Manchester United v Wolves
Stats Analysis
Manchester United have scored one goal in each of their last seven league games and the ratings are suggesting that there is no real value in backing them to win this game at (1.20). If you fancy Manchester United to do well. Dutching the Manchester United win by 1 or 2 goals pays (2.13) and this looks to offer some value given the fact that 10 of Manchester United's last 13 home victories have been by this margin, indeed Wolves have lost by 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 to top rated sides. Manchester United to win to nil looks another option as Manchester United have won 7 of their last 10 home games to low rated sides to nil and Wolves have lost 6 of their last 10 away games to top rated sides to nil.(1.86). The No on both teams to score can be backed at (1.73)
The draw can be backed at (7.00) and although this offers value it offers very little appeal
Wolves have taken one point from seven games against teams in the top half and will have bigger matches in their battle against the drop. Wolves can be backed at (19.00) and even at this price this offers no value. However if you do fancy Wolves to do well then looking at the stats Wolves have only lost by 3 or more goals in 3 of their last 10 away to top rated sides, Wolves +2 goals on the Asian Handicap (1.86)
As for goals there is some value in the under 2.5 goals as this has been seen in 6 of Manchester United's last 12 home games plus last 5 overall and in 7 of Wolves last 15 away. Under 2.5 goals (2.48). The second half has been the highest scoring in 7 of Manchester United's last 10 at home to low rated sides and in 6 of Wolves last 10 away to top rated sides. The second half to be the highest scoring can be backed at (2.10)
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The second half to be the highest scoring can be backed at (2.10)
Norwich v Newcastle
Stats Analysis
The ratings say there isn't much value in backing Norwich at their current price of (2.50). If you do fancy Norwich to do well then you are certainly best keeping the draw on side and Norwich can be backed on the Asian Handicap +0 goals (1.83)
Newcastle have slipped after facing Manchester City, Manchester United and Chelsea in successive matches, but they were not three goals worse than the Blues and can see off the Canaries, who have claimed all four of their victories against teams in the bottom half. Newcastle can be backed at (3.10) and this offers value and Newcastle do have a very solid record away to low rated sides which reads W4 D4 L1. However as there is such a strong draw bias it might be wise to keep this on your side, the draw can be backed at (3.40), Newcastle can be backed on the Asian Handicap +0 goals (2.10)
Norwich have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per home game but Newcastle have seen only 6 of their last 15 away games have 3 goals or more. Under 2.5 goals can be backed at Evens (2.00) and has some value.
Both teams have scored in 12 of Norwich's 14 Premier League matches plus have found the net in 13 of Norwich's last 15 home games and in 5 of Newcastle's last 9 away to low rated sides. Both teams to score can be backed at (1.75) which is no real value.
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Newcastle on the Asian Handicap +0 goals or Draw No Bet (2.10)
Swansea v Fulham
Stats Analysis
The ratings are suggesting that there is some value in backing Swansea at (2.75). If you do fancy Swansea to do well then it could pay to keep the draw on side and Swansea can be backed +0 goals at (1.99)
The ratings are suggesting that there is some value in backing Swansea at (2.75). If you do fancy Swansea to do well then it could pay to keep the draw on side and Swansea can be backed +0 goals at (1.99)
There is a strong draw bias to this game with Fulham drawing 5 of their last 10 away to low rated sides, 4 from the last 10 generally and Swansea have draw 3 from their opening 7 home games, the draw can be backed at (3.40) which offers value
Fulham have not had much luck this season but the tide may have turned with their 1-0 victory at home to Liverpool on Tuesday. The Cottagers have been playing well for a number of weeks and they may be taking on out-of-form Swansea at just the right time. They have however only scored 4 goals away from home this season and against tight hosts that looks unlikely to improve. Fulham can be backed at (2.90) and this does not offer much value and as with Swansea if you do fancy Fulham to do well then you are best keeping the draw on side, so on the Asian Handicap Fulham can be backed +0 goals at (1.95)
Swansea have scored less than two goals in ten of their 15 matches this season and have conceded less goals at home than any other side in the Premier League. As for goals there is a bias to 2 or under and this has been seen in 5 of Swansea's opening 7 home games, 8 of Fulham's last 10 away to low rated sides and in 6 of their opening 7 away games. Under 2.5 goals can be backed at (1.73) and this still looks to offer some value.
