Sunday, 11 December 2011

Chelsea v Manchester City - Premier League Betting Value Analysis


Chelsea v Manchester City (Monday 8pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

This game should be billed as a title battle, but Chelsea have struggled with that billing and are a full 10 points behind the league leaders Manchester City. Chelsea do have a fantastic record against top rated sides winning 8 of the last 9 encounters at the bridge. Chelsea can be backed at (2.60) and if you do fancy Chelsea to do well then it could make sense to keep the draw on side. Chelsea can be backed on the Asian Handicap +0 goals at (1.83) and this is effectively draw no bet.

The draw is available at (3.40) and this offers reasonable value and is definitely something to be considered in a match that means so much to both sides, with neither really be able to afford a loss.

Manchester City can be backed at (2.9) and this offers reasonable value. They have however only won 2 of the last 8 away against top rated sides, so as with Chelsea it is probably best to keep the draw on side and Manchester City can be backed on the Asian Handicap +0 goals at (2.10)

As for goals we have some pretty mixed stats however looking at the general form there looks some value in backing 3 or more goals as 12 of Chelsea's last 15 home games have seen 3 or more goals as has 10 of Manchester City's last 15 away games and 5 from the last 8 against top rated sides. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at (1.80).

The 2nd half has been the highest scoring half in 10 of Chelsea's last 15 home games and in 6 of Chelsea's last 8 at home to top rated sides. For Manchester City the 2nd half has been the highest scoring half in 9 of Manchester Citys last 13 away games and in 6 of Manchester City's last 8 away to top rated sides. The 2nd half to be the highest scoring can be backed at (2.10)

Betslayer Value Highlight

2nd half to be the highest scoring at (2.10)

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