Aston Villa v Manchester City Betting Value March 4th

ASTON VILLA v MANCHESTER CITY

Half Time Draw (2.55), looks a reasonable starting bet, seen in 11 of the last 20 games these two sides have played against similar level opponents. There is no value about Manchester City's price (1.50), if you do think they will win this game, the price can be improved by backing them to win by 1 or 2 Goals (2.06), the last 5 Manchester City away wins against similar level sides and last 6 Aston Villa defeats have been by this margin. With the draw generally holding value on this game, the Second Half Result - Draw (3.00), also holds interest and has been seen in 12 of the 20 games

BETSLAYER BET OF THE DAY

Dutch Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 Goals (2.06)

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/aston-villa-v-man-city/winning-margin
http://www.oddschecker.com/betting-tools/dutching-calculator.html

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EARLY BIRD LAYS

This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value using BetFormPro statistical software, 28 free trial available here , at this time selections are only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Southampton v QPR - Lay HT 0-0 (3.25) WON

Everton v Reading - Lay HT 0-0 (3.75) WON

3 winning selections over the weekend, after yesterdays win below, no selection tonight

Spurs v Arsenal - Lay HT 0-0 (3.60) WON

running total =

24 Selections

16 Winners 8 Losers

Total =  -£115

Spurs v Arsenal Betting Value March 3rd

SPURS v ARSENAL

Total Goals 2-3 (1.90), looks a reasonable bet, seen in 12 of the last 18 games these two sides have played against similar level opponents.

BETSLAYER BET OF THE DAY

Spurs v Arsenal - Total Goals 2-3 (1.90)

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EARLY BIRD LAYS

This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value using BetFormPro statistical software, 28 free trial available here , at this time selections are only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Southampton v QPR - Lay HT 0-0 (3.25) WON

Everton v Reading - Lay HT 0-0 (3.75) WON

2 winning selections today and another for tomorrow

Spurs v Arsenal - Lay HT 0-0 (3.60)

running total =

23 Selections

15 Winners 8 Losers

Total =  -£162

Premier League Betting Value March 2nd

SOUTHAMPTON v QPR

Under 2.5 Goals (2.04), looks worth consideration, although this is largely built on QPR's away form against similar opposition with only limited data for Southampton, seen in 9 of the 13 games against similar level opponents. The Draw (3.83), holds some reasonable value, seen in 5 of the 13 games, as does the Half Time Draw (2.30), seen in 8 of the 13 games. 

STOKE v WEST HAM

Some reasonable value on the Home side to win (2.15), seen in 12 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. Over 2.5 Goals (2.28), looks good value, seen in 13 of the 20 games. Home side Race to 2 Goals (2.80), again looks good, seen in 11 of the 20 games. The Home Side to Win the Second Half (2.62) again looks solid value, seen 12 of the 20 games.

SUNDERLAND v FULHAM

No Value found on this game.

SWANSEA v NEWCASTLE

Another tough game with no value available.

MANCHESTER UNITED v NORWICH

Over 3.5 Goals (2.58), looks a reasonable bet although you might want to assess the team news first with the Real Madrid game days away, seen in 10 of the last 15 games these two sides have played against similar level opponents. Manchester United HT/FT (2.00), looks a decent enough shout, seen in 10 of the 15 games. Both Teams to Score (2.05), again looks reasonable, seen in 10 of the 15 games. 

CHELSEA v WEST BROM

Home Clean Sheet (2.25), looks good value, seen in 14 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar level opposition. This is backed up by Both Teams to Score No (2.15), seen in 15 of the 20 games. 

EVERTON v READING

Both Teams to Score (2.00), looks reasonable, seen in 8 of the last 12 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (2.00), also looks reasonable, seen in 9 of the 12 games.

WIGAN v LIVERPOOL

Total Goals 2-3 (1.90), looks a decent call, seen 12 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar level opposition. 

BETSLAYER BETS OF THE DAY

Chelsea v West Brom - Both Teams to Score No (2.15)

Stoke v West Ham - Home side Race to 2 Goals (2.80)

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EARLY BIRD LAYS

This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value using BetFormPro statistical software, 28 free trial available here , at this time selections are only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Newcastle v Southampton - Lay HT 0-0 (3.30) WON

Last week we had one selection, getting back on track, 2 selections today.

