Sunday, 15 January 2012

Wigan v Manchester City - Premier League Betting Value


WIGAN v MANCHESTER CITY

Stats Analysis

Wigan can be backed at (11.00) and this is a reasonable price and they do have an interesting record at home to top rated sides which reads W3 D3 L4. If you do fancy Wigan to do well then your best way into the market is to back them on the Asian Handicap +1.25 goals (2.10). The draw can be backed at (5.00) and this also offers some value.

The ratings are suggesting that there is not much value in backing Manchester City to win this game at their current price of (1.44). If you do fancy Manchester City to win then it makes some sense to back them to win via the Half Time / Full Time result as 6 of City's last 7 away victories to low rated sides have come via this result as has all 4 of the last Wigan home defeats to top rated sides. Manchester City HT/FT priced at (2.00). Dutching them to win by 1 or 2 goals is certainly another option as since the start of last season all 5 of their last 5 away victories at low rated sides have come via this margin. Manchester City win by 1 or 2 goals (1.95)

As for goals there is a definite bias to 3 or more and this can be backed at (1.67) which offers not much value. Both teams to score has been seen in 7 of Manchester City's last 10 away games to low rated sides and in 6 of Wigan's last 10 at home to top rated sides. Both teams to score can be backed at (2.00)

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Manchester City win by 1 or 2 goals (1.95)

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