Saturday, 7 April 2012

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (April 7th)



SUNDERLAND v SPURS (Saturday 12.45pm Sky Sports 2)

Stats Analysis

Sunderland are available at (3.60) which is no real value when looking at both sides recent record to similar opponents. If you do fancy Sunderland back +0.25 Goals on the Asian Handicap (2.11) this is a good option. If the game is drawn you receive half of the odds.

Draw (3.50) Doesn't offer much value but should be given consideration

Spurs (2.25) Offers value but makes more sense if you do fancy Spurs to back -0.25 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (1.86) Offers value and if the game is drawn you only lose half of the stake

As for goals Over 2.5 Goals is (1.93) and good value, having featured in 9 of Sunderland's last 14 home games, also in 8 of Spurs last 10 away games to similar opponents. Both Teams to Score at (1.67) offers reasonable value having featured in 7 of Sunderland's last 10 home games to similar opposition also in 9 of Spurs last 10 away games to similar opponents.

Finally the Half Time Draw could be of interest at (2.30) having featured in 5 of the last 10 Sunderland home games against similar opponents and in 6 of the last 10 Spurs away games against similar opponents. Half Time Draw (2.30)

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Over 2.5 Goals (1.93)

STOKE v WOLVES (Saturday 17:30pm ESPN)

Stats Analysis

Stoke are available at (1.70) which holds slight value. If you do fancy Stoke there is good sense in backing -0.75 Goals on the Asian handicap at (1.97) this offers good value as 6 of Wolves last 10 away defeats against similar sides have come via 2 goals or more

The Draw is (3.80) This offers no real value

Wolves are priced at (6.00) which is correctly priced, if you do fancy Wolves to improve their recent form back +0.75 Goals on the Asian handicap at (1.96) when looking at Stokes record at home to similar sides this looks to offer value. However wolves have been on a terrible recent run.

As for goals Over 2.5 is value at (1.85) having featured in 6 of Stokes last 10 home games to similar opponents also in 7 of Wolves last 10 away games to similar opposition. Both teams to score is (1.85) which is a good option featuring in 7 of Stokes last 10 home games against similar opponents, also in 11 of Wolves last 15 away games.

Finally Over 1.5 Goals in the 1st half at (2.75) is a good value option especially in the case of Wolves having featured in 7 of their last 10 away games to similar opponents.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Stoke -0.75 Goals Asian handicap (1.97)

BetsLayer non-Tv Value Highlights

Bolton v Fulham - 1st goal after 25 mins (1.97)
Chelsea v Wigan - Second Half the highest scoring (2.10)
Norwich v Everton - The Draw (3.40)
Liverpool v Aston Villa - Dutch Liverpool to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.05)
West Brom v Blackburn - The Draw (3.75)

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