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UFC 152 Betting Highlights
Jon Jones vs Vitor Belfort
If you look at the
odds this is one of the most lop-sided matches in UFC history. Bet £1
on Jones to win at Bwin and you’ll end up with the princely
sum of £1.15, and in a two-horse race that’s not worth the risk,
particularly given the propensity for upsets in MMA. Belfort does,
however, possess legendary one punch KO power, particularly in the
first round when he’s fresh and hes also publicly stated he will be
going for the early KO. So a good long shot bet is Belfort by 1st
Rd KO at 12/1 or even Rd 2 at 25/1 Sky Bet. But really Jones is the huge
favourite for a reason and Jones to win in Rd 1 (13/5) or 2 (10/3) Paddy Power
will probably be the outcome and provides more value than the
straight win. If this goes into the later rounds I’ll be shocked.
Michael Bisping v Brian Stann
The bookies have
Bisping as the favourite and with good reason. Stann is essentially a
very one-dimensional heavy hitting boxer but what he does, he does
well, and he could catch Bisping either scoring knockdowns to win
rounds or more likely by knockout. Therefore a Stann KO bet (23/10) Paddy Power
offers decent value as its essentially his main path to winning. My
money is on Bisping for this one though, Stann has been
comprehensively out wrestled by anyone with a decent ground game,
which Bisping has. Bisping only tends to finish a fight when he isn’t
scared of his opponents power, when he can plant his feet and unload
to a TKO victory but I can’t see him taking that risk here and
getting caught. More likely he will display his good fight
intelligence and be wary of Stann’s power, staying outside and
scoring points with his more technical and rounded striking and
securing a takedown each round to get the points. Bisping by decision
(evens) is the clear bet here Paddy Power.
Joseph Benavidez v Demetrious Johnson
As you drop down the
weight divisions the finishing rate drops and despite the 5 round
bout I think the decision is the value here, although you will have
to pick a winner as (4/9) to go to the judges is not too generous.
Benavidez is the heavy favourite here but I think those odds are a
little lopsided, he’s been injured and has only fought once in the
last year whilst Johnson has fought in three 5 rd wars. Also
Demetrious Johnson’s last 5 fights have all gone to the judges and
his phenomenal striking rate ensures he normally does enough work to
pick up the decision for each round. Johnson by points decision (9/2) Sky Bet stands
out as the best value bet in this match up.
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