CHELSEA v QPR (Sunday 13.30pm Sky Sports 1)
Stats Analysis
Chelsea are priced at (1.44) which offers no real value, if you do fancy Chelsea to win then via the Half Time / Full Time result holds some appeal at (2.05) having featured in 6 of Chelsea's last 10 home games to similar opponents also 4 of the last 6 QPR games against similar opposition. Another option if you fancy Chelsea -1.25 Goals on the Asian Handicap at (2.06) featured in 6 of Chelsea's last 10 home games to similar opponents. Another alternative is Chelsea to win to nil (2.62) This has featured in 7 of the last 10 Chelsea home games against similar opposition and in 4 of the last 6 QPR against similar opponents.
The Draw is (4.80) which offers some small value but only limited appeal when looking at Chelsea's home form against similar opposition.
QPR are available at (8.50) which looks to hold no value when looking at how Chelsea have performed at home to similar sides
As for goals there is no value in the Over/Unders markets with some mixed stats and a price on Over 2.5 of (1.70). No Both teams to score is (2.10) which is good value having featured in 7 of Chelsea's last 10 home games to similar opposition also in 5 of QPR's last 7 away to similar sides
BetsLayer Value Highlight
Chelsea to win to nil (2.62)
SPURS v BLACKBURN (Sunday 16.00pm Sky Sports 1)
Spurs are available at (1.40) which is priced about right, if you do fancy Spurs it makes some sense to back -1.50 Goals on the Asian Handicap (2.00) which is a reasonable option after featuring in 5 of the last 7 home victories also 7 of Blackburns last 9 away defeats. Another good option if you fancy Spurs to win here is the winning margin 1 or 2 goals at (2.16) this has featured in 5 of the last 6 Spurs home victories against similar opposition.
The Draw is (4.50) which offers value and should be considered in what is a must win game for both sides
Blackburn are available at (9.00) which offers no real value with their shock win at Old Trafford the only away win in the last 10 against similar opposition.
As for goals there is a bias to 3 or more, but the price of (1.5) looks very restrictive and it could make sense to back the Under 2.5 goals at (2.75) this has featured in 5 of the last 10 Spurs games against similar opponents, this price could be useful for time decay inplay trading. Both teams to score (1.75) looks priced about right having featured in 6 of Spurs last 10 home games to similar opponents also in 5 of Blackburn's last 6 away games against similar sides.
BetsLayer Value Highlight
Spurs to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.16)
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