of the 18 games. Along the same lines is Wigan Over 1.5 Goals (2.88), also seen in 9 of the 18 games. There looks to be some good value in Wigan +0.25 Goals (1.89) on the Asian Handicap.



BETSLAYER BETS OF THE DAY

Chelsea v Sunderland - Home Clean Sheet (1.90)
Liverpool v West Ham - Both Teams to Score NO (2.10)
QPR v Wigan - Wigan +0.25 (1.89)

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EARLY BIRD LAYS

This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value using BetFormPro statistical software, 28 free trial available here , at this time selections are only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.


West Ham v West Brom - Lay HT 0-0 (3.10) WON
Wigan v Norwich - Lay HT 0-0 (3.15) LOSS
Manchester City v Newcastle - Lay HT 0-0 (3.90) WON


2 winning selections last time, one loser, today we have two selections


Spurs v Everton - Lay HT 0-0 (3.00)
QPR v Wigan  - Lay HT 0-0 (3.25)



running total =


28 Selections
19 Winners 9 Losers

Total =  -£80


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