Sunday, 27 January 2013

Premier League Betting Value January 29th



ASTON VILLA v NEWCASTLE

The game as a whole is difficult to assess as both sides are under performing and low on confidence, the Draw (3.50), looks to hold some reasonable value, seen in 9 of the last 20 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. Under 2.5 Goals (1.96), looks to hold good value, seen in 13 of the 20 games. Half with the Most Goals - Draw (3.60), this looks great value, seen in 10 of the 20 games.

QPR v MANCHESTER CITY

Under 2.5 Goals (2.19), looks to hold good value, seen in 9 of the last 14 games featuring these two sides against similar opposition.

STOKE v WIGAN

Over 2.5 Goals (2.13), looks to hold good value, seen in 12 of the last 19 games featuring these two sides against similar opponents. Second Half Most Goals (2.25), looks a reasonable option, seen 11 of the 19 games.

SUNDERLAND v SWANSEA

Away Side to Score First (2.25), looks a reasonable shout in a tough game to call, seen in 13 of the last 18 games featuring these two sides against similar level opponents. Half with the Most Goals - Draw (3.60), this looks solid longer odds value, seen in 9 of the 20 games.


EARLY BIRD LAYS



This is a new system I'm trialling and will post the selections here, it involves laying the 0-0 HT or backing Over 0.5 Goals First Half, whichever you prefer. The selections are always value and at this time only from the Premier League, I will be laying to a flat stake of £50.

Wigan v Sunderland - Lay HT 0-0 (2.94) WON

One winner last time, no selections for Tuesday 29th January, 

running total =

15 Selections
11 Winners 4 Losers
Total =  £77.5

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