Aston Villa v Manchester City Betting Value March 4th

ASTON VILLA v MANCHESTER CITY

Half Time Draw (2.55), looks a reasonable starting bet, seen in 11 of the last 20 games these two sides have played against similar level opponents. There is no value about Manchester City's price (1.50), if you do think they will win this game, the price can be improved by backing them to win by 1 or 2 Goals (2.06), the last 5 Manchester City away wins against similar level sides and last 6 Aston Villa defeats have been by this margin. With the draw generally holding value on this game, the Second Half Result - Draw (3.00), also holds interest and has been seen in 12 of the 20 games

BETSLAYER BET OF THE DAY

Dutch Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 Goals (2.06)

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/aston-villa-v-man-city/winning-margin
http://www.oddschecker.com/betting-tools/dutching-calculator.html

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EARLY BIRD LAYS

This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value using BetFormPro statistical software, 28 free trial available here , at this time selections are only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Southampton v QPR - Lay HT 0-0 (3.25) WON

Everton v Reading - Lay HT 0-0 (3.75) WON

3 winning selections over the weekend, after yesterdays win below, no selection tonight

Spurs v Arsenal - Lay HT 0-0 (3.60) WON

running total =

24 Selections

16 Winners 8 Losers

Total =  -£115