Southampton v QPR - Lay HT 0-0 (3.25)

Everton v Reading - Lay HT 0-0 (3.75)

running total =

21 Selections

13 Winners 8 Losers

Total =  -£257

Premier League Betting Value February 25th

WEST HAM v SPURS

Spurs look decent enough value to win this game (2.31), the away win seen in 11 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. It also looks good for goals with Over 2.5 (1.97) a standout, seen in 14 of the 19 games. The Both Teams to Score (1.73) looks reasonable, although there are better value bets, also seen in 14 of the 19 games. Finally if you fancy something a little different, Spurs to win the Second Half (2.75), looks a steady choice, seen in 7 of the Last 10 Spurs Away games against similar level opponents and 11 from the 19 overall.

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EARLY BIRD LAYS

This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value using BetFormPro statistical software, 28 free trial available here , at this time selections are only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

 
Yesterday we had one selection, getting back on track, nothing tonight as the game is priced up correctly

Newcastle v Southampton - Lay HT 0-0 (3.30) WON

running total =

21 Selections

13 Winners 8 Losers

Total =  -£257

Premier League Betting Value February 24th

MANCHESTER CITY v CHELSEA

There is no real value in Manchester City's price at Evens, if you fancy them to win it makes good sense to Dutch them to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.40), all 8 home wins of the 18 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents have been by this margin, as have the last 3 meetings at Manchester City. The Away side the Most Booking Points (1.91), looks reasonable, seen in 12 of the 18 games. The Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.91), looks good, seen in 13 of the 18 games. 

NEWCASTLE v SOUTHAMPTON

Total Goals 2-3 (1.91), looks good value, seen in 9 of the last 10 Newcastle Home games against similar level opponents and 11 from 14 overall. 

BetsLayer Powered by BetFormPro

EARLY BIRD LAYS

This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value using BetFormPro statistical software, 28 free trial available here , at this time selections are only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Norwich City v Fulham - Lay HT 0-0 (3.10) LOSS

Today we have one selection, hopefully getting back on track

Newcastle v Southampton - Lay HT 0-0 (3.30)

running total =

20 Selections

12 Winners 8 Losers

Total =  -£305

Premier League Betting Value February 23rd

ARSENAL v ASTON VILLA

Tough game for Arsenal with the pressure really on after losses in the FA Cup and Champions League, unfortunately its also a tough game to find value.

FULHAM v STOKE

The Home Side to be Leading at Half Time (2.90), looks good value seen 10 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. The Home Side to Win (2.25), also looks good, seen in 12 of the 19 games. Over 2.5 Goals (2.30), looks another value option, seen in 12 of the 19 games. With the above trends the Home/Home (3.60), looks a longer odds option, seen in 9 of the 19 games. Race to 2 Goals Home Side (2.60), looks strong, seen in 11 of the 19 games. 

EVERTON v NORWICH

The Draw (3.50), looks a good start point in analysing this game, seen in 7 of the last 15 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Total Goals 2-3 (1.90), looks strong, seen in 11 of the 15 games. 

WEST BROM v SUNDERLAND

First Half Correct Score 0-0 (3.00), looks good value, seen in 10 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

QPR v MANCHESTER UNITED

The Half Time Draw (2.50), looks reasonable, seen in 8 of the last 15 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Second Half Under 1.5 Goals (1.90), again looks reasonable seen in 10 of the 15 games.

READING v WIGAN

In a game with limited data only one longer odds bet stands out, Half with Most Goals Draw (3.75), seen in 6 of the last 12 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents.

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Liverpool v Swansea Betting Value February 16th

LIVERPOOL v SWANSEA

Under 2.5 Goals (2.30), looks good value, seen in 10 of the last 15 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition. Half with Most Goals Draw (3.75), looks a reasonable longer odds bet, seen in 9 of the 15 games. Swansea +1 on the Asian Handicap (2.05), could be a good option only losing 4 times and winning 8 in the 15 games.

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