Saturday, 2 March 2013

Premier League Betting Value March 2nd


SOUTHAMPTON v QPR


Under 2.5 Goals (2.04), looks worth consideration, although this is largely built on QPR's away form against similar opposition with only limited data for Southampton, seen in 9 of the 13 games against similar level opponents. The Draw (3.83), holds some reasonable value, seen in 5 of the 13 games, as does the Half Time Draw (2.30), seen in 8 of the 13 games. 

STOKE v WEST HAM

Some reasonable value on the Home side to win (2.15), seen in 12 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. Over 2.5 Goals (2.28), looks good value, seen in 13 of the 20 games. Home side Race to 2 Goals (2.80), again looks good, seen in 11 of the 20 games. The Home Side to Win the Second Half (2.62) again looks solid value, seen 12 of the 20 games.

SUNDERLAND v FULHAM

No Value found on this game.

SWANSEA v NEWCASTLE

Another tough game with no value available.

MANCHESTER UNITED v NORWICH

Over 3.5 Goals (2.58), looks a reasonable bet although you might want to assess the team news first with the Real Madrid game days away, seen in 10 of the last 15 games these two sides have played against similar level opponents. Manchester United HT/FT (2.00), looks a decent enough shout, seen in 10 of the 15 games. Both Teams to Score (2.05), again looks reasonable, seen in 10 of the 15 games. 

CHELSEA v WEST BROM

Home Clean Sheet (2.25), looks good value, seen in 14 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar level opposition. This is backed up by Both Teams to Score No (2.15), seen in 15 of the 20 games. 

EVERTON v READING

Both Teams to Score (2.00), looks reasonable, seen in 8 of the last 12 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (2.00), also looks reasonable, seen in 9 of the 12 games.

WIGAN v LIVERPOOL

Total Goals 2-3 (1.90), looks a decent call, seen 12 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar level opposition. 

BETSLAYER BETS OF THE DAY

Chelsea v West Brom - Both Teams to Score No (2.15)

Stoke v West Ham - Home side Race to 2 Goals (2.80)


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EARLY BIRD LAYS


This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value using BetFormPro statistical software, 28 free trial available here , at this time selections are only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Newcastle v Southampton - Lay HT 0-0 (3.30) WON

Last week we had one selection, getting back on track, 2 selections today.

Southampton v QPR - Lay HT 0-0 (3.25)

Everton v Reading - Lay HT 0-0 (3.75)

running total =


21 Selections
13 Winners 8 Losers

Total =  -£257

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