Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 14th)

NORWICH CITY v MANCHESTER CITY (Saturday 12:45pm Sky Sports 2)

Stats Analysis

Norwich are priced correctly at (7.00) If you do fancy them to do well back +1 Goal on the Asian Handicap at (2.07), which looks a great option as Manchester City have only won 2 of their last 10 away games. Returns stake if a single goal loss.

The Draw is (4.33) which although priced correctly must be considered when looking at both sides form

Manchester City are available at (1.57) which is about right, but this is a game City must win to get right back in the title hunt. Dutch Man City to win by 1 or 2 goals this pays (2.10) this offers value as all 4 of Norwich's 4 home defeats have come via this margin and also Manchester City's last 6 away victories to similar opponents have come via this margin.

As for goals there is a bias to 2 or under, this has featured in 7 of the last 10 Manchester City games against similar opponents (including the last 5), so priced at (2.30) this looks attractive and could be used for trading purposes. Both Teams to Score looks to hold some small value at (1.73) having featured in 6 of the 8 Norwich home games against teams in the top half of the table and also in 6 of the last 10 Manchester City away games against similar opponents.

Finally the Half Time Draw at (2.50) looks a strong option with good value having featured in 3 of Norwich's last 4 home games against similar opponents also in 7 of Manchester City's last 10 away games against similar opposition (including the last 6).

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.10)

BetsLayer Non-TV Value Highlights


West Brom v QPR - Over 2.5 Goals (1.91) - Featured in 7 of both sides last 10 against similar opposition


Swansea v Blackburn - The Draw (3.60)

Sunderland v Wolves - Dutch Sunderland to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.14) - Sunderland have won 9 of their last 10 victories against similar opponents by this margin