Wednesday, 11 April 2012

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 11th)


QPR v SWANSEA (Wednesday 20:00pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis 

QPR are priced here at (2.20) which whilst not holding much value to the ratings does hold some interest after home wins against Liverpool and Arsenal and in looking at their run in must be targeted as a must win.

The Draw is available at (3.50) and this holds some value and interest in what will be a tough game with QPR pushing for the win.

Swansea have lost their last three matches and are priced at (3.80) which holds no real value. If you do fancy Swansea it makes sense to back +0.5 goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.88) keeping the draw on side.

As for goals the stats are mixed and the prices look about right with Over 2.5 at (2.00). Both Teams to Score at (1.73) also looks mixed with strong stats for QPR with 6 in the last 7 against similar opposition but nowhere near as strong for Swansea.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

The Draw (3.50)

BetsLayer Non-tv Value Highlights


Manchester City v West Brom - Manchester City HT/FT (1.80)
Manchester City have won 8 of their last 10 home victories to similar sides by this outcome and 4 of West Broms last 5 away defeats to similar opposition have also been by the HT/FT result

Wigan v Manchester United - Under 2.5 Goals (2.10)
Wigan have seen under 2.5 goals in the last 4 home games against similar opponents and its been the outcome in 3 of the last 4 Manchester United away games against similar opposition.

Wolves v Arsenal - Arsenal to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.12)
Wolves have lost 5 of the last 6 against similar opposition by this margin

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