Sunday 24 February 2013

Premier League Betting Value February 24th



MANCHESTER CITY v CHELSEA

There is no real value in Manchester City's price at Evens, if you fancy them to win it makes good sense to Dutch them to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.40), all 8 home wins of the 18 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents have been by this margin, as have the last 3 meetings at Manchester City. The Away side the Most Booking Points (1.91), looks reasonable, seen in 12 of the 18 games. The Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.91), looks good, seen in 13 of the 18 games. 

NEWCASTLE v SOUTHAMPTON

Total Goals 2-3 (1.91), looks good value, seen in 9 of the last 10 Newcastle Home games against similar level opponents and 11 from 14 overall. 

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EARLY BIRD LAYS



This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value using BetFormPro statistical software, 28 free trial available here , at this time selections are only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Norwich City v Fulham - Lay HT 0-0 (3.10) LOSS

Today we have one selection, hopefully getting back on track

Newcastle v Southampton - Lay HT 0-0 (3.30)

running total =

20 Selections
12 Winners 8 Losers

Total =  -£305

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