BetsLayer EPL Betting Value August 26th

BetsLayer Value Highlights

Stoke v Arsenal - Both teams have scored in 9 of Stoke's last 10 against similar opposition and in 8 of the last 10 Arsenal away vs similar sides - BTS (1.83) - Stoke have drawn 7 of the last 10 home games against similar opponents and Arsenal have also drawn 5 of their last 10 away to similar opposition - Draw (3.5) - The same stats but less value also apply to the Half time draw (2.15)

Liverpool v Manchester City - Most of the Value is in Liverpool to win / clean sheet / home-home result, but none is really strong enough although Liverpool do have a good record against similar opponents. Most booking points for the Away side, this has featured in 8 of the last 10 Liverpool home games against similar opponents. Manchester City Most Booking Points (2.10)

BetsLayer EPL Betting Value August 25th

BetsLayer Value Highlights

Result from Week one +1.2 points

Swansea v West Ham - Swansea have drawn 3 of the last 5 at home against similar opposition -
The Draw (3.50)

Aston Villa v Everton - Both Teams have scored in 6 of last 10 for both sides against similar opposition - Both Teams to Score (2.00)

Manchester United v Fulham - Featured in all the last 7 of Manchester United's home victories against similar sides, also in 6 of Fulham's last 7 away defeats to similar opposition -
Dutch Manchester United to win by 1 or 2 goals (1.98)

Norwich v QPR - Home side have been leading at the break in 4 of the last 5 for Both sides against similar opponents - Norwich to be leading at HT (3.00)

Southampton v Wigan - 7 of the last 10 Wigan away games have seen 3 or more goals -
 Over 2.5 (1.98)

Spurs v West Brom - 6 of the last 10 home against similar opposition under 3 goals -
Under 2.5 (2.30)

Sunderland v Reading - 6 of the last 10 Sunderland home games have been level at the break - 
HT Draw (2.20)

Chelsea v Newcastle - 6 of the last 10 at Home and 4 of the last 7 away games against similar opposition have been level at the break - HT Draw (2.5)

Football is Back! BetsLayer EPL value August 20th

Betslayer Value Highlight

Everton v Manchester United - Only 30% of both sides games against similar opposition have resulted in an away win - Lay Manchester United at (2.00)

Football is Back! BetsLayer EPL value August 19th

Well not a bad first day of the season, 2.2 points profit or £220 to £100 stakes...especially good when Arsenal didn't win at home whilst a short but value 1.44. The late tv game showed how the stats don't lie, pre game everything pointed to Over 2.5 goals, but at 0-0 at HT it didn't look very likely, but Newcastle twice went ahead to win 2-1.

Onto Sunday's Premier League BetsLayer Value Highlights

Wigan v Chelsea - Wigan have only lost 3 of the last 10 against similar opposition - Back Wigan +1 Goal (1.75)

Manchester City v Southampton - Manchester City have kept 7 clean sheets in the last 10 games against similar opponents - Manchester City Clean Sheet (1.80)

Football is Back! BetsLayer EPL value August 18th

Hi anyone still interested in the Blog, well its been a quiet summer for blogging, but a crazy one on the work front. I have now started a new job, which will take up more of my time and pays a fair bit more money, so due to the goings on I have not yet decided how the blog will continue as the 'write ups' do take many hours.

For now here are the Betslayer Value Highlights for the first weekend of the Premier League.

Arsenal v Sunderland - Arsenal have won 8 of the Last 10 against similar opposition - Arsenal (1.44)

Fulham v Norwich - Fulham have won 8 of the Last 10 against similar opposition - Fulham at (1.85)

QPR v Swansea - Draw (3.50)

Reading v Stoke - Draw (3.40)

WBA v Liverpool - Liverpool have lost 7 of the last 10 against similar opposition - Lay Liverpool (1.90) or Back WBA on +0.5 goals on the Asian Handicap

WHU v Aston Villa - Draw (3.50)

Newcastle v Spurs - 3 or more goals in 6 of the last 8 Newcastle home and 7 of the last 10 Spurs away against similar opposition - Over 2.5 goals (1.95)

Thats it for today, will post the remaining weekend games after the results are in, good luck BetsLayers! ++Note++ A word of caution, being the first weekend of the season its always wise to ease off the stakes a little and be selective in your bets)

Premier League Final Sunday Betting Value (May 13th)

MANCHESTER CITY v QPR (Sunday Sky Sports 1 15:00pm)

Stats Analysis

Manchester City are priced at a short (1.15) which doesn't hold any value although they do have an almost perfect home record. If you do fancy Manchester City it makes good sense to back them to win to nil at (1.80) this has featured in 6 of Manchester City's last 10 home games to similar opposition. Another alternative is Manchester City to win Both Halves (2.10) this has featured in 10 of Manchester City's last 15 home games.

The Draw is priced at (9.50) and holds some value but not much appeal given the circumstances and City's need to win

Relegation threatened QPR are (19.00) which holds no real value looking at Manchester City's home record. If you do fancy a bet on QPR take them to hold City with +2 goals on the Asian Handicap at (2.20)

As for Goals there is no value on the Under 2.5 market, but the Under 3.5 at (2.10) holds some interest as its featured in 7 of Manchester City's last 10 home games also in 8 of QPR's last 12 away games.

1st Half Highest scoring (3.20) holds some potential having featured in 4 of Manchester City's last 10 home games also in 4 of QPR's last 7 away games.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Manchester City to win Both Halves (2.10)

SUNDERLAND v MANCHESTER UNITED (Sunday Sky Sports 2 15:00pm)

Stats Analysis

Sunderland are priced at (7.50) which offers good value. If you do fancy them to do well +1.25 Goals Asian Handicap (2.06) holds good value and has only lost in 1 of last 10 home games to similar opponents also in only 3 of Manchester United's last 10 away to similar opponents.

