Friday, 19 April 2013

Premier League Betting Value April 20th and 21st


WEST BROM v NEWCASTLE

2-3 Goals (1.95), looks reasonable, seen in 10 of the last 15 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. The away side to score first (2.25), could be worth a look, seen in 14 of the 15 games. No Value in the Asian Handicap line.

WEST HAM v WIGAN

There looks to be some small value in the Home Side to win the Race to 2 Goals (2.62), seen in 10 of the last 20 games these two sides have played against similar level opponents. Again the away side to score First (2.25), looks worth a look, seen in 16 of the 20 games. The Second Half the Most Goals (2.20), looks decent seen in 12 of the 20 games. No Value in the Asian Handicap line.

SUNDERLAND v EVERTON

Not an easy game to find value, Both Teams to Score (1.91), looks about the best, seen in 12 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. Total Goals 2-3 (1.90), also seen in 12 of the 19 games. Again the away side to score First (1.85), looks worth a look, seen in 15 of the 19 games. There could be some value in backing Sunderland +0.25 (2.02) on the Asian Handicap.

SWANSEA v SOUTHAMPTON

Over 2.5 Goals (1.85), looks good, seen in 11 of the last 15 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. In fact Over 3.5 Goals (3.10), could be an option, seen in 9 of the 15 games. Home Side to win Second Half (2.80), looks good, seen in 11 of the 15 games. Again the away side to score First (2.20), looks worth a look, seen in 11 of the 15 games. Total Home Goals Over 1.5 (2.20), looks strong seen in 12 of the 15 games.  No Value in the Asian Handicap line.

FULHAM v ARSENAL

Tough game with very little value, perhaps if you must bet the Half Time Draw (2.40) is worth a look, seen in 10 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. No Value in the Asian Handicap line.

NORWICH v READING

No Value found on this game.

QPR v STOKE

Both Teams to Score (1.95), looks reasonable, seen 12 of the last 19 games these two sides have played against similar level opponents. Stoke +0.25 (2.01), looks value on the Asian Handicap.

SPURS v MANCHESTER CITY

Lay Manchester City (2.30), the away side winning only 3 times in 19 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. Spurs +0.25 (1.88) looks value on the Asian Handicap.

LIVERPOOL v CHELSEA

No Value in Asian Handicap line. Total Goals 2-3 (1.95), looks good, seen in 12 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents.


BETSLAYER BET OF THE DAY

Sunderland v Everton - Sunderland +0.25 (2.02)
Liverpool v Chelsea - Total Goals 2-3 (1.95)


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EARLY BIRD LAYS

This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value using BetFormPro statistical software, 28 free trial available here , at this time selections are only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.


West Ham v Manchester United - Lay HT 0-0 (3.50) WON
Fulham v Chelsea - Lay HT 0-0 (3.25) WON



2 winning selection last time, today we have two selections



Swansea v Southampton - Lay HT 0-0 (3.35)
QPR v Stoke - Lay HT 0-0 (2.75)



running total =


32 Selections
22 Winners 10 Losers

Total =  -£50


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