The No on both teams to score also looks strong both teams have scored in only 1 of Swansea's last 7 home games and in 6 of Fulham's last 15 away games. The no on both teams to score can be backed at (2.00).
Swansea have scored less than two goals in ten of their 15 matches this season and have conceded less goals at home than any other side in the Premier League. As for goals there is a bias to 2 or under and this has been seen in 5 of Swansea's opening 7 home games, 8 of Fulham's last 10 away to low rated sides and in 6 of their opening 7 away games. Under 2.5 goals can be backed at (1.73) and this still looks to offer some value.
The No on both teams to score also looks strong both teams have scored in only 1 of Swansea's last 7 home games and in 6 of Fulham's last 15 away games. The no on both teams to score can be backed at (2.00).
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The Draw (3.4)
Arsenal v Everton
Stats Analysis
The ratings are suggesting that there is not much value in backing Arsenal at (1.57). If you do fancy Arsenal to continue their recent good run Dutching the Arsenal win by 1 or 2 goals certainly looks to make some sense. Arsenal have only won by more than 2 goals 3 times in the last 12 home wins and all against low rated sides and only 1 of Everton's last 15 away defeats have been by 3 or more goals and they have only conceded 3 goals in 4 of these matches. Dutching the Arsenal win by 1 or 2 goals (2.04).
Everton suffered a shock 1-0 defeat at home to Stoke on Sunday but they can bounce back by taking a point from their daunting trip to the Emirates Stadium. Arsenal's attack lacked incisiveness in a recent 1-1 draw at home to Fulham and it could be a similar story against a solid Everton back-line. The draw is priced at (4.00) and this certainly offers value and must be considered.
Everton are priced at (7.50) and this offers some value. If you do fancy Everton to do well then you are best keeping the draw on side and they certainly look good value +1 goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.91)
As for goals there is a bias to 2 or less, this has been seen in 9 of Arsenal's last 15 home games and in 6 of Everton's last 9 away games. Under 2.5 goals can be backed at (2.10). Arsenal have kept just one clean sheet in their last six domestic home fixtures. Both sides have scored in 3 of Arsenal's last 4 at home and 7 of Everton's last 10 away meetings to top/middle rated sides. Both teams to score can be backed at (1.80).
Late action could be seen here, there has been a goal scored after 74 minutes in 7 of Arsenal's last 10 at home to similar rated sides and in 6 of Everton's last 10 away to top/middle rated sides. Generally 7 of Arsenal's last 10 home games and all 7 of Everton's last 7 away games have also seen a goal after 74 minutes. The last goal of the game to come after 74 minutes can be backed at (1.91)
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Dutching Arsenal to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.04)
West Brom v Wigan
Stats Analysis
West Brom’s poor home form this season owes a lot to a difficult set of fixtures and they can improve their Hawthorns haul with a win over lowly Wigan. The Latics have been largely toothless on the road and look unlikely to build on their late victory at Sunderland. Swansea (Away) are the only bottom-half side to have beaten West Brom, but there is not much value in backing them at their current price of (1.73). If you do fancy West Brom to win the game then a sound option is to dutch them to win by 1 or 2 goals. The last 10 West Brom's home victories have come via this margin as has 10 of Wigan's last 11 away defeats to similar rated sides. Dutching the West Brom win by 1 or 2 goals (2.14)
The draw can be backed at (3.80) and this offers value
Wigan can be backed at (5.50) and this looks about right according to the ratings. However if you do fancy Wigan to do well then backing them on the Asian Handicap + 1 goals at (1.83) is an alternative as West Brom have only beaten this margin 3 times in their last 10 home victories (26 games).
West Brom’s poor home form this season owes a lot to a difficult set of fixtures and they can improve their Hawthorns haul with a win over lowly Wigan. The Latics have been largely toothless on the road and look unlikely to build on their late victory at Sunderland. Swansea (Away) are the only bottom-half side to have beaten West Brom, but there is not much value in backing them at their current price of (1.73). If you do fancy West Brom to win the game then a sound option is to dutch them to win by 1 or 2 goals. The last 10 West Brom's home victories have come via this margin as has 10 of Wigan's last 11 away defeats to similar rated sides. Dutching the West Brom win by 1 or 2 goals (2.14)
The draw can be backed at (3.80) and this offers value
Wigan can be backed at (5.50) and this looks about right according to the ratings. However if you do fancy Wigan to do well then backing them on the Asian Handicap + 1 goals at (1.83) is an alternative as West Brom have only beaten this margin 3 times in their last 10 home victories (26 games).
