LIVERPOOL v EVERTON (Tuesday 20:00 Sky Sports 1)
Stats Analysis
Liverpool have won just four of their opening 13 Premier League home matches and go into this game having taken only 10 from the last 33 points available. There looks to be little value in their current price of (1.80). If you do fancy Liverpool to win it makes sense to Dutch them to win by 1 or 2 goals, this has been the margin in 5 of the last 6 wins against similar opponents and in all 3 of Everton's last 3 defeats to similar opposition. Liverpool to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.14).
The draw is available at (3.6), which must be considered as there is a strong draw bias to this game, Liverpool having drawn 8 of their 13 home games this season.
The Toffees are on a seven-match unbeaten run, but have not won at a side higher than them in the league table. Everton are priced at (5.50) which holds a small amount of value, especially given their seven match unbeaten run with 3 wins and 4 draws. If you do fancy Everton to continue the run it makes sense to keep the draw on side and back (2.10) +0.5 Goals on the Asian Handicap.
As for goals, there appears to be no real value in the market, with a weighting towards 2 or less goals, but this is reflected in the prices with Under 2.5 goals available at (1.81). Both teams to score is also priced about right, having featured 5 of the last 10 games for both sides against similar opposition and available to back at (2.00)
Finally there is some value in going for the Half Time draw, this has featured in 5 of the last 10 for both sides against similar opponents and in all 4 of Liverpool's last 4 home games. Half Time draw (2.20)
BetsLayer Value Highlight
Half Time draw (2.20)
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