NEWCASTLE v QPR
Stats Analysis
The ratings are suggesting that there is some value in backing Newcastle at their current price of (1.83), Newcastle have won 7 of the last 7 home games against low rated teams.
QPR have lost 6 of the last 8 league fixtures, 3 from 3 away to top-half sides, they can be backed at (5.25) and this offers no real value. The draw can be backed at (3.75) and this offers some value and attraction especially given that Newcastle will be missing Ba and Tiote who are at the African Cup of Nations.
Over 2.5 goals has been seen in 11 of Newcastle's last 15 home games and in 6 of their last 9 at home to similar rated sides. QPR have had 3 goals or more in 5 of their opening 10 away games including their 2 away games to similar rated sides. Over 2.5 (2.00). Both teams to score does hold some appeal, QPR both teams have scored in 4 of their last 6 away games and in 9 of Newcastle's last 15 home games. Both teams to score can be backed at (1.80).
BetsLayer Value Highlight
The Draw (3.75)
SWANSEA v ARSENAL
Stats Analysis
Swansea can be backed at (5.50) and this looks to offer some good value. If you do fancy Swansea it makes sense to back on the Asian Handicap +1 goal at (1.80)
The ratings are suggesting that there is no real value in backing Arsenal to win this game. However they do have an excellent away record at similar rated sides which reads W7 D2 L1. Arsenal can be backed at (1.67). If you do fancy Arsenal to win here then dutching them to win by 1 or 2 goals certainly looks to make some sense especially considering Swansea's tight home form. Dutching the Arsenal victory by 1 or 2 goals (2.10)
There have been +2.5 goals in 10 of the last 10 Arsenal away matches against similar rated teams and +3.5 goals in 10 of the last 17 Arsenal away matches also looking at Swansea's recent home and away form if they concede it suggests 3 or more. Over 2.5 goals (2.00). Both teams have scored in 12 of Arsenal's last 15 away games and Arsenal have only failed to find the net away once this season. Both teams to score can be backed at (1.91)
Late goals are a possibility and 12 of Arsenal's last 16 away games have seen a goal scored after 75 minutes. The last goal of the game to come after 74 minutes can be backed at (1.91).
BetsLayer Value Highlight
The Draw (3.75)
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