As for goals there is a definite bias to 3 or more and this has been seen in 4 of West Brom's last 6 at home to low rated sides and in 7 of Wigan's last 10 away again to similar rated sides. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at (1.91) and this looks to offer some value. Both teams to score also seems a solid option as both sides have found the net in 10 of both teams respective last 15 home and away games. Also both teams have found the net in 5 of West Broms last 6 home games to low rated sides. Both teams to score can be backed at (1.91) and this looks a solid option.
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The Draw (3.8)
Liverpool v QPR
Stats Analysis
Liverpool were a little unlucky to lose 1-0 at Fulham on Monday but they can bounce back with a home victory over QPR. The Reds' midfield is weakened by the absences of Lucas and Jay Spearing but their attack should make the difference. They have however only scored more than 1 goal twice in 7 home games this season. The ratings are suggesting that there is not much value in backing at their current price of (1.36). Looking at how to improve the value for Liverpool backers really depends on how many goals you see them scoring and in truth as above this season they have not been prolific and indeed barring the Swansea game which finished 0-0 they have conceded in each game so far. Dutching the Liverpool win by 1 or 2 goals makes some sense as 8 of their last 10 home victories to similar rated sides have come via this margin. Dutching the Liverpool win by 1 or 2 goals (1.95)
The draw can be backed at (5.50) and this certainly offers value, however little attraction, although it must be remembered that Liverpool have now drawn the last 4 home games.
QPR have conceded two goals or more in their last four away games. QPR can be backed at (11.00) and this price does offer some value. If you do expect QPR to do well then your best option is certainly to back them on the Asian Handicap and they can be backed + 1.5 goals (1.91)
As for goals the bias in towards 2 or less, Liverpool have seen 9 of their last 15 home games have 2 or less goals so Under 2.5 goals looks a reasonable option and this can be backed at (2.20). Again both teams to score comes into the equation, 6 of Liverpool's last 7 home games and QPR's last 3 away games have seen this, both teams to score is priced (2.20) this looks to offer some value.
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Dutching Liverpool to win by 1 or 2 goals (1.95)
Bolton Wanderers v Aston Villa
Stats Analysis
Bolton have lost 11 of their 14 Premier League games so far this season and are priced at (2.60) and this offers no real value. The Trotters have had a player dismissed in each of their last two matches but if they can keep 11 men on the pitch, they could win a much-needed three points against fellow strugglers Villa. Indeed if you fancy Bolton to do well then the best option is to back them on the Asian Handicap +0 goals (1.82)
There is a strong draw bias to this game and the draw is priced at (3.40) and this offers value especially when looking at recent head to heads with 3 draws from 5 and Aston Villa's away form to similar rated sides (2 losses in last 10 games, 6 draws). Aston Villa are priced at (2.90) and this looks to offer some value. However we would certainly look to keep the draw on side and Aston Villa can be backed +0 goals at (2.10).
As for goals there is certainly a bias to 3 or more as Over 2.5 goals has been seen in 10 of both sides respective last 15 home and away fixtures. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at (1.91) and this looks to offer some decent value. Both teams to score is certainly of interest as both teams have scored in 8 of Aston Villa's last 10 away to similar rated sides and 12 of the last 15 generally. Both teams to score can be backed at (1.75)
There are some strong stats involving both halves. Bolton have drawn 6 of their last 10 1st halves at home to similar rated sides and Aston Villa have drawn the 1st half in 9 of their last 10 away to similar rated sides. The half time draw can be backed at (2.20). The 2nd half has been the highest scoring in 9 of Bolton's last 10 home games against similar rated sides and for Aston Villa the 2nd half has been the highest scoring in 5 of their last 10 away to similar rated sides. The 2nd half to be the highest scoring can be backed at (2.10)
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Half time draw (2.20)
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