WOLVES v NORWICH
Stats Analysis
Wolves and Norwich both let leads slip against Stoke and Everton respectively at the weekend. The odds of (2.10) about the home win here offer little value when compared to the ratings.
The draw is available at (3.6) and offers value in a game with a decent draw bias and is certainly an option to consider. Norwich have let slip 10 points from winning positions this term and it is difficult to see them winning here, but their price of (3.75) is decent value to the ratings. If you do fancy Norwich to do well, it could pay to keep the draw on side and back on the Asian Handicap market +0.5 goals at (1.9)
Wolves have had +2.5 goals in 11 of their 13 league matches (12 from last 15 home) and 6 of the last 10 home matches against similar rated sides, as have Norwich in 10 of the last 15 away fixtures. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at (1.83)
Both teams scored in 10 of the last 15 Wolves home matches matches and in 11 of Norwich's last 15 away games. Both teams to score can be backed at (1.66) and seems a solid option.
BetsLayer Value Highlight
Over 2.5 goals (1.83)
BLACKBURN v BOLTON (Tuesday 8pm Sky Sports 1)
Stats Analysis
This Lancashire derby always has an edge, tonight the loser could fall off it into the abyss. Bolton are bottom of the Premier League, five points from safety, with Rovers only one place and one point above them. There is little value in the match odds with the home side at (2.10) and Bolton who have lost their last five league games and 13 of their first 16 this season at (3.7). If you do fancy Bolton to do well you are best keeping the draw on side and Bolton can be backed on the Asian Handicap +0.25 goals at (2.10)
Rovers have won three of the last four meetings at Ewood Park, drawing the other but with so much at stake for both managers the draw must be a consideration at (3.5) which offers some small value.
There have been +2.5 goals in 6 of the last 8 of Blackburn’s home matches and also in 15 of the last 19 of Bolton’s league fixtures (7 of the last 9 away to low rated sides). Over 2.5 goals is value and available at (1.83). Both teams to score looks likely but a little short at (1.63) with both teams last 15 seeing this outcome 8 times and when looking at recent home and away games, both teams have found the net in 6 of their respective last 10 home and away games against similar opposition.
The 2nd half could see more action as the 2nd half has been the highest scoring in 5 of Blackburn's last 8 home games and in 5 of Bolton's last 8 away games. The 2nd half to be the highest scoring can be backed at (2.10)
BetsLayer Value Highlight
2nd half to be the highest scoring (2.10)
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