WOLVES v MANCHESTER UNITED (Sunday 13.30pm Sky Sports 1)
Stats Analysis
Wolves are priced at (10.0), +1.5 Goals Asian Handicap holds more value at (1.90). Wolves only lost by 2 or more goals in 2 of their last 10 at home to similar opponents and Man United have only won 4 of last 10 away to similar opposition by 2 or more goals.
The draw is priced at (5.00) and this holds some small value but not really that much attraction
Manchester United are priced at (1.36) which looks right. To improve the value and price Dutch Manchester United to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.08) 4 of last 5 away victories to similar opponents have come via this margin.
As for goals there is a bias to 3 or more, but the market has over reacted and any value is in the Unders at (2.60). Both Teams to Score (1.91) featured in 6 of Wolves last 10 home games against similar opponents including all the last 4, also seen in 6 of Manchester United's last 10 away games against similar opposition.
BetsLayer Value Highlight
Wolves +1.5 Goals Asian Handicap (1.90)
NEWCASTLE v NORWICH (Sunday 16.00 pm Sky Sports 1)
Stats Analysis
Newcastle are priced (1.80) which looks priced about right. Dutch Newcastle to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.18), 6 of Newcastle's last 7 home victories have come via the 1 or 2 goal winning margin.
The draw is priced at (3.80) and must be considered in what will be a tightly fought game.
Norwich are available at (5.50) +0.75 Goals Asian Handicap makes sense and is (1.92).
As for goals, Over 2.5 at (1.87) holds value and has featured in 7 of Newcastle's last 10 at home to similar opponents and in 9 of Norwich's last 15 away games. Over 1.5 in the 1st Half (2.62) This has featured in 7 of Newcastle's last 10 at home to similar opponents.
BetsLayer Value Highlight
Dutch Newcastle to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.18)
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