New Years Day Premier League Value (January 1st, 2012)

Happy New Year to anyone who may pop over to read the Betslayer analysis, here's to a great 2012. 
 
WEST BROM v EVERTON

Stats Analysis

The ratings are suggesting that there is some value in backing West Brom to win (2.63) they do have a decent home record to similar rated sides which reads W5 D1 L4. There is a strong draw bias to this game and the draw is value at (3.40). If you do fancy West Brom to do well then keeping the draw on side and backing on the Asian Handicap + 0 goals at (1.91) makes sense.

Everton can be backed at (2.80) this price does not really offer much value but Everton do have a reasonable record away to similar rated sides which reads W3 D4 L3. If you do fancy Everton to do well then again you are best keeping the draw on side and Everton can be backed at +0 goals on the Asian Handicap at (2.00)

As for goals there is value in 3 or more, there has been +2.5 goals in 8 of the last 11 WBA home matches against similar rated teams and infact +3.5 goals in 5 of the last 10 WBA such matches. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at (2.12). Both teams to score looks of interest but is priced with not much value as both teams have scored in 6 of West Brom's last 10 home games to similar rated sides and in 4 of Everton's last 8 away games. Both teams to score can be backed at (1.83)

Trade Zone Value

Early goals could feature in this game. There has been a goal scored before 25 minutes in 12 of West Brom's last 16 home games and in 7 of Everton's last 10 away to similar rated sides. The first goal of the game to be scored before 25 Minutes can be backed at (2.00).

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The Draw (3.4)

SUNDERLAND v MAN CITY

Stats Analysis

Sunderland can be backed at (7.00) and this does not make for much appeal. However with Martin O'Neill in charge Sunderland may be in a better position to do well. If you do fancy Sunderland then they can be backed on the Asian handicap +1 goal at (2.08). The draw is priced at (4.40) and this offers no real value.

Manchester City have won 5 of the last 8 away matches against similar rated sides teams, the ratings are suggesting that even at (1.53) Manchester City are still value to win this game. If you do fancy them to win this game then dutching them to win by 1 or 2 goals looks a good option as Sunderland could be hard to break down. Sunderland have lost 12 of the last 13 home defeats by the 1 or 2 goal margin and Manchester City have won 6 of their last 8 away victories against similar rated sides by this margin. Dutching Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 goals pays (2.04).

As for goals there are some mixed stats here and although it points to 3 or more goals this offers no real value at (1.73). Indeed when Sunderland have hosted top rated sides there has only been 3 or more goals scored in 3 of the 10 matches. Under 2.5 goals can be backed at (2.20) and looks to offer value. Both teams to score looks reasonable as both teams have scored in 10 of Sunderland's last 15 home games and in 9 of Manchester Citys last 15 away games. Both teams to score can be backed at (1.83)

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Dutch Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.04)