The Draw is priced at (4.60) which holds some good value and should be considered in what is sure to be a tight game.

Deposed Champions Manchester United are available at (1.50) which offer no real value at this price, especially considering how flat they will potentially feel as news comes through of Manchester City's game.

If you fancy Manchester United to win Dutch them to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.10) and is a useful option Sunderland have only lost by more than 2 goals once in last 14 home defeats also featuring in 8 of Manchester United's last 10 away victories.

As for goals Under 2.5 Goals at (1.91) holds value having featured in 7 of Sunderland's last 10 home games to similar opponents also in 5 of Manchester United's last 9 away games to similar sides.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Sunderland +1.25 Goals Asian Handicap (2.00)

Premier League Betting Value Analysis (May 5-7th)

ARSENAL v NORWICH (Saturday Not on English TV but did it anyway 12.45pm )

Stats Analysis

Arsenal are priced at (1.25) which holds no real value. If you do fancy Arsenal Dutch to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.42) featured in 6 of Arsenal's last 10 at home to similar opponents also in 7 of Norwich's last 9 away defeats.

The Draw is available at (7.00) which offers some small value but not much appeal

Norwich are at (15.00) which holds no real value. If you do fancy Norwich +1.75 Goals on the Asian Handicap is priced at (2.37) this would have won in 7 of Arsenal's last 10 home games to similar opponents and in 4 of Norwich's last 7 away to similar opposition.

As for goals Under 2.5 Goals (3.00) which has some amount of value having featured in 5 of Arsenal's last 10 home games to similar sides also in 3 of Norwich's last 7 away games to similar opposition. Both Teams to Score at (2.00) holds some value after featuring in 9 of the last 15 Arsenal home games and 10 of Norwich's last 15 away games. 1st Half Over 1.5 goals (2.05) Reasonable value having featured in 9 of Arsenal's last 15 home games also in 6 of Arsenal's last 10 home games to similar sides and in 5 of Norwich's last 10 away games.

Finally the Half time draw (3.00) Offers good value having featured in 10 of Arsenal's last 15 home games also in 6 of Arsenal's last 10 home games to similar opposition plus in 6 of Norwich's last 15 away games.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Dutch Arsenal to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.42)

NEWCASTLE v MANCHESTER CITY (Sunday 13.30pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Newcastle are availble at (5.00) which offers value as Newcastle have only lost 2 in 7 against similar sides, if you do fancy them to do well back +0.75 Goal on the Asian Handicap at (2.05)

The Draw (4.20) Offers reasonable value given both sides recent form to similar opposition.

Manchester City are priced (1.73) which offers no real value however they do have a reasonable record at Newcastle and away to similar sides losing only once. Dutch Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.10) this has featured in 5 of Manchester City's last 7 away victories at similar sides also in 6 of Newcastle's last 7 home defeats.

As for goals Under 2.5 at (2.10) is a reasonable option having featured in 5 of Newcastle's last 8 home games also in 10 of Manchester City's last 15 away games. No Both Teams to score (2.00) holds good value featured in 9 of Newcastle's last 15 home games also in 9 of Manchester City's last 15 away games

BetsLayer Value Highlight

Dutch Manchester City to win by 1 or 2 goals (2.10)

MANCHESTER UNITED v SWANSEA (Sunday 16:00pm Sky Sports)

Stats Analysis

Manchester United are priced at a short looking (1.20) which offers no real value. If you do fancy them then consider backing - 2.0 (1.85) Goals on the Asian Handicap. In 15 home games against similar sides this handicap would have been covered 7 times and levelled 5 times only losing three. Another option is Manchester United to win to nil (2.00) which holds good value having featured in 7 of Manchester United's last 9 home games to similar sides also in 3 of Swansea's last 5 away defeats to similar opposition

The Draw is available at (7.50) which offers some value but not much appeal given both sides recent form

Swansea are (19.00) which offers no real value or attraction

As for goals Under 2.5 at (3.00) which offers value having featured in 3 of Manchester United's last 5 home games to similar opposition also in 4 of Swansea's last 7 away games to similar opponents.1st Half Under 1.5 goals (1.85) which offers good value having featured in 7 of Manchester United's last 9 home games also in 9 of Swansea's last 11 away games. The No on Both teams to score (1.83) holds some small value given the stats above for Manchester United.

Finally there could be good sense in backing the 2nd Half Highest Scoring at (2.10) which offers good value having featured in 9 of Manchester United's last 14 home games to similar opponents also in 4 of Swansea's last 7 away games to similar opposition.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

2nd Half Highest Scoring (2.05)


BLACKBURN v WIGAN (Monday 20.00pm Sky Sports 1)

Stats Analysis

Blackburn are priced at (2.50) which offers reasonable value when looking at how they have performed at home to similar sides and also in recent head to heads against Wigan winning the last 5 at home.

The Draw at (3.40) offers some value and should be considered in what is real battle to avoid relegation

Wigan are (3.00) which looks correctly priced but its worth keeping the draw on side and +0 goals can be backed on the Asian Handicap at (2.20)

As for goals Over 2.5 Goals at (1.75) is reasonable value having featured in 7 of Wigan's last 10 away games to similar sides also in 4 of the last 5 head to heads at Ewood Park. 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals (2.75) holds good value having featured in 5 of Blackburn's last 7 at home to similar sides also in 7 of Wigan's last 13 away games. Both Teams to Score looks priced correctly with no real value at (1.66).

Finally the 1st Half Draw (2.40) offers reasonable value having featured in 3 of Blackburns last 6 at home to similar sides also in 6 of Wigan's last 10 away to similar opposition.

BetsLayer Value Highlight

1st Half Draw (2.40)